Advanced analytics say we should not be worried about the Eagles D, but I still am

[Rockport]

Eagles have been the second worst defense in the league since week 4.

They're the 4th worst defense via EPA. (Commanders, Cardinals and Broncos are the only teams who are worse per EPA).

21st defense ranked DVOA.

They have given up the 9th most points in the league.

Their defense as a whole has given up 27 touchdowns and only has 6 interceptions (Which is a funny coincidence, Dak's stat line for the year is 26 TDs to 6 interceptions)

3rd Most passing yards given up. This one stick out because it isn't like they are blowing teams out and they're accumulating garbage yards. It is happening within the flow of the game.

This is a game the Cowboys SHOULD win, our defense just needs to play average and we should.

Every NFL game is tough if you don’t come to play.

 

[Pass2Run]

Like playing the 9ers, it's going to all come down to scheme, in my opinion.

Here's an interesting stat for you. The Eagles are dead last when it comes to defense on 3rd downs. That's why they're in a hurry to add guys like Leonard.
That said, they're number 4 in rushing defense, so we probably ought not try to run on them too much.

On the flip side, in overall pass defense, they are number 29.

Total defense, they are at number 22.

So Dak should definitely be able to put a little something on them, especially with the right scheme.

We should know one thing this week: Sillydelphia will run early and often. I expect them to play-action pass, as well.

 

[BleedSilverandBlue]

Dallas will move the ball on Philly. I also think Philly is going to move the ball on us. It really is just going to come down to who makes the winning plays.

Last time, the Cowboys did not make those winning plays like the Schoon non-TD, Dak stepping out on the 2-pt conversion, failing to punch it in from the 6 yard line at the end of the game, etc.

 

[ScipioCowboy]

Regular analytics do too. Philly is bottom 5 points and yards defensively vs the pass.

Do you remember Football Outsiders? In 2009, according to FO’s metrics, Philly was the vastly superior team according yet the Cowboys beat them three times. I guess that single anecdote is the source of my concern.

 

[Creeper]

It start with getting the Eagles DL blocked. The 49ers were successful. The Cowboys were not the last time they played and it cost them the game.

Then, you have to stop the Eagles offense. Again, the Cowboys were not successful in the 3rd quarter and the 49ers were after the 1st quarter.

This is a division game, a division rivalry. Throw away the stats.

 

[Praxit]

Doesn't mean they're not a good team.
Still got to bring your 'A"game

 

[JD_KaPow]

Do you remember Football Outsiders? In 2009, according to FO’s metrics, Philly was the vastly superior team according yet the Cowboys beat them three times. I guess that single anecdote is the source of my concern.

This year, DVOA has Dallas significantly better than Philly.

 

[ScipioCowboy]

This year, DVOA has Dallas significantly better than Philly.

Is it FO who does DVOA?

 

[Pola_pe_a]

Pre-snap motion, bunch formations and the quick passing game kills their D.

Dallas sticks to that script Philly will have a hard time stopping them.

 

[Flamma]

Eagles have been the second worst defense in the league since week 4.

They're the 4th worst defense via EPA. (Commanders, Cardinals and Broncos are the only teams who are worse per EPA).

21st defense ranked DVOA.

They have given up the 9th most points in the league.

Their defense as a whole has given up 27 touchdowns and only has 6 interceptions (Which is a funny coincidence, Dak's stat line for the year is 26 TDs to 6 interceptions)

3rd Most passing yards given up. This one stick out because it isn't like they are blowing teams out and they're accumulating garbage yards. It is happening within the flow of the game.

This is a game the Cowboys SHOULD win, our defense just needs to play average and we should.

I'm worried about their D too. In our last game we had a 1st and goal from their 6 yard line. They did what they needed to do to stop us. That's why I'm worried.

 

[atlantacowboy]

They have the talent to be much better when it matters. They seem to lack a DE and their LB & top DBs have been injured all year.

 

[Sydla]

Game will likely be closer than people think.

Also, if we keep bogging down in the RZ, then we will likely lose. McCarthy and company better have that crap figured out. Redzone failures cost us a W in Philly.

 

[Sydla]

They have the talent to be much better when it matters. They seem to lack a DE and their LB & top DBs have been injured all year.

They have Reddick on the edge and Sweat, both pretty to really good edge guys.

They abused Steele last game, especially Sweat.

 

[atlantacowboy]

They have Reddick on the edge and Sweat, both pretty to really good edge guys.

They abused Steele last game, especially Sweat.

I thought Reddick was a LB. Sweat is ok. The better Sweat is the guy Washington just traded to the Bears.

 

[Dakota]

Don't worry. There is nothing to be worried about. The eagles defense sucks. They can't cover, they can't tackle, their pass rush is declining and their run defense is now full of holes. Sit back in your lazy boy recliner, stuff your face with hot wings, pop open a few dozen cans of Natral Light, and enjoy the game. This game is already over. Enjot it!

 

[JD_KaPow]

Is it FO who does DVOA?

FO died because the company that bought them stopped paying people and everyone left. Aaron Schatz moved over to FTN Fantasy nd took DVOA with him. Not sure how much of it can be accessed for free.

https://www.ftnfantasy.com/dvoa

 

[VaqueroTD]

A lot more worried about their offense. Our defense hasn't done jack against good OLines.

 

[MRV52]

Eagles are like the 2016 Cowboys.

They keep possession and it’s hard to make them punt.

The 49ers made them punt all day that's what we have to do. That D needs to step it up.

 

[gimmesix]

Eagles have been the second worst defense in the league since week 4.

They're the 4th worst defense via EPA. (Commanders, Cardinals and Broncos are the only teams who are worse per EPA).

21st defense ranked DVOA.

They have given up the 9th most points in the league.

Their defense as a whole has given up 27 touchdowns and only has 6 interceptions (Which is a funny coincidence, Dak's stat line for the year is 26 TDs to 6 interceptions)

3rd Most passing yards given up. This one stick out because it isn't like they are blowing teams out and they're accumulating garbage yards. It is happening within the flow of the game.

This is a game the Cowboys SHOULD win, our defense just needs to play average and we should.

I throw statistics out the window when it comes to division rivalry games. They hardly ever go as expected.

 

[OGSixshooter]

Their secondary has some good but vulnerable players (e.g. think Gilmore covering CeeDee Lamb), so Dak can't "give" them anything. As long as Dak, Pollard, Dowdle...etc...basically any ball carrier protects the ball, we should be fine moving the ball against their D.

Their D is opportunistic and Steele WILL whiff on a few blocks this week. If we can survive those near death moments, we should be fine.

To be honest, I'm worried about our D. Micah basically admitted that our game plans have been off as teams use this game to go off-script. Can't say I disagree, but that means we need to play a style where we can impose our will on the opposing team. I think having Micah rush as fast as he can every play is too easy to scheme up for other teams.