CFZ A Cowboys Version of Chat-GPT. Ask Anything About 2022 Cowboys

T-RO

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Pollard was actually 267% more likely to produce a splash run play.
You are right of course. Not 250%.

An old perpetually-tired brain like mine should rely on computers and calculators always. I thought I had that one in my head, but nope.
 

SteveTheCowboy

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This answer will be limited and not completely reliable. Play summaries do not record if a play started up the middle but then broke outside.

However if we limit this to plays that are run over center or guard...here are the stats.
Pollard: 71 carries, 373 yards, 5.3 YPC
Elliott: 107 carries, 369 yards, 3.4 YPC

Commentary: It is a fallacy that Pollard is just an outside runner. Dallas deploys him on most all types of runs, and he seems to do well at all of them.

Tony had 13 inside runs that broke for 10 yards or more. Four of them in the Packers game alone.
Wow...almost a 4th of his big runs game in one game. Interesting.
 

shabazz

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Time to share a little secret. I'm a database developer and I have a database containing every play of every game of the 2023 Cowboys. There's that, and more in my data collection.

Most of what I offer is destined to soon get replaced by AI, so I might as well enjoy a short season of usefulness. Maybe a couple stray likes and nice comments.

Here's a game we can play to pass some time during this dull period prior to training camp:
You ask a thoughtful interesting question, and I'll try to answer from the data I have collected. The catch? I get to provide my commentary with any answer. The other catch? I ignore questions I don't like, for any reason.

I'll provide some example questions to help you get the idea. One here...more late Wednesday.

Example Question #1

Question: If Sam Williams played as many defensive snaps as DeMarcus Lawrence who would have generated the most sacks?

Answer: Williams generated 4 sacks on 273 snaps. Lawrence generated 6 snaps on 697 snaps.

Had Williams played as many snaps as Lawrence (at the same production per play) he would have produced 10.2 sacks.

Sam Williams, had he played as many defensive snaps, projects to produce 4.2 more sacks, a 70% increase.

Commentary: The Cowboys appreciated that Williams was a rookie with numerous maturity issues, evidenced both in college and on Dallas streets during his rookie season. They gave Williams 245 special teams snaps (Lawrence had none), plus a part time role in the defense. Also Lawrence offered more as a run defender (68.2 PFF > William's tepid 61.3) and as a mature, seasoned leader.

It's likely that if Williams applies himself to his trade he can well surpass Lawrence in 2023 as a pass rush threat. The questions will continue for now about Williams ability to manage himself, on--and off--the field.
first of all, nice work you’ve put into this……so now my query

How do the Cowboys beat the 8-1 Vikings 40-3 and than turn around and barely beat the 1-11 Texans 27-23

I know its mostly a rhetorical question but the numbers and analytics can only explain so much.
 

blueblood70

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I take it the data wasn't what you were expecting (or hoping for)?
but what happened down the stretch last 6 games, TP no flash plays, 3.8 YPC , 51YPG, no tds and got hurt twice.. i guess stuff happens. Its not how you start , its how you finish and once again the team was let down.
 

coult44

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I sure am not using AI for this. And I won't be able to compete with AI as it grows. I still gotta use use my mind here and put lotta time in.

If you got some sample questions you've asked, with that system's answers...feel free to post.

Here's a small snippet of one of the screens in my database. There are currently 72 fields in this table. There are other tables. And I continue to add to it...tweak it.... I'm sure it pales in comparison to what PFF has, or the various teams have in their analytics dept. They could run circles around me.

my_db.png
I’m a mix of old and new school. I certainly appreciate all the type of work you do. And have just in the last several weeks begun to look at AU information.
 

T-RO

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first of all, nice work you’ve put into this……so now my query

How do the Cowboys beat the 8-1 Vikings 40-3 and than turn around and barely beat the 1-11 Texans 27-23

I know its mostly a rhetorical question but the numbers and analytics can only explain so much.
Not something I can answer from my database.

But look at the Texans schedule:
-Texans took the Chiefs to overtime!
-Texans game with Eagles was close til 4th quarter

30% of NFL games are upsets, and most games are close.

"Consistency" doesn't really exist week to week in the NFL...for anyone. Impossible for teams to have same emotional intensity, good health and precision week after week.
 

Hawkeye0202

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What is Dak's win/loss record over the last five years when he throws two or more interceptions in a game?

BTW......excellent thread
 

T-RO

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What is Dak's win/loss record over the last five years when he throws two or more interceptions in a game?

BTW......excellent thread
I only have 2022 data right now. I've got the process 2/3 automated but it still takes me about 30 minutes to process one game.

While I do plan to continue this into future, I have no plan to go back to old games.
 

T-RO

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What is Dak's win/loss record over the last five years when he throws two or more interceptions in a game?
I found the answer to your question using AI. This is over Dak's entire career. I cannot validate, and AI absolutely does sometimes provide flawed information.

Here are games in which Dak threw multiple INT. Dallas won 10 of the 18.

  • Week 1, 2016 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 2, 2016 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 11, 2016 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 13, 2016 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2016 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 1, 2017 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2017 vs. New Orleans Saints
  • Week 12, 2017 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 15, 2017 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2017 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 1, 2018 vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Week 2, 2018 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2018 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 14, 2018 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2018 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 4, 2019 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2019 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 14, 2019 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2019 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 15, 2020 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2020 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 3, 2021 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Week 10, 2021 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 16, 2021 vs. Washington Football Team
  • Week 17, 2021 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 3, 2022 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2022 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2022 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
 

T-RO

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Playing around a little more with Google Bard AI in beta.

It is not yet trustworthy...repeatedly spewed misinformation about simple 2023 baseball standings and runs scored. It admitted mistakes, but then kept making other mistakes. (Specifically it claimed the Yankees and Angels were top run scoring teams, when it is Rangers and Rays.)
 

Hawkeye0202

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I found the answer to your question using AI. This is over Dak's entire career. I cannot validate, and AI absolutely does sometimes provide flawed information.

Here are games in which Dak threw multiple INT. Dallas won 10 of the 18.

  • Week 1, 2016 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 2, 2016 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 11, 2016 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 13, 2016 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2016 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 1, 2017 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2017 vs. New Orleans Saints
  • Week 12, 2017 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 15, 2017 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2017 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 1, 2018 vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Week 2, 2018 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2018 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 14, 2018 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2018 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 4, 2019 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2019 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 14, 2019 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 17, 2019 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 15, 2020 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2020 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 3, 2021 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Week 10, 2021 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 16, 2021 vs. Washington Football Team
  • Week 17, 2021 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  • Week 3, 2022 vs. New York Giants
  • Week 11, 2022 vs. Washington Commanders
  • Week 17, 2022 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Excellent ......so, we have just a little over a 50% chance of winning if throws multiple interceptions
 
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