NFL Draft Prospect Rankings

morasp · Apr 27, 2023

Pro Bowl Talent
1.) 7.05 Jalen Carter DT Georgia
2.) 7.02 Will Anderson Jr. Edge Alabama

Year 1 Starter
3.) 6.84 Bijan Robinson RB Texas
4.) 6.82 Bryce Young QB Alabama
5.) 6.77 Tyree Wilson Edge Texas Tech
6.) 6.73 Peter Skoronski OL Northwestern
7.) 6.7 C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
8.) 6.7 Christian Gonzales CB Oregon

Boom-Or-Bust Potential
9.) 6.5 Drew Sanders LB/Edge Arkansas
10.) 6.5 Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee
11.) 6.5 Myles Murphy Edge Clemson

Will Become Good Starter Within Two Years
12.) 6.49 Brian Branch DB Alabama
13.) 6.49 Luke Musgrave TE Oregon State
14.) 6.48 Dalton Kincaid TE Utah
15.) 6.47 Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
16.) 6.46 Zay Flowers WR Boston College
17.) 6.44 Broderick Jones OT Georgia
18.) 6.44 Josh Downs WR North Carolina
19.) 6.44 Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame
20.) 6.43 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Ohio State
21.) 6.43 Keion White Edge Georgia Tech
22.) 6.42 Joey Porter Jr. CB Penn State
23.) 6.41 D.J. Turner II CB Michigan
24.) 6.41 John Michael Schmitz OC Minessota
25.) 6.41 Will McDonald IV Edge Iowa State
26.) 6.4 Anthony Richardson QB Florida
27.) 6.4 Darnell Wright OT Tenessee
28.) 6.4 Lukas Van Ness Edge Iowa

morasp · Apr 27, 2023

Will Eventually Be Plus Starter
29.) 6.39 Calijah Kancey DT Pittsburgh
30.) 6.39 Kelee Ringo CB Georgia
31.) 6.39 Matthew Bergeron OT Syracuse
32.) 6.39 Paris Johnson Jr. OT Ohio State
33.) 6.39 Quentin Johnston WR TCU
34.) 6.38 Cedric Tillman WR Tennessee
35.) 6.38 Darnell Washington TE Georgia
36.) 6.38 O'Cyrus Torrence OG Florida
37.) 6.38 Tuli Tuipulotu Edge USC
38.) 6.37 Deonte Banks CB Maryland
39.) 6.37 Derick Hall Edge Auburn
40.) 6.37 Jahmyr Gibbs RB Alabama
41.) 6.36 Cody Mauch OT North Dakota State
42.) 6.36 Emmanuel Forbes CB Mississippi State
43.) 6.36 Jordan Addison WR USC
44.) 6.36 Luke Schoonmaker TE Michigan

morasp · Apr 27, 2023

Will Eventually Be Plus Starter
45.) 6.35 B.J. Ojulari Edge LSU
46.) 6.35 Bryan Bresee DT Clemson
47.) 6.35 Isaiah Foskey Edge Notre Dame
48.) 6.35 Joe Tippmann OC Wisconsin
49.) 6.35 Tyler Scott WR Cincinnati
50.) 6.34 Antonio Johnson S Texas A&M
51.) 6.34 Felix Anudike-Uzomah Edge Kansas State
52.) 6.34 Mazi Smith DT Michigan
53.) 6.34 Will Levis QB Kentucky
54.) 6.33 Nolan Smith Edge Georgia
55.) 6.32 Dawand Jones OT Ohio State
56.) 6.30 Ji'Ayir Brown S Penn State
57.) 6.30 Steve Avila OG TCU
58.) 6.30 Tank Dell WR Houston

6.20-6.29 are eventual average starters.
6.1-6.19 are good backup that could become a starter

The Cowboys board is most certainly different than this but two of the guys from this list should be available with the Cowboys first two picks.

xwalker · Apr 27, 2023

morasp said:
Pro Bowl Talent
1.) 7.05 Jalen Carter DT Georgia
2.) 7.02 Will Anderson Jr. Edge Alabama

