What will the Spread be next week?

[sonnyboy]

I say Dallas -2

 

[windward]

Washington -4

 

[StylisticS]

Much more reasonable then the last one Vegas put out. :laugh2:

 

[Hypnotoad]

shouldnt it be out already

edit: it is washington is favored by -2.5

11/13 8:15 ET At New England -3.5 NY Jets
11/16 1:00 ET At Atlanta -5.5 Denver
11/16 1:00 ET At Miami -12 Oakland
11/16 1:00 ET At NY Giants -5* Baltimore
11/16 1:00 ET At Indianapolis -8 Houston
11/16 4:15 ET Tennessee -3 At Jacksonville
11/16 1:00 ET At Green Bay -5.5 Chicago
11/16 1:00 ET Philadelphia -9* At Cincinnati
11/16 1:00 ET New Orleans -4.5 At Kansas City
11/16 1:00 ET At Carolina -14 Detroit
11/16 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -3.5 Minnesota
11/16 4:05 ET At San Francisco -3.5 St. Louis
11/16 4:05 ET Arizona -3.5 At Seattle
11/16 4:15 ET At Pittsburgh -3.5 San Diego
11/16 8:15 ET At Washington -2.5 Dallas

Monday Night Football Point Spread

11/17 8:35 ET At Buffalo -5 Cleveland

 

[TellerMorrow34]

I imagine they'll have the Skins favored and probably favored by something silly.

 

[StylisticS]

Doesn't the home team automatically get three points towards them? If so, they are kind of expecting us to beat them again.

 

[the kid 05]

can someone explain this to me ive never under stood this

 

[Hypnotoad]

can someone explain this to me ive never under stood this

The home team automatically is favored by -3 points. So if the Commanders are at home and they are favored by only -2.5 instead of -3 that means that if it was played on a neutral field Dallas would be favored by -0.5 points.

If it was played in Dallas, Dallas would be favored by -3.5.

Basically, they are expected to win by a fieldgoal since they are home. They are not at a neutral field, so adjusting their score is pointless other than seeing what Vegas really thinks about the two teams.

 

[the kid 05]

The home team automatically is favored by -3 points. So if the Commanders are at home and they are favored by only -2.5 instead of -3 that means that if it was played on a neutral field Dallas would be favored by -0.5 points.

If it was played in Dallas, Dallas would be favored by -3.5.

Basically, they are expected to win by a fieldgoal since they are home. They are not at a neutral field, so adjusting their score is pointless other than seeing what Vegas really thinks about the two teams.

gotcha and thank you

 

[Seven]

Helen.................

 

[Jay]

The whole idea that the home team gets an automatic 3 point is nothing but false.

The whole idea behind Vegas created lines is it's just an attempt for them to get even money bet on both sides of the bet. Typical lines are -110, meaning to win $100, you have to risk $110. This is called the "vig" or the "juice". If you consider a bookie's viewpoint, let's say he gets $550 on the Cowboys +2.5 and $550 on the Commanders -2.5--and let's say that the Cowboys win. Those bettors that took the Cowboys, in total, risked $550 and profited $500--but the Commanders bettors risked $550 and didn't win anything. The bookie pays out $500 to the Cowboys backers and then pockets that extra $50 he makes.

So yeah, the whole "home team gets 3 points" is nothing but a myth. Vegas wants even money on both sides to guarantee profit on their part, so lines are dictated by public perception and nothing else. If money is getting one-sided, the line will often move in order to tempt more bettors to venture to the other side. Has nothing to do with what "vegas thinks" or "vegas' prediction", it's ALL about public perception.

 

[CrazyCowboy]

Dallas +3