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Just took below article off Raphael Vela's blog. Sure is an eye opener and ensures most of us all will be reviewing everything we've heard about these players. Initially I wanted the Cowboys to draft CB Chris Houston in the first round; I'm rethinking that option but it sure doesn't sound like there a lot of good CBs out there--more FSs then anything. But Cowboys do need both a CB & a FS along with other needs. Admittedly CB could wait til next year but Aaron Glenn is 35 this year and Henry will be 31; rather have a CB who could learn from Glenn & replace him in 07 and maybe replace Henry 1-3 years later.
On other hand we all worried about FS position but really hoping Watkins can become the player we believe/hope he can become. Enjoy or else just become more frustrated like I did.
Draft Profiles — Cornerbacks By Rafael Vela 34 Comments
More cornerbacks have been drafted in recent years than any other position. I expect this year to continue the trend. The NFL is a passing league and teams can never have enough coverage players.
Yet no position offers greater disparity in player rankings than cornerback. The four major draft books on the market cannot even reach consensus on the relative strength or weakness of the position. Consider:
PositionPFWSNSLndyOrldsCornerbackC-B+B-Above AverageSafetyAA+BAbove AverageKey: PFW = Pro Football Weekly’s Draft Guide; SNS = The Sporting News, which uses The War Room’s reports; Lndy’s = Lindy’s Draft Guide and Orlds is Althon’s Draft Guide, which uses Ourlads’ Scouting Reports.
Keep this in mind when you’re campaigning for a cornerback versus a safety at the 22nd spot or the 54th spot. Every draft book ranks the safety class as either even or much better than the corner crop. Only one service give the corners anything close to a stellar rating.
If the top couple of corners are gone and the top safety or two are gone, do you automatically go corner and move Anthony Henry to deep center? After reading the player ratings, I’m not so sure.
Take Texas’ Tarell Brown, for instance. Here’s his line: 6th, Unlisted, 15th, 9th. Read that again. Two books rate him in the top ten. Another in the top 20. Another does feel he’s worth a draft pick.
Alabama State’s Michael Coe, N.C. State’s A.J. Davis and Auburn’s David Irons suffer the same fate. All four could be first day picks or scrambling for free agent bonuses draft Sunday night. Who’s right?
First Rounders
1. Leon Hall, 5′11″, 193 lbs., Michigan
Best Comments — “… Hall is as sure a bet as there is on the defensive side of the ball.” “Hall is a joy to evaluate because few of today’s cornerbacks play physical in coverage… he’s even willing to punch receivers in the mouth in bump-and-run.”
Worst Comments — “Lacks great foot speed and burst and may never be a true No. 1 cornerback… Does not have great top end speed and it showed when he matched up with Ted Ginn Jr.”
Overall — There is no Deion Sanders, Champ Bailey or even Terence Newman-rated CB in this year’s draft. Hall has been as high as 12 to Buffalo but is slipping a bit in mocks. Pittsburgh looks like a good fit at 15 or the Giants at 20. If Hall slides a little, I’d grab him. He’s played corner and safety for Michigan and one report says he could be highly productive at the safety position. His profiles read a lot like Anthony Henry’s.
2. Aaron Ross, 6′0″, 192 lbs., Texas
Best Comments — “Is adept in all types of coverage. Identifies plays well. Is not fooled by play-action fakes or misdirection.”
Worst Comments — “Has to play outside the numbers — does not have great quickness to carry slot receivers — and may never be more than a #2 corner, but could be a very good one.”
Overall — A legitimate option at pick 22. The one caveat is the recurring line that Ross would be better in a zone-heavy scheme. I expect Wade Phillips to blitz a ton and wonder if Ross has the game to play on an island?
3. Darrelle Revis, 6′0″, 200 lbs., Pittsburgh
Best Comments — “Plays smart, plays with a lot of confidence and has a swagger.” “Has the quickness, footwork agility and speed to stay on receivers’ hips all over the field.”
Worst Comments — “Does not have great foot speed and is more of a long strider.”
Overall — Put this alongside Leon Hall’s profile: “[Revis is] a good sized, physical press corner in the mold of Patriots S Eugene Wilson. Revis might turn out to be a better safety than corner the way he likes to hit.”
