2025 NFL Trade Value Chart

I'm not a math guy, I'm sure the value has been agreed upon by all teams and mathematicians...

But to move from 5th pick to number one, just based on value and not hard negotiation tactics, it would take the fifth overall pick plus three early 2nd round picks to move into 1st overall pick?

Give me the 5th pick and three early seconds all day.

Doesn't seem like that value is right...unless Mahomes was being drafted again.

I get that teams don't have to go by the value math, it's there as a guider, and teams can negotiate how ever they want.
 
I only ask because I've never heard a GM or someone like the that reference it, other than Jimmy.
 
The chart shows the Cowboys trading down 5 spots in the first only nets then a 3rd round pick, but I wouldn't trade down that far for anything less than a 2nd.

My gut tells me the Cowboys will try to trade up into the 4th round. I really wish we had that 4th round pick we gave away for Lance.
My gut tells me that the Cowboys will at some point between the 2nd and 3rd round will trade down to try to regain that 4th round pick back ..

i won't even put it out of question that in according to McClay draft value board, if there is not an A-group available in McClay's board at 12th overall,
i can see trading down a couple of picks (no more than 3 spots down) ..just as we did during Parson's 1st rd draft ...
 
I hate that Jerry will trade back and rarely will ever trade up. He always seems to get garbage picks when he traded back. He'll get something like a 5th round pick for trading back 10 spots when it's worth a whole lot more..
 
I hate that Jerry will trade back and rarely will ever trade up. He always seems to get garbage picks when he traded back.
Better revisit the last few trades when he moves down. Just last year it netted Beebe.

Also, the Cowboys should never trade up (unless it's for a surefire QB). There isn't one player who would put the Cowboys over the top. And they need all the draft picks they can get.
 
Better revisit the last few trades when he moves down. Just last year it netted Beebe.

Also, the Cowboys should never trade up (unless it's for a surefire QB). There isn't one player who would put the Cowboys over the top. And they need all the draft picks they can get.
Problem is, there is no sure fire QBs. Andrew Luck?

Hasn't it been discussed amongst the few willing to be reasonable here, that QB is just too hard to project, which essentially makes rolling dice on them riskier than taking a defender or WR high in draft?

You move up for sure fire defensive players or WR, imo. Those players aren't hard to project and are less risky.

This convo always leads to a school of thought claiming most starting NFL QBs are FRP...so you have to move up and grab one if you like him.

Ok...but that still side steps the risk vs taking a stud at another position.

My recollection is, teams usually don't go through 4 or 5 DE's until they find a good one. Or WR. Assuming both were highly touted.

Maybe you can claim the total pool of those players is larger and easier find sure fire talent
 
Problem is, there is no sure fire QBs. Andrew Luck?

Hasn't it been discussed amongst the few willing to be reasonable here, that QB is just too hard to project, which essentially makes rolling dice on them riskier than taking a defender or WR high in draft?

You move up for sure fire defensive players or WR, imo. Those players aren't hard to project and are less risky.

This convo always leads to a school of thought claiming most starting NFL QBs are FRP...so you have to move up and grab one if you like him.

Ok...but that still side steps the risk vs taking a stud at another position.

My recollection is, teams usually don't go through 4 or 5 DE's until they find a good one. Or WR. Assuming both were highly touted.

Maybe you can claim the total pool of those players is larger and easier find sure fire talent
QB is always going to be the riskiest position to take. It's the type of position that if you miss the guy hardly ever sees playing time. At least with the WR or DE they can be depth. But if you try and play it safe all the time your never going to hit on a big-time QB. The days of Tom Brady comparisons are over. There is so much more research and development that QBs are being taken early by teams that already have a QB. The garbage is true garbage in the later rounds. Look at every playoff team and the majority are first round QBs. Hurts is a second but he should of been a late first. Dallas passed on him to take Diggs. That's was a bad move. kinda like Taco Charleton bad.
 
There isn't in this draft.
It comes down to what you value more...

There is no doubt everyone would take a QB if it was guaranteed...

It isn't guaranteed.

According to this board and how they set the bar so high...you should be drafting one every year or third year until you nail one.

That COULD end up being 5 FRP stud players at other important positions which could really elevate your team.

There is no arguing about the importance of a good QB. The question is if forgoing on other positions multiple times to score a good QB is better than stacking your squad with talent.

The QB standard is so high that you could go 7 drafts in a row picking a FRP QB and he still might end up being 2nd tier.

Thats how difficult it is...assuming all this is real.
 
According to this board and how they set the bar so high...you should be drafting one every year or third year until you nail one.
If you don't have a franchise QB, you should be drafting one at least every 3 years if not every 2 years.

And the Cowboys are WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYY behind in drafting QB's. They absolutely should look into getting one on day 3.
 
If you don't have a franchise QB, you should be drafting one at least every 3 years if not every 2 years.

