What Happens Now to the NFL Prospects Who Opted Out of Their Final College Season?

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https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/04/07/daily-cover-nfl-draft-opt-out-covid

So far Gregory Rousseau has interviewed with more than 20 NFL teams in the lead-up to this month’s draft, and so far each video call has followed a similar line of inquiry. “Just different voices every time,” the former Miami Hurricanes defensive end says, “but it’s the same stuff.”

First the team officials on his Zoom screen start with small talk, lobbing softballs about his football background. “Like, ‘Walk me through your high school, walk me through getting recruited to Miami,’ ” says Rousseau, 21, a Coconut Creek, Fla., native whose 15.5 sacks as a sophomore in 2019 ranked second nationwide. Then the officials scooch closer to their cameras and someone segues with an ominous Soo . . . Rousseau knows what is next. “They always ask why I opted out,” he says. “It’s like clockwork.”

Plenty of draft hopefuls can relate. Where the upper crust of the class of 2021 is flush with potential star quarterbacks, the rest is defined by a larger yet equally intriguing prospect group—ranging from third-day fliers to first-round talents such as offensive tackles Penei Sewell (Oregon) and Rashawn Slater (Northwestern), receiver Ja’Marr Chase (LSU), cornerback Caleb Farley (Virginia Tech) and Rousseau—whose collective notoriety comes not from anything they did on the field last fall but because they didn’t play at all. Instead they elected to opt out of the college football season over health concerns amid the COVID-19 pandemic. “It feels like a brotherhood,” Farley says. “You know you have a lot in common with these guys.”

dcovoptouts_v.jpg

Jeffery A. Salter/Sports Illustrated

That includes the inevitable blitz of interview questions about their decisions, dialed up by NFL evaluators desperate for intel. “The conversation ain’t gonna go too long before it comes out,” says receiver Damonte Coxie, who left Memphis two games into the Tigers’ season. Often a quick explanation is enough to satisfy teams, as when Rousseau describes how he was influenced by the horror stories his mother, Anne, brought home from her 12-hour shifts as an ICU nurse in Fort Lauderdale last summer. “They all seem O.K. with it,” Rousseau says. “Probably want to hear it from my mouth, make sure I'm not switching up my story every 10 minutes.”

But some clubs press harder. Farley recalls one coach challenging him by snidely remarking, “How do we know you’re not just gonna opt out this season because of COVID, too?” Ambry Thomas, who skipped his senior year at Michigan in part due to his ulcerative colitis, which requires him to take immunosuppressants, recounts a testy exchange that began when brass from an NFC team asked whether the defensive back considered himself a team player. “I’m like, ‘Yeah, without a doubt,’ ” Thomas, 21, says. “They were like, ‘Why did you opt out, then?’ And then they just started ramming me.”
 
Any player that opted out and was considering the NFL knows those questions are coming. Sometimes they're not as interested in what they say as in how they respond.

That job is all about uncovering the red flags so they don't get blindsided.

I understand that a hell of a lot more than Dez Bryant being asked if his Mom's a prostitute. They're interviewing potential employees and the questions should fit within that framework, Bryant's didn't.
 
If I'm an NFL team trying to decide between Player A that played last year and Player B that opted out, I'm probably going with the one that played assuming you rate them as similar prospects. You just have more information about the one who played.
 
This draft will be more of a crap shoot than ever before. A lot of good and bad luck may be involved.
Players that opted out. And no NFL combine, will probably be less in person workouts.
Such as any one hear anything on what Dallas usually does and bring in about 20 prospects, and many local prospects as well. I don't think they are doing that again this year.

Scouts will need to be more spot on than ever. However, what has really changed in their approach to say otherwise. They still look at film, talk to players, coaches, but nothing any different they can really do to make better evaluations.

As Pat Summerall once said...if they get lucky in the draft, and that is all the draft really is, is luck....
He said that about Dallas and all the picks they had coming up, in the 1990 T-Day game as Dallas was beating up on Washington. After Emmitt had a long TD run.
 
I have the feeling this issue might impact the draft more than is being projected by the media. It is an uncomfortable subject -- nobody wants to imply that anyone's concerns weren't valid. But the fact remains, those who played created tape. Those who didn't play didn't create tape.

Beyond that, players often elevate their stock during a season -- and they often see their stock fall. The guys who opted out could do neither.

I don't imagine it will cause a top talent to free fall, but I surely think it will be a tiebreaker in many instances. And it probably will cause mid-level players to go lower than otherwise.
 
Simple, they better have a lot of good tape 2019 and prior. You can always call their college position coach and see how much they loved football.
 