Put Hall, Revis and Meriweather together. It looks like any of these three could fill the FS role. We’ve heard of moving Anthony Henry to FS a hundred times, but what if Dallas drafts a CB and moves him to deep center, as the Patriots did with Wilson? You haven’t heard a peep about Revis, but he could fill a need just as certainly as Ross could. They’re rated about the same.
Borderline 1st/2nd Rounders
4. Marcus McCauley, 6′1″, 201, Fresno State
Best Comments — “Capable of running stride for stride with any receiver and has rare agility for a player of his height.” “Receivers struggle to separate [from him]. Always in the receiver’s back pocket.” “Has rare physical traits and is clearly the most physically gifted corner in the draft.”
Worst Comments — “Gets beat over the top more than a player with his ability should and does not play with a lot of confidence.”
Overall — Will get some serious research. He suffered a concussion his senior year and slipped from a strong junior campaign, when he shut down Dwayne Jarrett. He apparently played tentatively after the concussion. With so many other teams looking for defensive backs in the last third of the first round (the Pats, Jets, Eagles, Saints and Chargers) McCauley will probably stay in the first.
5. Daymeion Hughes — 5′10″, 192, Cal
Best Comments — “Excels in tight man-to-man situations … does not bite on receivers’ dips and fakes.” “Very good career production with 15 interceptions. Very confident.”
Worst Comments — “Does not have the kind of speed or burst teams are looking for on the outside… Very susceptible to pump moves and double fakes and does not have the speed to recover once he gets beat.”
Overall — Is all over the map. One book puts him in the mid 1st. Another lists him as a third rounder. The high graders like his competitiveness. The low graders note his lack to top end speed. He may get into the last first if a CB run starts but looks like an early 2nd guy to me.
6. Chris Houston, 5′11″, 185, Arkansas
Strongest Comments — “Has good man cover skills and can press receivers at the line — hemmed up USC’s Dwayne Jarrett.” [Note to self — when you see multiple CBs hang their hat on shutting down Dwayne Jarrett, I have to ask if Jarrett is the one being overrated?] “He’s a gamer who saved his best for last, checking Jarrett, Robert Meachem and Dwayne Bowe.”
Worst Comments — “Not very instinctive and gets beat too much — was repeatedly beaten deep by Sidney Rice… Will be overdrafted after he blazes a fast 40 time and works out well. Houston will take time to adjust to playing off after predominantly pressing at Arkansas.”
Overall — He’s a chic pick. One new mock gifts him to Dallas at 22. I’m wary of late, high risers, especially ones who get a boost from Combine numbers. There are many other CBs who seem like better or lesser risks.
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Posted: News 18 Mar 2007 12:01 am CT
Draft Profiles — Free Safeties By Rafael Vela 76 Comments
The draft books have bloomed like spring flowers. One week there were none, the next week I found four in my local bookstore.
If you’ve read them for any amount of time you know that they rarely reach a consensus on any players past the first dozen. This year is no different. I’ve ranked the top free safeties on a mini-board using Pro Football Weekly’s Draft Guide, The Sporting News (The War Room), Lindy’s (NFLDraftScout.com) and Althon’s (Ourlads).
(ADP stands for “average draft position,” the average of the four books. It’s not a hard and fast ranking. For instance, one book might have a guy rated as a second rounder, two as third rounders and the last as a fourth rounder. He’ll get a third round ADP.)
1. Laron Landry, 6′2″, 202 lbs. FS, LSU
Best Comment — “A four-year starter who walked into Nick Saban’s complex system and quarterbacked the defense of a national championship team. Could quickly establish himself as an impact player.
Worst Comment — “Does not have great downhill skills and tends to play the man instead of the ball. Will mistime his jumps and looks out of his element climbing the ladder.”
Overall — His Combine times established Landry as a top ten pick. In recent days I’ve heard him mentioned as high as sixth to Washington, which is looking to unload Adam Archuleta. I can’t see him getting past Atlanta at ten.
2. Reggie Nelson, 6′0″, 197 lbs. FS, Florida
Best comment — “Nelson is smaller than Brian Dawkins but has similar playmaking ability and explosive quickness to close on the ball.”
Worst comment — “…his intelligence leaves a lot to be desired for the pro level, especially at a position where it is very important to change coverages and respond to what an offense is trying to do.”
