Updated DPOY odds, Bland moving up

MapleLeaf

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No other defensive player is doing anything we haven't seen before. DaRon has already set a new league record for pick-6s in a single season. How is he not the lead dog for this award by far? Give this man his flowers!!!
If he can move the record by two more picksixes I think he wins the award on a runaway train.

It would be an accomplishment that is unprecendented by a long shot.
 

JoeKing

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If he can move the record by two more picksixes I think he wins the award on a runaway train.

It would be an accomplishment that is unprecendented by a long shot.
With 5 games left in the regular season, I think he pushes the record at least by one. That should be plenty in my opinion.
 

jazzcat22

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How many picks overall this year, 7? And 5 of them pick 6's.

Even if he gets 5 more picks in the next 6 games. That is still an accomplishment. Puts him at 12, and say 1 of them is a pick 6. Then that will do it.

Hope for Garrett and Watt to have some not so good games for sacks.

I doubt he gets 8 more picks to set the NFL record. I think Night Train Lane has it at 14, but that was what in 12 games.
Doesn't matter. With he rules now days protecting the offense. That is still a great accomplishment. So no asterisk needed. I like what the announcers said. He did it in 11 games, so no asterisk for a 17 games season.
Back then the DB could mug the WR, and get away with it. Now, a tap on the jersey can be called a PI.

Wouldn't that suck. He gets an INT for the record and called back for a bogus penalty.
 

Nova

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No other defensive player is doing anything we haven't seen before. DaRon has already set a new league record for pick-6s in a single season. How is he not the lead dog for this award by far? Give this man his flowers!!!
  • Pedigree and Expectations
  • Competition
  • Timing and Stakes

It's an incredible feat that is unlikely to be beaten (still has games left, also). But since Bland wasn't an all-star before the season, I'm guessing others view it as fluky.

If it were Sauce, the headlines would be "GOAT CB Season?"
 

JoeKing

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  • Pedigree and Expectations
  • Competition
  • Timing and Stakes

It's an incredible feat that is unlikely to be beaten (still has games left, also). But since Bland wasn't an all-star before the season, I'm guessing others view it as fluky.

If it were Sauce, the headlines would be "GOAT CB Season?"
Well, guess what? A star is born in 2023... DaRon Bland! He needs a marketing team to get right on that. :cool:
 

Motorola

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With 5 games left in the regular season, I think he pushes the record at least by one. That should be plenty in my opinion.
If he can move the record by two more picksixes I think he wins the award on a runaway train.

It would be an accomplishment that is unprecendented by a long shot.
Remaining 6 Cowboys opponents \ the QBs Bland will be facing:
1) Seahawks \ Geno Smith -- 50% chance for a pick-six
2) Eagles \ Jalen Hurts --- 30%
3) @ Bills \ Josh Allen --- 80%
4) @ Dolphins \ Tua Tagovailoa --- 20%
5) Lions \ Jared Goff -- 50%
6) Commanders \ Sam Howell --- 60%
 

JoeKing

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Remaining 6 Cowboys opponents \ the QBs Bland will be facing:
1) Seahawks \ Geno Smith -- 50% chance for a pick-six
2) Eagles \ Jalen Hurts --- 30%
3) @ Bills \ Josh Allen --- 80%
4) @ Dolphins \ Tua Tagovailoa --- 20%
5) Lions \ Jared Goff -- 50%
6) Commanders \ Sam Howell --- 60%
Are you sure those percentages are for pick-six and not just an INT? There is a difference.
 

MyFairLady

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No other defensive player is doing anything we haven't seen before. DaRon has already set a new league record for pick-6s in a single season. How is he not the lead dog for this award by far? Give this man his flowers!!!
No kidding. Should be in the lead for sure.
 

Adreme

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With 5 games left in the regular season, I think he pushes the record at least by one. That should be plenty in my opinion.
It won’t be. If he had the record for INTs maybe, but pick 6 is too low of a record for it to dominate everything else.

Garrett and Watt have the better story to go with elite production so I would expect one of them to get it.
 

Motorola

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Are you sure those percentages are for pick-six and not just an INT? There is a difference.
I'm looking at them as pick-6 odds (rather inflated on my part):
-Smith gets hung up in the pocket - not a scrambler- throws one up to avoid another sack Thursday night
-Hurts is going to be careful about throwing towards Bland - even if he's covering Brown
-Allen will keep throwing that intermediate sideline out (that Bills fans hate) for a great INT=TD opportunity...and he will be in hero-ball mode to get a playoff berth. (He may even cough up a fumble for a scoop & score TD for Dallas. )
- Tua threw a pick-six v. Giants earlier this season...he will be careful
- Goff -every time I've watched the Lions play this year, he always misreads the coverage, which leads to an easy INT chance.
- Howell...despite what happened last week, he's gonna sling it to help Washington finish their season with another home win over Dallas.
 
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