If the Cowboys win out

[dallasdave]

Exactly

Viva Las VEGAS

 

[Kevinicus]

Well, I tried to do it, but I was unable to eliminate the Cowboys prior to week 17 if they win the next two games.

 

[thechosen1n2]

We make the playoffs 79% of the time. Our odds improved slightly by 1% over the last week where is was at 78%.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...ak-dal-15=loss&dal-sea-16=win&phi-dal-17=loss

If we lose to the Seachickens it drops to 43% of outcomes.

The site is a welcome alternative to the whining and doomsaying that is all the rage around here lately for those of us who want to develop an informed opinion.

It's a further useful tool as it points out via color coding which matchups are most important and how we want them to turn out to get into the playoffs. Green is good.

Just win out and let the chips fall...

 

[crashintonickdm]

If this team can’t beat Oakland then yikes

When zeke returns they’ll blow the Seahawks out.

 

[Frozen700]

We will win out, not make the playoffs and therefore get a ****** draft pick. Yay

 

[Idgit]

We will win out, not make the playoffs and therefore get a ****ty draft pick. Yay

Quick...who you got: Mitch Trubisky or Deshaun Watson?

There's a lot more to improving a team in the draft that what order you pick your guys in. It's silly to get too caught up in that anyway until you know what positions you're trying to fill. Win your games, and let the chips fall where they fall.

 

[AdamJT13]

The problem is that we need Atlanta to lose 2 of three or Carolina to tank and that's not likely to happen.

We don't "need" those to happen. They can both win their next two (they play each other in the final week, so they can't both win out), and we can still make the playoffs.

 

[Little Jr]

We don't "need" those to happen. They can both win their next two (they play each other in the final week, so they can't both win out), and we can still make the playoffs.

How?

 

[Kevinicus]

How?

The Saints lose.

 

[Little Jr]

The Saints lose.

We get the spot if it's a 3 way tie between us, saints and falcons?

 

[garyo1954]

As of this morning:

The Cowboys make the playoffs in 56 percent* of scenarios.

* Based on 29,106 simulations.

IF we win out.

Who is going to be around for this situation to play out 29,106 times?

 

[Kevinicus]

We get the spot if it's a 3 way tie between us, saints and falcons?

Falcons can win the division.

No 3-way tie-breakers if 2 or more teams are the same division. Only one team from a division goes to tie-breakers with teams from other divisions.

Saints have to lose 2. If both are NFC games, Dallas would top them. If one is the NYJ this weekend, I am not sure how they would go.

 

[Little Jr]

Falcons can win the division.

No 3-way tie-breakers if 2 or more teams are the same division. Only one team from a division goes to tie-breakers with teams from other divisions.

Saints have to lose 2. If both are NFC games, Dallas would top them. If one is the NYJ this weekend, I am not sure how they would go.

Ok, thanks buddy.

 

[Jake]

The Lions win over Chicago only dropped the Cowboys chances from 60% to 55%.

Why?

Because the biggest variable is the Cowboys ability to win out. A loss at Oakland would drop the Cowboys chances to only 3%.

 

[Verdict]

We will win out, not make the playoffs and therefore get a ****ty draft pick. Yay

That's a reasonable outcome. Not ideal mind you but quite possible.

 

[Jake]

So you're telling me there's a chance...