Overall — Do teams rank him according to his game tapes, or downgrade him for poor test scores? Wade Phillips doesn’t run the most complex defense in the world and would probably love to get a center fielder like Nelson.
Dallas has a chance, but he’ll have to get past Carolina (14th) Pittsburgh (15th) Jacksonville (17th) and Cincinnati (18th). Hey, I didn’t say it was a great chance.
3. Brandon Meriweather, 5′11″, 192 lbs. FS/CB, Miami
Best comment — “Has game changing ability and has been compared to Ed Reed…Meriweather played corner during the Senior Bowl [for an injured Aaron Ross] and blanketed receivers as if he’d played the position for years.”
Worst comment — “Is not a big boned athlete… will struggle versus elite receivers on an island.”
Overall — Meriweather was the top rated safety prospect entering ‘06 and had a so-so year. He’s rated much higher in all four draft books than in the mock drafts I’ve seen; the books all give him 1st round grades, while the mocks put him in the 2nd.
Off-the-field issues will tell if his draft position matches his game. He was cleared in a shooting incident before the season. (He exchanged fire with a thief in his apartment parking lot. Meriweather’s gun was registered and his shooting was ruled self-defense.)
Of greater importance is his involvement in the pregame free-for-all with Florida International. He tried a lot of damage control during his Combine interviews. If teams pass him, Meriweather’s corner skills could sneak him back into the first round.
Meriweather could be on the Cowboys radar, now that Bill Parcells is gone. Jerry Jones freely admits he’s a gambler. He needs a free safety and Meriweather is the third best prospect based on play alone.
Borderline 1st/2nd Rounder
4. Michael Griffin, 5′11″, 194 lbs. SS/FS, Texas
Best Comment — “Shows the toughness and athletic ability to become a very good pro. Has blue-chip special teams ability.”
Worst Comment — “Lacks instincts and often gets caught flat footed in the open field. Misreads too many pass plays and gets caught out of position.”
Overall — Three of the four books rate Griffin as a strong safety. His athleticism and special teams play should get him drafted no later than the second round, but his coverage skills, or coverage liabilities are too similar to other Cowboys’ safeties.
First Day Players
5. Aaron Rouse, 6′4″, 218 lbs., FS/SS, Virginia Tech
Best Comment — “Shows outstanding hands. In two-deep coverage is adept at cutting underneath post routes for interceptions. Gets outside to help in over the top coverage.”
Worst Comment — “Overall he was way too inconsistent and indecisive in his play. A bit of an enigma, Rouse often plays too cautiously, yet at other times flashes the ability to look dominant.”
Overall — A big safety with ratings all over the map. One book rates him the top run supporting safety. Another praises his run skills. Another dubs him the biggest risk among the safety crop. Rouse, like Griffin, is projected as a SS a lot.
6. Michael Johnson, 6′3″, 211 lbs., FS Arizona
Best Comment — “Has good ball-hawking skills and good hands… plays the deep-ball well — height and wingspan can make it difficult for quarterbacks to throw over him.”
Worst Comment — “Disappointing as a tackler and misses too frequently.” “His inconsistent tackling may be a consequence of him delaying in his read and react skills.”
Overall — Could be a good 3rd round value. Reads like a bigger Brock Marion. One draft book compares him to the Jets’ Kerry Rhodes, who flourished this year. Has only started one season and may need more experience.
7. Eric Weddle, 5′11″, 205 lbs., FS, Utah
Best Comment — “Outstanding ability to read and react. A playmaker who has been productive throughout his career.”
Worst Comment — “A good college player who has been overhyped in a small conference and will get overwhelmed in the NFL. Wants to play corner but is ideally suited to play as a backup safety in the pros.”
Overall — If Dallas is going to spend a first day pick on a free safety and I think it will, given its free agent inactivity, it needs a sure thing. Weddle, in my opinion, brings more question marks than Pat Watkins.
On other hand we all worried about FS position but really hoping Watkins can become the player we believe/hope he can become. Enjoy or else just become more frustrated like I did.
Draft Profiles — Cornerbacks By Rafael Vela 34 Comments
More cornerbacks have been drafted in recent years than any other position. I expect this year to continue the trend. The NFL is a passing league and teams can never have enough coverage players.