Simple answer as to why they opted out....

They all thought they would be top picks and didn't want to risk injury, or lower their stock with a bad season.

The case could be made that it backfired on each one of them, with the possible exception of Sewell (I think Slater ends up going first).
 
It is not unreasonable for teams to want to know the circumstances for players who opted out. I am sure many players had good reasons, like protecting their family members, but is it possible some players who had a good year in 2019, knowing they would be entering the draft in 2021, did not want to jeopardize their standing in the draft by having a sub-par season or an injury in 2020?

Teams have less information to go by in 2021. Players who opted out have been out of football for a year. What will they be like once they hit the field? Will injuries be up for these players? Rust?

I am very curious to see how NFL teams rate these players. To me, it is clear guys who have not played for a year are a bigger risk than guys who did.
 
Quite simply, I would not invest a draft pick in a player who opted out.

Not just because of the "love of football" thing, but just the simple layoff and lack of extra development.

It is already hard enough to get actual rep experience now with limited OTAs etc.

Some of these players will enter the draft with less than two years of major college FB experience.

No way I spend a quality choice on that.
 
https://www.si.com/nfl/2021/04/07/daily-cover-nfl-draft-opt-out-covid

So far Gregory Rousseau has interviewed with more than 20 NFL teams in the lead-up to this month’s draft, and so far each video call has followed a similar line of inquiry. “Just different voices every time,” the former Miami Hurricanes defensive end says, “but it’s the same stuff.”

First the team officials on his Zoom screen start with small talk, lobbing softballs about his football background. “Like, ‘Walk me through your high school, walk me through getting recruited to Miami,’ ” says Rousseau, 21, a Coconut Creek, Fla., native whose 15.5 sacks as a sophomore in 2019 ranked second nationwide. Then the officials scooch closer to their cameras and someone segues with an ominous Soo . . . Rousseau knows what is next. “They always ask why I opted out,” he says. “It’s like clockwork.”

Plenty of draft hopefuls can relate. Where the upper crust of the class of 2021 is flush with potential star quarterbacks, the rest is defined by a larger yet equally intriguing prospect group—ranging from third-day fliers to first-round talents such as offensive tackles Penei Sewell (Oregon) and Rashawn Slater (Northwestern), receiver Ja’Marr Chase (LSU), cornerback Caleb Farley (Virginia Tech) and Rousseau—whose collective notoriety comes not from anything they did on the field last fall but because they didn’t play at all. Instead they elected to opt out of the college football season over health concerns amid the COVID-19 pandemic. “It feels like a brotherhood,” Farley says. “You know you have a lot in common with these guys.”

dcovoptouts_v.jpg

Jeffery A. Salter/Sports Illustrated

That includes the inevitable blitz of interview questions about their decisions, dialed up by NFL evaluators desperate for intel. “The conversation ain’t gonna go too long before it comes out,” says receiver Damonte Coxie, who left Memphis two games into the Tigers’ season. Often a quick explanation is enough to satisfy teams, as when Rousseau describes how he was influenced by the horror stories his mother, Anne, brought home from her 12-hour shifts as an ICU nurse in Fort Lauderdale last summer. “They all seem O.K. with it,” Rousseau says. “Probably want to hear it from my mouth, make sure I'm not switching up my story every 10 minutes.”

But some clubs press harder. Farley recalls one coach challenging him by snidely remarking, “How do we know you’re not just gonna opt out this season because of COVID, too?” Ambry Thomas, who skipped his senior year at Michigan in part due to his ulcerative colitis, which requires him to take immunosuppressants, recounts a testy exchange that began when brass from an NFC team asked whether the defensive back considered himself a team player. “I’m like, ‘Yeah, without a doubt,’ ” Thomas, 21, says. “They were like, ‘Why did you opt out, then?’ And then they just started ramming me.”
I totally get why players opted out last football season but if I was a GM those opt out players would drop on my board. I have questions about Sewell, Parsons and Farley that might keep me from risking a top 10 pick on them. I guess I feel different about Chase and Slater because there sophomore tape was perfect.
 
Quite simply, I would not invest a draft pick in a player who opted out.

Not just because of the "love of football" thing, but just the simple layoff and lack of extra development.

It is already hard enough to get actual rep experience now with limited OTAs etc.

Some of these players will enter the draft with less than two years of major college FB experience.

No way I spend a quality choice on that.
Yeah, there also is the fact clubs are already operating with less information than in the past. This introduces another level of uncertainty.

I don't know how much I'd devalue an opt-out, but I'd certainly need to have a compelling counterweight.
 

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