I like Hamilton too. Well, except for him incessantly pounding me over the head with his religious views.
What I'm weighting here is this. Money, years, health, productivity.
As a healthy player in the grand scheme of things: Hamilton > Fielder.
Josh Hamilton:
- Possitives: He is a defensive wizard and a better overall hitter. He is a fan favorite and seems like an all around good guy.
- Negatives: He has missed almost an entire season in the last three years. He hasn't played a full season in those three years. He doesn't hit as many HRs as Fielder. He is and forever will be an addict and forever at risk of falling off the wagon. (he has already slipped up at least once) While everyone deserves a chance, the chance he gets will be well over $100M contract. A contract you have to give and have options on who you give it too.
Prince Fielder:
- Positives: Fielders is a good hitter and a big HR hitter. The ball park has a short right field porch that benefits both players, but Fielder even more. Fielder has missed 1 game in the last three years. He has missed 13 in the last six years. When comparing Fielder to Hamilton money wise, you get full value for Fielder and only 3/4 value for Hamilton based on games played. Fielder isn't a drugs or alcohol risk as far as we know. Even with Fielder's enormous size, he is still a decent defensive first baseman.
- Negatives: He isn't as good a hitter as Hamilton. His defense isn't as good as Hamiltons.
Now. Do you pay Fielder 10 years $225M ($22.5M / year) or Hamilton 10 years $168M. (basicly 3/4 of what you offer Fielder) You can't offer him more because he doesn't play enough games. Hamilton currently makes $12M a year. Will he accept only a $4M raise? Probably not. He has already made it clear that
he thinks he is worth top money like Fielder and said the Rangers should not make any offers that that he thinks are lowball offers.
There is no way I offer Hamilton $200M Far to much risk involved with him to offer that type of money. For that type of money, the player MUST be on the field 95% of the time. That is Fielder.
The only reason I would go with Hamilton over Fielder is if Hamilton takes a contract that helps me accept the risk. There is always a risk paying someone $225M. (Fielder) If I sign Hamilton, it won't be fore 10 years and it won't be for more than $100M. Five years $90M is more likely.
It's simple in my book. Fielder's Pros/Cons leans a whole lot more to the Pros, and Hamilton's leans heavily to the Cons. The only thing that will balance out the Fielder/Hamilton decision in my book is money and contract length.