Yet no position offers greater disparity in player rankings than cornerback. The four major draft books on the market cannot even reach consensus on the relative strength or weakness of the position. Consider:
PositionPFWSNSLndyOrldsCornerbackC-B+B-Above AverageSafetyAA+BAbove AverageKey: PFW = Pro Football Weekly’s Draft Guide; SNS = The Sporting News, which uses The War Room’s reports; Lndy’s = Lindy’s Draft Guide and Orlds is Althon’s Draft Guide, which uses Ourlads’ Scouting Reports.
Keep this in mind when you’re campaigning for a cornerback versus a safety at the 22nd spot or the 54th spot. Every draft book ranks the safety class as either even or much better than the corner crop. Only one service give the corners anything close to a stellar rating.
If the top couple of corners are gone and the top safety or two are gone, do you automatically go corner and move Anthony Henry to deep center? After reading the player ratings, I’m not so sure.
PlayerPFWSNSLndyOrldsAvg.ADPLeon Hall1st1st3rd1st1.5mid 1stAaron Ross4th2nd4th2nd3.0late 1stDarrelle Revis2nd6th1st3rd3.0late 1stMarcus McCauley3rd5th8th5th4.25late 1st/early 2ndTanard Jackson5th4th10th4th5.752nd rd.Daymeion Hughes8th3rd2nd14th6.75late 1st/early 2ndJosh Wilson7th7th6th11th7.752nd/3rd Rd.Chris Houston9th13th5th7th8.252nd Rd.Eric Wright10th11th12th10th10.753rd Rd.Jonathan Wade13th23rd7th6th12.253rd Rd.*Fred Bennett12th26th14th8th15.03rd Rd.
These are the guys who got grades from each book. Four others got high grades but were unranked by at least one book. Take Texas’ Tarell Brown, for instance. Here’s his line: 6th, Unlisted, 15th, 9th. Read that again. Two books rate him in the top ten. Another in the top 20. Another does feel he’s worth a draft pick.
Alabama State’s Michael Coe, N.C. State’s A.J. Davis and Auburn’s David Irons suffer the same fate. All four could be first day picks or scrambling for free agent bonuses draft Sunday night. Who’s right?
First Rounders
1. Leon Hall, 5′11″, 193 lbs., Michigan
Best Comments — “… Hall is as sure a bet as there is on the defensive side of the ball.” “Hall is a joy to evaluate because few of today’s cornerbacks play physical in coverage… he’s even willing to punch receivers in the mouth in bump-and-run.”
Worst Comments — “Lacks great foot speed and burst and may never be a true No. 1 cornerback… Does not have great top end speed and it showed when he matched up with Ted Ginn Jr.”
Overall — There is no Deion Sanders, Champ Bailey or even Terence Newman-rated CB in this year’s draft. Hall has been as high as 12 to Buffalo but is slipping a bit in mocks. Pittsburgh looks like a good fit at 15 or the Giants at 20. If Hall slides a little, I’d grab him. He’s played corner and safety for Michigan and one report says he could be highly productive at the safety position. His profiles read a lot like Anthony Henry’s.
2. Aaron Ross, 6′0″, 192 lbs., Texas
Best Comments — “Is adept in all types of coverage. Identifies plays well. Is not fooled by play-action fakes or misdirection.”
Worst Comments — “Has to play outside the numbers — does not have great quickness to carry slot receivers — and may never be more than a #2 corner, but could be a very good one.”
Overall — A legitimate option at pick 22. The one caveat is the recurring line that Ross would be better in a zone-heavy scheme. I expect Wade Phillips to blitz a ton and wonder if Ross has the game to play on an island?
3. Darrelle Revis, 6′0″, 200 lbs., Pittsburgh
Best Comments — “Plays smart, plays with a lot of confidence and has a swagger.” “Has the quickness, footwork agility and speed to stay on receivers’ hips all over the field.”
Worst Comments — “Does not have great foot speed and is more of a long strider.”
Overall — Put this alongside Leon Hall’s profile: “[Revis is] a good sized, physical press corner in the mold of Patriots S Eugene Wilson. Revis might turn out to be a better safety than corner the way he likes to hit.”
Put Hall, Revis and Meriweather together. It looks like any of these three could fill the FS role. We’ve heard of moving Anthony Henry to FS a hundred times, but what if Dallas drafts a CB and moves him to deep center, as the Patriots did with Wilson? You haven’t heard a peep about Revis, but he could fill a need just as certainly as Ross could. They’re rated about the same.
