My Name Is (Future Hurricane) Earl...

SaltwaterServr

Blank Paper Offends Me
Messages
8,124
Reaction score
1
Fish spinner.


two_atl.gif


danger_atl_latestBW.gif


storm_96.gif


at201096_model.gif
 

SaltwaterServr

Blank Paper Offends Me
Messages
8,124
Reaction score
1
143812W_sm.gif

hifloat5_None_anim.gif

Latest on Earl. I am surprised he didn't fall apart like every other one this season that didn't smack Mexico.

Fiona is out there too, with several more systems moving off the Sahara.

rb-l.jpg
 

SaltwaterServr

Blank Paper Offends Me
Messages
8,124
Reaction score
1
Bob Sacamano;3523791 said:
They're saying Maryland might get hit. Looks like we're good?

12 hour forecasts are unpredictable when it comes to landfall of a hurricane. The 36 hour forecast cone can be hundreds of miles in diameter. Hurricanes also usually wobble a bit as the wall eye approaches land. One little shift means you get 30" of rain and 130 mph winds, another little one means you get the wind only.

Prepare as if it's going to hit you because candidly the forecasts are nothing more than educated guesswork.
 

DFWJC

Well-Known Member
Messages
60,207
Reaction score
48,984
CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
Cape Hatteras is my home town.
Our HS sports teams were called the Hurricanes with the Black and Red hurricane flag colors.

That was ago as I've been in Texas since 91.
 

TwoCentPlain

Numbnuts
Messages
15,283
Reaction score
11,162
Whatever happened to hurricanes and global warming and gloom and doom? We haven't seen a major hurricane hit land in about 4 years.
 

TheKey

Faster than Felix
Messages
3,222
Reaction score
885
I always have to LOL at the people in Maryland or NYC that think they are about to get "hit" with a hurricane. Come live in Louisiana and then you will know what getting hit is like. Its the difference between getting grazed with a bullet and getting shot.
 

DFWJC

Well-Known Member
Messages
60,207
Reaction score
48,984
CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
TheKey;3524677 said:
I always have to LOL at the people in Maryland or NYC that think they are about to get "hit" with a hurricane. Come live in Louisiana and then you will know what getting hit is like. Its the difference between getting grazed with a bullet and getting shot.
Yeah, for the most part, the cutoff of real furious landfall is Virginia. The Gulf Stream goes out to sea at Cape Hatteras and the storms tend to curve away from shore and lose power due to the cooler water, etc. Not too many stroms ober a cat 2 hit north of there ...and that is rare. South of there is pretty similar to the Gulf Coast as far as big storms.
 

Duane

Well-Known Member
Messages
7,063
Reaction score
413
ninja;3524617 said:
Whatever happened to hurricanes and global warming and gloom and doom? We haven't seen a major hurricane hit land in about 4 years.

Ike caused some pretty big damage to Houston, Galveston and the rest of SE Texas in 2008.
 

tomson75

Brain Dead Shill
Messages
16,720
Reaction score
1
DFWJC;3524372 said:
Cape Hatteras is my home town.
Our HS sports teams were called the Hurricanes with the Black and Red hurricane flag colors.

That was ago as I've been in Texas since 91.

I'm heading to Hatteras next Thursday for a wedding.....I hope my rental is still intact when I get there.
 

DFWJC

Well-Known Member
Messages
60,207
Reaction score
48,984
CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
tomson75;3524785 said:
I'm heading to Hatteras next Thursday for a wedding.....I hope my rental is still intact when I get there.
The surf should be great!
 

tomson75

Brain Dead Shill
Messages
16,720
Reaction score
1
TheKey;3524677 said:
I always have to LOL at the people in Maryland or NYC that think they are about to get "hit" with a hurricane. Come live in Louisiana and then you will know what getting hit is like. Its the difference between getting grazed with a bullet and getting shot.

