NFL Ranking Accuracy: 2022 Review

xwalker · Apr 16, 2023

The diff column shows how far off the ranking was relative to the actual draft pick.

Relevant to pick #26
Actual Picks #17 to #32: Ranking Range #7 to #59

Overall (Actual)	Rank (NFL)	Diff	Position	Player
1	14	-13	DE	Travon Walker
2	2	0	DE	Aidan Hutchinson
3	11	-8	DB	Derek Stingley Jr.
4	5	-1	CB	Sauce Gardner
5	6	-1	EDGE	Kayvon Thibodeaux
6	4	2	OT	Ikem Ekwonu
7	3	4	OT	Evan Neal
8	23	-15	WR	Drake London
9	17	-8	OT	Charles Cross
10	12	-2	WR	Garrett Wilson
11	18	-7	WR	Chris Olave
12	15	-3	WR	Jameson Williams
13	10	3	DT	Jordan Davis
14	1	13	SAF	Kyle Hamilton
15	16	-1	OL	Kenyon Green
16	64	-48	WR	Jahan Dotson

17	39	-22	OL	Zion Johnson
18	9	9	WR	Treylon Burks
19	24	-5	OT	Trevor Penning
20	25	-5	QB	Kenny Pickett
21	8	13	CB	Trent McDuffie
22	59	-37	LB	Quay Walker
23	29	-6	CB	Kaiir Elam
24	43	-19	OT	Tyler Smith
25	7	18	C	Tyler Linderbaum
26	13	13	DE	Jermaine Johnson II
27	31	-4	LB	Devin Lloyd
28	36	-8	DT	Devonte Wyatt
29	52	-23	G	Cole Strange
30	22	8	EDGE	George Karlaftis
31	42	-11	SAF	Daxton Hill
32	51	-19	SAF	Lewis Cine

33	50	-17	DE	Logan Hall
34	60	-26	WR	Christian Watson
35	55	-20	CB	Roger McCreary
36	30	6	RB	Breece Hall
37	70	-33	DB	Jalen Pitre
38	38	0	EDGE	Arnold Ebiketie
39	45	-6	CB	Kyler Gordon
40	34	6	EDGE	Boye Mafe
41	35	6	RB	Kenneth Walker III
42	37	5	CB	Andrew Booth Jr.
43	107	-64	WR	Wan'Dale Robinson
44	98	-54	WR	John Metchie III
45	26	19	EDGE	David Ojabo
46	44	2	DE	Josh Paschal
47	58	-11	DT	Phidarian Mathis
48	28	20	SAF	Jaquan Brisker

49	109	-60	CB	Alontae Taylor
50	180	-130	WR	Tyquan Thornton
51	133	-82	C	Cam Jurgens
52	76	-24	WR	George Pickens
53	114	-61	WR	Alec Pierce
54	69	-15	WR	Skyy Moore
55	46	9	TE	Trey McBride
56	48	8	EDGE	Sam Williams
57	62	-5	G	Luke Goedeke
58	96	-38	LB	Troy Andersen
59	136	-77	G	Ed Ingram
60	100	-40	CB	Cam Taylor-Britt
61	150	-89	EDGE	Drake Jackson
62	32	30	SAF	Bryan Cook
63	115	-52	RB	James Cook
64	41	23	EDGE	Nik Bonitto

reddyuta · Apr 16, 2023

this sould tell the Hyatt lover to not rely on these ranking,imo NFL teams will have even wilder ranking this draft too and much different than media rankings.

CalPolyTechnique · Apr 16, 2023

Prospect rankings and draft position don’t necessarily correlate.

cnuball21 · Apr 16, 2023

NFL.com rankings are kind of a joke

Malhavoc · Apr 16, 2023

Every team has their own individual boards There are always a few surprises.

Spottswoode · Apr 16, 2023

reddyuta said:
this sould tell the Hyatt lover

I just read the other thread and this made me LOL. This is how I pictured your reaction.

<iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/3ohzdIuqJoo8QdKlnW" width="480" height="222" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="">via GIPHY</a></p>

AsthmaField · Apr 16, 2023

Yeah, NFL.com can be waaayyy off.

CBS Sports.com, who used to be pretty decent, are off on so many prospects that I haven’t even looked at their rankings in a couple of years or so. They’re awful.

InPhiltraitor · Apr 16, 2023

xwalker said:
The diff column shows how far off the ranking was relative to the actual draft pick.

Relevant to pick #26
Actual Picks #17 to #32: Ranking Range #7 to #59

Overall (Actual)
Rank (NFL)
Diff
Position
Player
1
14
-13
DE
Travon Walker
2
2
0
DE
Aidan Hutchinson
3
11
-8
DB
Derek Stingley Jr.
4
5
-1
CB
Sauce Gardner
5
6
-1
EDGE
Kayvon Thibodeaux
6
4
2
OT
Ikem Ekwonu
7
3
4
OT
Evan Neal
8
23
-15
WR
Drake London
9
17
-8
OT
Charles Cross
10
12
-2
WR
Garrett Wilson
11
18
-7
WR
Chris Olave
12
15
-3
WR
Jameson Williams
13
10
3
DT
Jordan Davis
14
1
13
SAF
Kyle Hamilton
15
16
-1
OL
Kenyon Green
16
64
-48
WR
Jahan Dotson