Borderline 1st/2nd Rounders
4. Marcus McCauley, 6′1″, 201, Fresno State
Best Comments — “Capable of running stride for stride with any receiver and has rare agility for a player of his height.” “Receivers struggle to separate [from him]. Always in the receiver’s back pocket.” “Has rare physical traits and is clearly the most physically gifted corner in the draft.”
Worst Comments — “Gets beat over the top more than a player with his ability should and does not play with a lot of confidence.”
Overall — Will get some serious research. He suffered a concussion his senior year and slipped from a strong junior campaign, when he shut down Dwayne Jarrett. He apparently played tentatively after the concussion. With so many other teams looking for defensive backs in the last third of the first round (the Pats, Jets, Eagles, Saints and Chargers) McCauley will probably stay in the first.
5. Daymeion Hughes — 5′10″, 192, Cal
Best Comments — “Excels in tight man-to-man situations … does not bite on receivers’ dips and fakes.” “Very good career production with 15 interceptions. Very confident.”
Worst Comments — “Does not have the kind of speed or burst teams are looking for on the outside… Very susceptible to pump moves and double fakes and does not have the speed to recover once he gets beat.”
Overall — Is all over the map. One book puts him in the mid 1st. Another lists him as a third rounder. The high graders like his competitiveness. The low graders note his lack to top end speed. He may get into the last first if a CB run starts but looks like an early 2nd guy to me.
6. Chris Houston, 5′11″, 185, Arkansas
Strongest Comments — “Has good man cover skills and can press receivers at the line — hemmed up USC’s Dwayne Jarrett.” [Note to self — when you see multiple CBs hang their hat on shutting down Dwayne Jarrett, I have to ask if Jarrett is the one being overrated?] “He’s a gamer who saved his best for last, checking Jarrett, Robert Meachem and Dwayne Bowe.”
Worst Comments — “Not very instinctive and gets beat too much — was repeatedly beaten deep by Sidney Rice… Will be overdrafted after he blazes a fast 40 time and works out well. Houston will take time to adjust to playing off after predominantly pressing at Arkansas.”
Overall — He’s a chic pick. One new mock gifts him to Dallas at 22. I’m wary of late, high risers, especially ones who get a boost from Combine numbers. There are many other CBs who seem like better or lesser risks.
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Posted: News 18 Mar 2007 12:01 am CT
Draft Profiles — Free Safeties By Rafael Vela 76 Comments
The draft books have bloomed like spring flowers. One week there were none, the next week I found four in my local bookstore.
If you’ve read them for any amount of time you know that they rarely reach a consensus on any players past the first dozen. This year is no different. I’ve ranked the top free safeties on a mini-board using Pro Football Weekly’s Draft Guide, The Sporting News (The War Room), Lindy’s (NFLDraftScout.com) and Althon’s (Ourlads).
(ADP stands for “average draft position,” the average of the four books. It’s not a hard and fast ranking. For instance, one book might have a guy rated as a second rounder, two as third rounders and the last as a fourth rounder. He’ll get a third round ADP.)
PlayerPFWSNSLndyOrldsAvg.ADPLaron Landry1st1st1st1st1Early 1stReggie Nelson4th2nd2nd2nd2.5mid-late 1stBrandon Meriweather2nd3rd3rd3rd2.8Late 1stAaron Rouse6th4th5th5th5.02nd-3rdMichael Griffin3rd13th4th4th6.0Late 1st/Early 2ndMichael Johnson5th9th10th9th8.253rd Rd.Eric Weddle11th8th6th8th8.253rd/4th Rd.Josh Gaddis8th11th8th11th9.04th Rd.John Wendling12th7th14th7th10.04th Rd.
First Round Prospects1. Laron Landry, 6′2″, 202 lbs. FS, LSU
Best Comment — “A four-year starter who walked into Nick Saban’s complex system and quarterbacked the defense of a national championship team. Could quickly establish himself as an impact player.
Worst Comment — “Does not have great downhill skills and tends to play the man instead of the ball. Will mistime his jumps and looks out of his element climbing the ladder.”
Overall — His Combine times established Landry as a top ten pick. In recent days I’ve heard him mentioned as high as sixth to Washington, which is looking to unload Adam Archuleta. I can’t see him getting past Atlanta at ten.
