Doesn't strike you as a little boom or bust first round?
To me, he's the prototypical Jerry Jones round 2 player, which is the point of the post.
Question marks, but overall great talent. Not sure what those question marks are, but the lack of college production could set the price.
If you want a round 1, day 1 ready TE, it's Mayer.
It definitely is a little boom or bust. That I why I called it tempting. If he was already good in the passing game, I wouldn’t be tempted… I’d just want to pick him.
Typically though, I will go for a guy like Mayer over Washington, every time. However, Washington‘s ceiling is so high, and his blocking is currently, probably top 5 in the NFL, already. If he were to become a polished receiver, like Mayer, he would be a very real weapon for a team.
Understand that I do love a bruising running game and really want to get it going in Dallas this year. Washington would go a long way to helping that… and he’d do that right away.
I don’t know if you’ve ever played any defense, but when you are playing against a good, punishing running game, where the TE(s) are good blockers, it takes a lot out of you as a secondary player. It is rough. When those good blocking TE(s) are really good pass catchers and the offense starts running play action passes… it becomes downright miserable for the guys that have to cover those guys. It becomes so difficult to stop.
So, with Washington, I can envision a 12 personnel package with him and Ferguson playing TE, blocking like crazy for Pollard and whoever else is sharing the backfield. That could be a very good running game, in part because Washington is such a brutal blocker. But if he were to start to meet his ability in the passing game, it could be very difficult for defenses to stop.
That is why I would like him on the team… but it is somewhat of a projection. ie, boom-or-bust. And I’d love to get him in the second, but he’ll be long gone by the Cowboys second round pick.
The truth is, I like all 3 TE’s a lot (Washington, Mayer, and Kincaid), and I could be happy with any of the 3. However, if I was Dallas and actually going to make the pick… it very well might be Mayer over Washington for me, just because of the reasons you mention. He’s already a good blocker. As good as Washington? No, but good. And he’s already pretty accomplished as a receiver. Washington’s ceiling as a receiver is above Mayer’s… but for now, Mayer is pretty far ahead of Washington in that department.
So yeah, I might would go with Mayer if I were making the pick. Like you mention; he’d be ready to go day 1. But like I said… Washington is tempting.
And really, the guy I’d want the most is Kincaid because he is already better as a receiver than either of the other two guys ever will be, IMO, and he might have the best hands I’ve ever seen.