And the Cowboys are WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYY behind in drafting QB's. They absolutely should look into getting one on day 3.
I don't think anyone disagrees that dallas should draft a guy in later rounds every couple of years

But franchise QB and Playoff or Super Bowl performer are two different things.

This board is fueled by that silly debate that no one will define.

You have to define it.

Dak and Romo put up numbers, other NFL players claim the two were/are good at their jobs...are they franchise or not? We know dallas should have been drafting qbs regularly during their tenure...that's not the argument I prefer to hear.

In the Dak/Romo situation, where you have what look to be good players but they fail in playoffs, are you really drafting a QB high regularly because the starter isn't winning super Bowls, isn't winning playoff games?

Seems hard to compete if you're using high picks on QBs instead of putting talent around the guy you have.
 
I've always wondered if any teams actually use this chart or if it was just Jimmy.
They ALL use the chart or some close variation...give or take 5%....10% max.
It's proven.

Other than the very top 1-2 picks of the draft (where things can get crazy out of QB desperation) every trade follows this chart within a certain limited margin of error.
 
Personally I would take an extra 3rd round pick in a heartbeat to move back 5 spots. I just dont see a ton of talent differential in this draft in the 1st round after the first few picks. This could end up being one of the more wild drafts in terms of surprise picks we have had in a while....but I could also see fewer trades than ever because the value to trade back just isnt there this year.
Dallas got an early to mid 3rd last year, and that was a bit of steal for Dallas.

But that was dropping down from 24 to 29. Dropping from 12 to 17 is worth more.

If we dropped down 9-10 spots to pick 21 or 22, we could get a 2nd this year.
 
Dallas got an early to mid 3rd last year, and that was a bit of steal for Dallas.

But that was dropping down from 24 to 29. Dropping from 12 to 17 is worth more.

If we dropped down 9-10 spots to pick 21 or 22, we could get a 2nd this year.
Typically I would agree...I'm just not seeing who teams would want to trade up for this year.
 
Here is the trade value chart for this year. It's updated regularly and as new updates are made available I'll be editing this post with the new one. If you follow the link you will find all the trades involving picks from this years draft for every team.

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp?RequestTeam=dal#google_vignette

Most Recent Update: April 4th.

