2012 Playoff Picture

[Tabascocat]

I stole this from another fan forum, thought it was interesting.


Percentages are odds of earning that playoff position or better.
Please note this list is NOT sorted by "if playoffs started today", this is based on the odds of each team earning a playoff spot.

Controls Destiny for this spot
Does Not Control Destiny, but still alive

AFC Playoff Picture - after week 7

Division Leaders:

Texans (6-1)... HFA 54%... Top-2 69%... Division 82%... Playoffs 95%.
Ravens (5-2)... HFA 17%... Top-2 41%... Division 67%... Playoffs 80%.
Broncos (3-3)... HFA 8%... Top-2 25%... Division 60%... Playoffs 72%.
Patriots (4-3)... HFA 8%... Top-2 20%... Division 45%... Playoffs 61%.

Wild-Cards:

Chargers (3-3) (Even with DEN)... HFA 4%... Top-2 11%... Division 26%... Playoffs 48%.
Steelers (3-3) (1.5 behind BAL)... HFA 2%... Top-2 8%... Division 26%... Playoffs 44%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Dolphins (3-3) (0.5 behind NE)... HFA 2%... Top-2 8%... Division 25%... Playoffs 40%.
NY Jets (3-4) (1 behind NE)... HFA 1%... Top-2 4%... Division 20%... Playoffs 33%.
Titans (3-4) (3 behind HOU)... HFA 1%... Top-2 3%... Division 8%... Playoffs 31%.
Colts (3-3) (2.5 behind HOU)... HFA 2%... Top-2 5%... Division 9%... Playoffs 28%.
Raiders (2-4) (1 behind DEN)... HFA 1%... Top-2 3%... Division 8%... Playoffs 24%.
Bills (3-4) (1 behind NE)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 8%... Playoffs 19%.
Bengals (3-4) (2 behind BAL)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 4%... Playoffs 15%.

All-but-eliminated:

Chiefs (1-5) Playoffs: 6%.
Jaguars (1-5) Playoffs: 4%.
Browns (1-6) Playoffs: 2%.

NFC Playoff Picture - after week 7 (without MNF)

Division Leaders:

Falcons (6-0)... HFA 60%... Top-2 77%... Division 98%... Playoffs 99%.
Bears (4-1)... HFA 12%... Top-2 28%... Division 40%... Playoffs 65%.
49ers (5-2)... HFA 7%... Top-2 25%... Division 57%... Playoffs 70%.
Giants (5-2)... HFA 5%... Top-2 14%... Division 33%... Playoffs 55%.

Wild-Cards:

Vikings (5-2) (Even with CHI)... HFA 6%... Top-2 18%... Division 31%... Playoffs 56%.
Packers (4-3) (1 behind CHI)... HFA 2%... Top-2 9%... Division 23%... Playoffs 48%.

In the Hunt (Playoff odds >10%):

Cowboys (3-3) (1.5 behind NYG)... HFA 2%... Top-2 7%... Division 30%... Playoffs 43%.
Seahawks (4-3) (1 behind SF)... HFA 1%... Top-2 6%... Division 16%... Playoffs 38%.
Eagles (3-3) (1.5 behind NYG)... HFA 1%... Top-2 5%... Division 22%... Playoffs 33%.
Cardinals (4-3) (1 behind SF)... HFA 1%... Top-2 4%... Division 17%... Playoffs 30%.
Commanders (3-4) (2 behind NYG)... HFA <1%... Top-2 2%... Division 14%... Playoffs 26%.
Rams (3-4) (2 behind SF)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 9%... Playoffs 17%.
Lions (2-3) (2 behind CHI)... HFA <1%... Top-2 1%... Division 5%... Playoffs 15%.

All-but-eliminated:

Saints (2-4) Playoffs: 2%.
Buccs (2-4) Playoffs: 2%.
Panthers (1-5) Playoffs: 1%.

 

[muck4doo]

We won't get in as a wild card. I still think we can win this division. The Giants aren't invincible.

 

[Tabascocat]

We won't get in as a wild card. I still think we can win this division. The Giants aren't invincible.

I agree, we need to win the division. Those stats point out a couple of things is all, if we lost yesterday, our chances went from 26% to 2%(to make the playoffs). Since we won, it went from 26% to 43% to make them. It shows how important each game is no matter where it is played during the season.

If we beat NY, those numbers jump to 62% to make the playoffs and 44% to win the division.

 

[danielofthesaints]

How are the Packers in the wild-card spot right now over the seahawks when the hawks beat them?

 

[Tabascocat]

How are the Packers in the wild-card spot right now over the seahawks when the hawks beat them?

This is not based on if the playoffs started today. I think it takes into account the divisions they play in, future games and the like.

 

[FloridaRob]

How are the Packers in the wild-card spot right now over the seahawks when the hawks beat them?

Seahawks beat the Packers? I missed that game. I saw the Packers win the game but get jobbed at the end by the officials.

PLayoff seeding after seven games??? Might was well start week one then because it has as much relevance.

 

[Risen Star]

I would strongly argue against the Saints' projections. I think they got a heck of a better shot than a 2% chance to make the playoffs.

 

[muck4doo]

Seahawks beat the Packers? I missed that game. I saw the Packers win the game but get jobbed at the end by the officials.

PLayoff seeding after seven games??? Might was well start week one then because it has as much relevance.

Doesn't matter if they got robbed or not, the record stands.