17
39
-22
OL
Zion Johnson
18
9
9
WR
Treylon Burks
19
24
-5
OT
Trevor Penning
20
25
-5
QB
Kenny Pickett
21
8
13
CB
Trent McDuffie
22
59
-37
LB
Quay Walker
23
29
-6
CB
Kaiir Elam
24
43
-19
OT
Tyler Smith
25
7
18
C
Tyler Linderbaum
26
13
13
DE
Jermaine Johnson II
27
31
-4
LB
Devin Lloyd
28
36
-8
DT
Devonte Wyatt
29
52
-23
G
Cole Strange
30
22
8
EDGE
George Karlaftis
31
42
-11
SAF
Daxton Hill
32
51
-19
SAF
Lewis Cine

33
50
-17
DE
Logan Hall
34
60
-26
WR
Christian Watson
35
55
-20
CB
Roger McCreary
36
30
6
RB
Breece Hall
37
70
-33
DB
Jalen Pitre
38
38
0
EDGE
Arnold Ebiketie
39
45
-6
CB
Kyler Gordon
40
34
6
EDGE
Boye Mafe
41
35
6
RB
Kenneth Walker III
42
37
5
CB
Andrew Booth Jr.
43
107
-64
WR
Wan'Dale Robinson
44
98
-54
WR
John Metchie III
45
26
19
EDGE
David Ojabo
46
44
2
DE
Josh Paschal
47
58
-11
DT
Phidarian Mathis
48
28
20
SAF
Jaquan Brisker

49
109
-60
CB
Alontae Taylor
50
180
-130
WR
Tyquan Thornton
51
133
-82
C
Cam Jurgens
52
76
-24
WR
George Pickens
53
114
-61
WR
Alec Pierce
54
69
-15
WR
Skyy Moore
55
46
9
TE
Trey McBride
56
48
8
EDGE
Sam Williams
57
62
-5
G
Luke Goedeke
58
96
-38
LB
Troy Andersen
59
136
-77
G
Ed Ingram
60
100
-40
CB
Cam Taylor-Britt
61
150
-89
EDGE
Drake Jackson
62
32
30
SAF
Bryan Cook
63
115
-52
RB
James Cook
64
41
23
EDGE
Nik Bonitto

Notice the gap difference in the Overall and the Rank from the first group of 16 to the last group of 16. Expected, but interesting to see.

morasp · Apr 16, 2023

Teams can be off too and often are even in round one. More telling would be the rankings from three years ago and how those players are doing today.

Cowboyny · Apr 16, 2023

AsthmaField said:
Yeah, NFL.com can be waaayyy off.

CBS Sports.com, who used to be pretty decent, are off on so many prospects that I haven’t even looked at their rankings in a couple of years or so. They’re awful.

Once Dane left, CBS was never the same

AsthmaField · Apr 16, 2023

Cowboyny said:
Once Dane left, CBS was never the same

For sure…

Cowboyny · Apr 16, 2023

AsthmaField said:
For sure…

It’s a shame, that was my go to site

MAZEREZAM · Apr 16, 2023

AsthmaField said:
Yeah, NFL.com can be waaayyy off.

CBS Sports.com, who used to be pretty decent, are off on so many prospects that I haven’t even looked at their rankings in a couple of years or so. They’re awful.

I think The Draft Network does a good job on their rankings. And Brugler, of course.

AsthmaField · Apr 16, 2023

MAZEREZAM said:
I think The Draft Network does a good job on their rankings. And Brugler, of course.

Yeah, I look at TDN a good bit. PFF is okay too.

All of them can be off. You always need to use a big dose of common sense when looking at anyone’s rankings. After looking at several sites and watching some mocks on YouTube from guys that I trust and respect (NFL Stock Exchange/Brett Kollmann), you start to get a pretty good idea of where guys should be ranked / be drafted.

And of course, as time goes on there will be prospects that will rise and some that will fall.

By this time of the draft cycle, I feel like I have a pretty good grip on the draft.

But like always… there will be surprises.

MAZEREZAM · Apr 16, 2023

AsthmaField said:
Yeah, I look at TDN a good bit. PFF is okay too.

All of them can be off. You always need to use a big dose of common sense when looking at anyone’s rankings. After looking at several sites and watching some mocks on YouTube from guys that I trust and respect (NFL Stock Exchange/Brett Kollmann), you start to get a pretty good idea of where guys should be ranked / be drafted.

And of course, as time goes on there will be prospects that will rise and some that will fall.

By this time of the draft cycle, I feel like I have a pretty good grip on the draft.

But like always… there will be surprises.

Nice. I’ll have to look in to those YouTube channels.

AsthmaField · Apr 16, 2023

MAZEREZAM said:
Nice. I’ll have to look in to those YouTube channels.

The NFL Stock Exchange is a couple of PFF guys who also do their own channel. It is Trevor Sikkema and Connor Rogers. Both are good and their NFL evaluations happen to parallel the way I think on prospects. They’re good, IMO. Check out some of their Mock Drafts.

Kollmann knows football and is usually good with his evaluations. He has a podcast that he does with another guy called The Bootleg Football Podcast.

I recommend both channels. If you enjoy the draft as much as I do, they both have really good content.

Trevor and Connor actually did a collaborative Mock draft with the Bootleg Football guys a couple of weeks ago. It was fun.

Anyway, yeah, check them out when you have some time.

NFL Ranking Accuracy: 2022 Review

xwalker

Well-Known Member

reddyuta

Well-Known Member

CalPolyTechnique

Well-Known Member

cnuball21

Well-Known Member

Malhavoc

Well-Known Member

Spottswoode

Well-Known Member

AsthmaField

Outta bounds

InPhiltraitor

Well-Known Member

morasp

Well-Known Member

Cowboyny

Well-Known Member

AsthmaField

Outta bounds

Cowboyny

Well-Known Member

MAZEREZAM

Well-Known Member

AsthmaField

Outta bounds

MAZEREZAM

Well-Known Member

AsthmaField

Outta bounds