DAL Draft Capital : 1945.8
RD1RD2RD3RD4RD5RD6RD7
PK/TMPK/TMPK/TMPK/TMPK/TMPK/TMPK/TM
1 TEN
3000​
33 CLE
580​
65 NYG
265​
103 TEN
88​
139 MIN
36.5​
177 BUF
20.6​
217 DAL
4.2
2 CLE
2600​
34 NYG
560​
66 KC
260​
104 CLE
86​
140 CAR
36​
178 TEN
19.8​
218 ATL
3.8​
3 NYG
2200​
35 TEN
550​
67 CLE
255​
105 NYG
84​
141 TEN
35.5​
179 CLE
19.4​
219 NYG
3​
4 NE
1800​
36 JAX
540​
68 LV
250​
106 NE
82​
142 JAX
35​
180 LV
19​
220 NE
2.6​
5 JAX
1700​
37 LV
530​
69 NE
245​
107 JAX
80​
143 LV
34.5​
181 LAC
18.6​
221 JAX
2.3​
6 LV
1600​
38 NE
520​
70 JAX
240​
108 LV
78​
144 NE
34​
182 JAX
18.2​
222 LV
2​
7 NYJ
1500​
39 CHI
510​
71 NO
235​
109 BUF
76​
145 NYJ
33.5​
183 BAL
17.8​
223 SEA
1.8​
8 CAR
1400​
40 NO
500​
72 CHI
230​
110 NYJ
74​
146 CAR
33​
184 NO
17.4​
224 MIA
1.6​
9 NO
1350​
41 CHI
490​
73 NYJ
225​
111 CAR
72​
147 SF
32.6​
185 PIT
17​
225 ARI
1.4​
10 CHI
1300​
42 NYJ
480​
74 CAR
220​
112 NO
70​
148 CHI
32.3​
186 NYJ
16.6​
226 KC
1.2​
11 SF
1250​
43 SF
470​
75 SF
215​
113 SF
68​
149 DAL
31.8
187 MIN
16.2​
227 SF
1​
12 DAL
1200
44 DAL
460
76 DAL
210
114 CAR
66​
150 MIA
31.4​
188 TEN
15.8​
228 DET
1​
13 MIA
1150​
45 IND
450​
77 NE
205​
115 ARI
64​
151 IND
31​
189 IND
15.4​
229 PIT
1​
14 IND
1100​
46 ATL
440​
78 ARI
200​
116 MIA
62​
152 ARI
30.6​
190 LAR
15​
230 CAR
1​
15 ATL
1050​
47 ARI
430​
79 HOU
195​
117 IND
60​
153 CIN
30.2​
191 DEN
14.6​
231 MIA
1​
16 ARI
1000​
48 MIA
420​
80 IND
190​
118 ATL
58​
154 NYG
29.8​
192 CLE
14.2​
232 IND
1​
17 CIN
950​
49 CIN
410​
81 CIN
185​
119 CIN
56​
155 MIA
29.4​
193 CIN
13.8​
233 CHI
1​
18 SEA
900​
50 SEA
400​
82 SEA
180​
120 TEN
54​
156 PIT
29​
194 JAX
13.4​
234 SEA
1​
19 TB
875​
51 DEN
390​
83 PIT
175​
121 TB
52​
157 TB
28.6​
195 LAR
13​
235 TB
1​
20 DEN
850​
52 SEA
380​
84 TB
170​
122 DEN
50​
158 LAC
28.2​
196 DET
12.6​
236 HOU
1​
21 PIT
800​
53 TB
370​
85 DEN
165​
123 PIT
49​
159 GB
27.8​
197 DEN
12.2​
237 GB
1​
22 LAC
780​
54 GB
360​
86 LAC
160​
124 GB
48​
160 SF
27.4​
198 GB
11.8​
238 NE
1​
23 GB
760​
55 LAC
350​
87 GB
155​
125 LAC
47​
161 PHI
27​
199 LAC
11.4​
239 DAL
1
24 MIN
740​
56 BUF
340​
88 JAX
150​
126 JAX
46​
162 NYJ
26.6​
200 CLE
11​
240 CHI
1​
25 HOU
720​
57 CAR
330​
89 HOU
145​
127 LAR
45​
163 CAR
26.2​
201 LAR
10.6​
241 HOU
1​
26 LAR
700​
58 HOU
320​
90 LAR
140​
128 WAS
44​
164 PHI
25.8​
202 LAR
10.2​
242 ATL
1​
27 BAL
680​
59 BAL
310​
91 BAL
136​
129 BAL
43​
165 PHI
25.4​
203 BAL
9.8​
243 BAL
1​
28 DET
660​
60 DET
300​
92 SEA
132​
130 DET
42​
166 HOU
25​
204 DAL
9.4
244 DET
1​
29 WAS
640​
61 WAS
292​
93 NO
128​
131 NO
41​
167 TEN
24.6​
205 WAS
9​
245 WAS
1​
30 BUF
620​
62 BUF
284​
94 CLE
124​
132 BUF
40​
168 PHI
24.2​
206 BUF
8.6​
246 NYG
1​
31 KC
600​
63 KC
276​
95 KC
120​
133 KC
39.5​
169 BUF
23.8​
207 NYJ
8.2​
247 DAL
1
32 PHI
590​
64 PHI
270​
96 PHI
116​
134 PHI
39​
170 BUF
23.4​
208 DEN
7.8​
248 NO
1​
97 MIN
112​
135 MIA
38.5​
171 NE
23​
209 LAC
7.4​
249 SF
1​
98 MIA
108​
136 BAL
38​
172 SEA
22.6​
210 BAL
7​
250 GB
1​
99 NYG
104​
137 SEA
37.5​
173 BUF
22.2​
211 DAL
6.6
251 KC
1​
100 SF
100​
138 SF
37​
174 DAL
21.8
212 BAL
6.2​
252 SF
1​
101 LAR
96​
175 SEA
21.4​
213 LV
5.8​
253 MIA
1​
102 DET
92​
176 BAL
21​
214 LAC
5.4​
254 NO
1​
215 LV
5​
255 CLE
1​
216 CLE
4.6​
256 LAC
1​
257 KC
1​
Great contribution!

This is the orginal chart, adding in compensatory picks that really make terribly little difference here... Wow. Way to go!
 
So basically trading our 12th to Denver for the 20th and 51st picks is doable and fair. What does this do?

20th - Draft best available WR from top 4. 2-3 should still be available in this slot.
44th - Draft best available CB
51st - Draft best available RB from Henderson, Judkins or Johnson

You have just solidified 3 positions of need with top tier talent in making one trade back. Depending on what is still available at 20 for WR, I would potentially try to trade back to back end of 1st rnd if it means recouping another top 120 pick in the process
 
So basically trading our 12th to Denver for the 20th and 51st picks is doable and fair. What does this do?

20th - Draft best available WR from top 4. 2-3 should still be available in this slot.
44th - Draft best available CB
51st - Draft best available RB from Henderson, Judkins or Johnson

You have just solidified 3 positions of need with top tier talent in making one trade back. Depending on what is still available at 20 for WR, I would potentially try to trade back to back end of 1st rnd if it means recouping another top 120 pick in the process
This is exactly why the Cowboys need to trade down. 3 solid players in the first 51 picks.

While I would hope for a DT, getting help for those 3 positions is a good start.
 
This is exactly why the Cowboys need to trade down. 3 solid players in the first 51 picks.

While I would hope for a DT, getting help for those 3 positions is a good start.
Sure.
Of course, there has to be a willing parter….which is a gigantic roadblock

If you mean “has to trade down IF that trade is offered” then sure
 

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