2. Reggie Nelson, 6′0″, 197 lbs. FS, Florida
Best comment — “Nelson is smaller than Brian Dawkins but has similar playmaking ability and explosive quickness to close on the ball.”
Worst comment — “…his intelligence leaves a lot to be desired for the pro level, especially at a position where it is very important to change coverages and respond to what an offense is trying to do.”
Overall — Do teams rank him according to his game tapes, or downgrade him for poor test scores? Wade Phillips doesn’t run the most complex defense in the world and would probably love to get a center fielder like Nelson.
Dallas has a chance, but he’ll have to get past Carolina (14th) Pittsburgh (15th) Jacksonville (17th) and Cincinnati (18th). Hey, I didn’t say it was a great chance.
3. Brandon Meriweather, 5′11″, 192 lbs. FS/CB, Miami
Best comment — “Has game changing ability and has been compared to Ed Reed…Meriweather played corner during the Senior Bowl [for an injured Aaron Ross] and blanketed receivers as if he’d played the position for years.”
Worst comment — “Is not a big boned athlete… will struggle versus elite receivers on an island.”
Overall — Meriweather was the top rated safety prospect entering ‘06 and had a so-so year. He’s rated much higher in all four draft books than in the mock drafts I’ve seen; the books all give him 1st round grades, while the mocks put him in the 2nd.
Off-the-field issues will tell if his draft position matches his game. He was cleared in a shooting incident before the season. (He exchanged fire with a thief in his apartment parking lot. Meriweather’s gun was registered and his shooting was ruled self-defense.)
Of greater importance is his involvement in the pregame free-for-all with Florida International. He tried a lot of damage control during his Combine interviews. If teams pass him, Meriweather’s corner skills could sneak him back into the first round.
Meriweather could be on the Cowboys radar, now that Bill Parcells is gone. Jerry Jones freely admits he’s a gambler. He needs a free safety and Meriweather is the third best prospect based on play alone.
Borderline 1st/2nd Rounder
4. Michael Griffin, 5′11″, 194 lbs. SS/FS, Texas
Best Comment — “Shows the toughness and athletic ability to become a very good pro. Has blue-chip special teams ability.”
Worst Comment — “Lacks instincts and often gets caught flat footed in the open field. Misreads too many pass plays and gets caught out of position.”
Overall — Three of the four books rate Griffin as a strong safety. His athleticism and special teams play should get him drafted no later than the second round, but his coverage skills, or coverage liabilities are too similar to other Cowboys’ safeties.
First Day Players
5. Aaron Rouse, 6′4″, 218 lbs., FS/SS, Virginia Tech
Best Comment — “Shows outstanding hands. In two-deep coverage is adept at cutting underneath post routes for interceptions. Gets outside to help in over the top coverage.”
Worst Comment — “Overall he was way too inconsistent and indecisive in his play. A bit of an enigma, Rouse often plays too cautiously, yet at other times flashes the ability to look dominant.”
Overall — A big safety with ratings all over the map. One book rates him the top run supporting safety. Another praises his run skills. Another dubs him the biggest risk among the safety crop. Rouse, like Griffin, is projected as a SS a lot.
6. Michael Johnson, 6′3″, 211 lbs., FS Arizona
Best Comment — “Has good ball-hawking skills and good hands… plays the deep-ball well — height and wingspan can make it difficult for quarterbacks to throw over him.”
Worst Comment — “Disappointing as a tackler and misses too frequently.” “His inconsistent tackling may be a consequence of him delaying in his read and react skills.”
Overall — Could be a good 3rd round value. Reads like a bigger Brock Marion. One draft book compares him to the Jets’ Kerry Rhodes, who flourished this year. Has only started one season and may need more experience.
7. Eric Weddle, 5′11″, 205 lbs., FS, Utah
Best Comment — “Outstanding ability to read and react. A playmaker who has been productive throughout his career.”
Worst Comment — “A good college player who has been overhyped in a small conference and will get overwhelmed in the NFL. Wants to play corner but is ideally suited to play as a backup safety in the pros.”
Overall — If Dallas is going to spend a first day pick on a free safety and I think it will, given its free agent inactivity, it needs a sure thing. Weddle, in my opinion, brings more question marks than Pat Watkins.
