zekecowboy
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RED ZONE: The advantage could belong to Dallas shockingly
To start things off we need to talk about scoring points since that’s kind of the point of offense in general. I think, I’ve been watching the Cowboys so I’m unsure.
There are explanations as to what each statistic outlined here is and how it’s measured, they’re all over at Connelly’s stat page which is definitely worth your time. Most of them are self-explanatory and in terms of the colors, the more blue you are the better, the more orange you are the opposite. You can also look at the Jaguars offense versus the Cowboys defense (or any combination of two teams across the league), but obviously we’re looking at Jacksonville’s defensive side of the ball versus the Cowboys offense since it’s their strength and our Achilles heel.
THIRD DOWN: Jacksonville is very good at this
While the Cowboys have a shot at capitalizing if they get inside the Jacksonville 3-yard line (all they have to do is cover 97 yards, no big deal) they’ll likely have to face some third downs in order to do so. Jacksonville doesn’t like to let people past them on third down.
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13257635/Third_Down.png)
(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)
That’s a whole lot of orange and orange-ish colors on the Cowboys side of things, and almost a totally blue side for the Jaguars. Gulp.
Dallas is 17/60 on third downs for the season, but what’s strange is where they are the worst is in the third-and-short category of all places. Here’s how Connelly defines that.
Percentage of a team’s third-and-short (one yard to go) snaps that resulted in a first down.
It’s actually wild to believe that the Cowboys are statistically more successful at converting 3rd and 1+ than they are at converting 3rd and 1, but it makes sense given how the season has gone. What’s more is not only are the Cowboys not so good at this, but the Jaguars are generally solid at holding opponents. The Cowboys will have to overcome great odds here.
BLITZ DOWNS: The Jaguars are going to send pressure, and it normally works
Jacksonville is not only very good at every level of their defense, they’re also very fast. It’s hard to beat speed no matter where it is on a football field.
Dallas has had trouble moving the ball in general this season so it’s likely not going to bode well if Dak Prescott has pressure in his face when having to do so. Look at where things stack up.
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13257669/Blitz_Downs.png)
(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)
The way that blitz downs success rate is defined isn’t going to make you feel much better, but for the purposes of the exercise let’s have at it.
An efficiency measure that deems each snap that takes place on a blitz down. The terms: gaining 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
When blitzes happen the Cowboys are the worst at getting what they want/need. Meanwhile the Jaguars are the second-best in the NFL at it. You can bet your bottom dollar that they’re going to be turning the heat up because of this.
The Cowboys offensive line has definitely had better seasons than they’re currently having, but they’re still playing like one of the better units in the NFL. This game is going to demand everything they’ve got because they’re going to have to stop the Jaguars and stop them rather quickly or things could get ugly.
https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/201...nst-jags-but-third-downs-will-be-a-tall-order
To start things off we need to talk about scoring points since that’s kind of the point of offense in general. I think, I’ve been watching the Cowboys so I’m unsure.
There are explanations as to what each statistic outlined here is and how it’s measured, they’re all over at Connelly’s stat page which is definitely worth your time. Most of them are self-explanatory and in terms of the colors, the more blue you are the better, the more orange you are the opposite. You can also look at the Jaguars offense versus the Cowboys defense (or any combination of two teams across the league), but obviously we’re looking at Jacksonville’s defensive side of the ball versus the Cowboys offense since it’s their strength and our Achilles heel.
THIRD DOWN: Jacksonville is very good at this
While the Cowboys have a shot at capitalizing if they get inside the Jacksonville 3-yard line (all they have to do is cover 97 yards, no big deal) they’ll likely have to face some third downs in order to do so. Jacksonville doesn’t like to let people past them on third down.
(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)
That’s a whole lot of orange and orange-ish colors on the Cowboys side of things, and almost a totally blue side for the Jaguars. Gulp.
Dallas is 17/60 on third downs for the season, but what’s strange is where they are the worst is in the third-and-short category of all places. Here’s how Connelly defines that.
Percentage of a team’s third-and-short (one yard to go) snaps that resulted in a first down.
It’s actually wild to believe that the Cowboys are statistically more successful at converting 3rd and 1+ than they are at converting 3rd and 1, but it makes sense given how the season has gone. What’s more is not only are the Cowboys not so good at this, but the Jaguars are generally solid at holding opponents. The Cowboys will have to overcome great odds here.
BLITZ DOWNS: The Jaguars are going to send pressure, and it normally works
Jacksonville is not only very good at every level of their defense, they’re also very fast. It’s hard to beat speed no matter where it is on a football field.
Dallas has had trouble moving the ball in general this season so it’s likely not going to bode well if Dak Prescott has pressure in his face when having to do so. Look at where things stack up.
(Cowboys are the left column, Jaguars are the right)
The way that blitz downs success rate is defined isn’t going to make you feel much better, but for the purposes of the exercise let’s have at it.
An efficiency measure that deems each snap that takes place on a blitz down. The terms: gaining 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, and 100 percent on third and fourth down.
When blitzes happen the Cowboys are the worst at getting what they want/need. Meanwhile the Jaguars are the second-best in the NFL at it. You can bet your bottom dollar that they’re going to be turning the heat up because of this.
The Cowboys offensive line has definitely had better seasons than they’re currently having, but they’re still playing like one of the better units in the NFL. This game is going to demand everything they’ve got because they’re going to have to stop the Jaguars and stop them rather quickly or things could get ugly.
https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/201...nst-jags-but-third-downs-will-be-a-tall-order