Year 1 Starter
3.) 6.84 Bijan Robinson RB Texas
4.) 6.82 Bryce Young QB Alabama
5.) 6.77 Tyree Wilson Edge Texas Tech
6.) 6.73 Peter Skoronski OL Northwestern
7.) 6.7 C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
8.) 6.7 Christian Gonzales CB Oregon

Boom-Or-Bust Potential
9.) 6.5 Drew Sanders LB/Edge Arkansas
10.) 6.5 Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee
11.) 6.5 Myles Murphy Edge Clemson

Will Become Good Starter Within Two Years
12.) 6.49 Brian Branch DB Alabama
13.) 6.49 Luke Musgrave TE Oregon State
14.) 6.48 Dalton Kincaid TE Utah
15.) 6.47 Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
16.) 6.46 Zay Flowers WR Boston College
17.) 6.44 Broderick Jones OT Georgia
18.) 6.44 Josh Downs WR North Carolina
19.) 6.44 Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame
20.) 6.43 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Ohio State
21.) 6.43 Keion White Edge Georgia Tech
22.) 6.42 Joey Porter Jr. CB Penn State
23.) 6.41 D.J. Turner II CB Michigan
24.) 6.41 John Michael Schmitz OC Minessota
25.) 6.41 Will McDonald IV Edge Iowa State
26.) 6.4 Anthony Richardson QB Florida
27.) 6.4 Darnell Wright OT Tenessee
28.) 6.4 Lukas Van Ness Edge Iowa

Are those NFL.com rankings?

They have not been very accurate in recent years.

2022 NFL.com rankings vs actual draft:

Overall (Actual)	Rank (NFL)	Diff	Position	Player
1	14	-13	DE	Travon Walker
2	2	0	DE	Aidan Hutchinson
3	11	-8	DB	Derek Stingley Jr.
4	5	-1	CB	Sauce Gardner
5	6	-1	EDGE	Kayvon Thibodeaux
6	4	2	OT	Ikem Ekwonu
7	3	4	OT	Evan Neal
8	23	-15	WR	Drake London
9	17	-8	OT	Charles Cross
10	12	-2	WR	Garrett Wilson
11	18	-7	WR	Chris Olave
12	15	-3	WR	Jameson Williams
13	10	3	DT	Jordan Davis
14	1	13	SAF	Kyle Hamilton
15	16	-1	OL	Kenyon Green
16	64	-48	WR	Jahan Dotson

17	39	-22	OL	Zion Johnson
18	9	9	WR	Treylon Burks
19	24	-5	OT	Trevor Penning
20	25	-5	QB	Kenny Pickett
21	8	13	CB	Trent McDuffie
22	59	-37	LB	Quay Walker
23	29	-6	CB	Kaiir Elam
24	43	-19	OT	Tyler Smith
25	7	18	C	Tyler Linderbaum
26	13	13	DE	Jermaine Johnson II
27	31	-4	LB	Devin Lloyd
28	36	-8	DT	Devonte Wyatt
29	52	-23	G	Cole Strange
30	22	8	EDGE	George Karlaftis
31	42	-11	SAF	Daxton Hill
32	51	-19	SAF	Lewis Cine

33	50	-17	DE	Logan Hall
34	60	-26	WR	Christian Watson
35	55	-20	CB	Roger McCreary
36	30	6	RB	Breece Hall
37	70	-33	DB	Jalen Pitre
38	38	0	EDGE	Arnold Ebiketie
39	45	-6	CB	Kyler Gordon
40	34	6	EDGE	Boye Mafe
41	35	6	RB	Kenneth Walker III
42	37	5	CB	Andrew Booth Jr.
43	107	-64	WR	Wan'Dale Robinson
44	98	-54	WR	John Metchie III
45	26	19	EDGE	David Ojabo
46	44	2	DE	Josh Paschal
47	58	-11	DT	Phidarian Mathis
48	28	20	SAF	Jaquan Brisker