To be fair, a much lesser Hurricane can have more severe effects on the mid-atlantic and due north than a significantly more powerful storm that may hit south or in the gulf. Property values, building construction, and preparedness are major things you should consider before waging a "y'all aint seen ****" campaign on your northern brethren (discounting Philly, of course).

It's like getting caught in a 6" snowstorm in Georgia where all hell breaks loose whereas 6" in upstate New York or the Rockies is indicative of spring...

It's all about what you're prepared for.
 

tomson75

Brain Dead Shill
Messages
16,720
Reaction score
1
DFWJC;3524786 said:
The surf should be great!

Ha....and I was about to trade my 6'2" fish in for a longboard!

All joking aside...I told myself I'd never surf in a Hurricane again after almost drowning when my board snapped in half in 12' chop during Hugo. I'll probably just drink beer instead. :D
 

DFWJC

Well-Known Member
Messages
60,207
Reaction score
48,984
CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
tomson75;3524789 said:
).

It's like getting caught in a 6" snowstorm in Georgia where all hell breaks loose whereas 6" in upstate New York or the Rockies is indicative of spring...

It's all about what you're prepared for.
Good analogy...
 

SaltwaterServr

Blank Paper Offends Me
Messages
8,124
Reaction score
1
ninja;3524617 said:
Whatever happened to hurricanes and global warming and gloom and doom? We haven't seen a major hurricane hit land in about 4 years.

Ike? 2008? Category 4 storm at one point with Cat 5 storm surge? Killed around 200 people?

Any of that sound familiar? Ike was the 10th major storm to hit land in a 6 year span.

Roll call:

2003
Isabel

2004 - four hurricanes at the same time.
Charley
Frances
Ivan
Jeanne - killed 3000 people, by far the largest number since the Galveston Hurricane of 1900

2005 - So many storms that we used every name and then some
Dennis
Katrina
Rita
Wilma-shattered the record for the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded on Earth. Her pressure dropped 88mb in 12 hours. Insane.

2008
Ike

You'll have to excuse me if that list doesn't concern you at least a little bit.

Right now the map in the original post that is constantly updated shows the remnants of Danielle, Hurricane Earl, Tropical Storms Fiona and Gaston, and another system off the west coast of Africa that will likely become Invest 99L in the next 12 hours.

Let's count that up, looks like 5 systems either formed, forming, or decaying on September 1. The peak of the season still runs for another 6 weeks.
 

AsthmaField

Outta bounds
Messages
26,489
Reaction score
44,544
DFWJC;3524683 said:
Yeah, for the most part, the cutoff of real furious landfall is Virginia. The Gulf Stream goes out to sea at Cape Hatteras and the storms tend to curve away from shore and lose power due to the cooler water, etc. Not too many stroms ober a cat 2 hit north of there ...and that is rare. South of there is pretty similar to the Gulf Coast as far as big storms.


Hurricane Hazel says hello.

http://t3.***NOT-ALLOWED***/images?q=tbn:7clbR1GxWHy-QM:http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/43/Hazel_1954_track.png&t=1

Also, the Long Island Express from 1938 says hello. It was a category 5 storm that rode the jet stream straight north to the New England area. It had maximum 160 MPH winds at one point.

http://t0.***NOT-ALLOWED***/images?q=tbn:fe2IT78klEPfxM:http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/38/1938_New_England_hurricane_track.png/800px-1938_New_England_hurricane_track.png&t=1

I know you are saying as a general rule, and you are correct. But they do sometimes go north of VA.
 

TheKey

Faster than Felix
Messages
3,222
Reaction score
885
tomson75;3524789 said:
To be fair, a much lesser Hurricane can have more severe effects on the mid-atlantic and due north than a significantly more powerful storm that may hit south or in the gulf. Property values, building construction, and preparedness are major things you should consider before waging a "y'all aint seen ****" campaign on your northern brethren (discounting Philly, of course).

It's like getting caught in a 6" snowstorm in Georgia where all hell breaks loose whereas 6" in upstate New York or the Rockies is indicative of spring...

It's all about what you're prepared for.

That is a valid point. :bow:
 
Top