49	109	-60	CB	Alontae Taylor
50	180	-130	WR	Tyquan Thornton
51	133	-82	C	Cam Jurgens
52	76	-24	WR	George Pickens
53	114	-61	WR	Alec Pierce
54	69	-15	WR	Skyy Moore
55	46	9	TE	Trey McBride
56	48	8	EDGE	Sam Williams
57	62	-5	G	Luke Goedeke
58	96	-38	LB	Troy Andersen
59	136	-77	G	Ed Ingram
60	100	-40	CB	Cam Taylor-Britt
61	150	-89	EDGE	Drake Jackson
62	32	30	SAF	Bryan Cook
63	115	-52	RB	James Cook
64	41	23	EDGE	Nik Bonitto

morasp · Apr 27, 2023

Yes, it's the one done by Lance Zierlein. Good work on your list by the way. They aren't perfect but usually are pretty good. I made sure to put the comments for each tier like pro bowl etc. he puts a pretty fine point on it.

stilltheguru · Apr 27, 2023

xwalker said:
Are those NFL.com rankings?

They have not been very accurate in recent years.

2022 NFL.com rankings vs actual draft:

Overall (Actual)
Rank (NFL)
Diff
Position
Player
1
14
-13
DE
Travon Walker
2
2
0
DE
Aidan Hutchinson
3
11
-8
DB
Derek Stingley Jr.
4
5
-1
CB
Sauce Gardner
5
6
-1
EDGE
Kayvon Thibodeaux
6
4
2
OT
Ikem Ekwonu
7
3
4
OT
Evan Neal
8
23
-15
WR
Drake London
9
17
-8
OT
Charles Cross
10
12
-2
WR
Garrett Wilson
11
18
-7
WR
Chris Olave
12
15
-3
WR
Jameson Williams
13
10
3
DT
Jordan Davis
14
1
13
SAF
Kyle Hamilton
15
16
-1
OL
Kenyon Green
16
64
-48
WR
Jahan Dotson

17
39
-22
OL
Zion Johnson
18
9
9
WR
Treylon Burks
19
24
-5
OT
Trevor Penning
20
25
-5
QB
Kenny Pickett
21
8
13
CB
Trent McDuffie
22
59
-37
LB
Quay Walker
23
29
-6
CB
Kaiir Elam
24
43
-19
OT
Tyler Smith
25
7
18
C
Tyler Linderbaum
26
13
13
DE
Jermaine Johnson II
27
31
-4
LB
Devin Lloyd
28
36
-8
DT
Devonte Wyatt
29
52
-23
G
Cole Strange
30
22
8
EDGE
George Karlaftis
31
42
-11
SAF
Daxton Hill
32
51
-19
SAF
Lewis Cine

33
50
-17
DE
Logan Hall
34
60
-26
WR
Christian Watson
35
55
-20
CB
Roger McCreary
36
30
6
RB
Breece Hall
37
70
-33
DB
Jalen Pitre
38
38
0
EDGE
Arnold Ebiketie
39
45
-6
CB
Kyler Gordon
40
34
6
EDGE
Boye Mafe
41
35
6
RB
Kenneth Walker III
42
37
5
CB
Andrew Booth Jr.
43
107
-64
WR
Wan'Dale Robinson
44
98
-54
WR
John Metchie III
45
26
19
EDGE
David Ojabo
46
44
2
DE
Josh Paschal
47
58
-11
DT
Phidarian Mathis
48
28
20
SAF
Jaquan Brisker

49
109
-60
CB
Alontae Taylor
50
180
-130
WR
Tyquan Thornton
51
133
-82
C
Cam Jurgens
52
76
-24
WR
George Pickens
53
114
-61
WR
Alec Pierce
54
69
-15
WR
Skyy Moore
55
46
9
TE
Trey McBride
56
48
8
EDGE
Sam Williams
57
62
-5
G
Luke Goedeke
58
96
-38
LB
Troy Andersen
59
136
-77
G
Ed Ingram
60
100
-40
CB
Cam Taylor-Britt
61
150
-89
EDGE
Drake Jackson
62
32
30
SAF
Bryan Cook
63
115
-52
RB
James Cook
64
41
23
EDGE
Nik Bonitto

Where is your 2022 ranking?

NFL Draft Prospect Rankings

morasp

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morasp

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morasp

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xwalker

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morasp

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stilltheguru

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