Bob's Blog - Football 301: Targets and Sacks - Week 8

BBQ101

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Taken from http://www.sturminator.blogspot.com/

Another week, and another chance for us to see where Tony Romo wants to go with the football. Also, who do we blame for the sacks? Let's examine closely:

Target Distribution:

Targets - Week 8 vs. Seattle
http://i699.***BLOCKED***/albums/vv351/bigbriquaker/bobs%20blog/TargetsWeek8.jpg

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So, you throw the ball to Miles Austin 9 times. 2 Pass Interferences for 31 yards, 5 catches for 61 yards. 6 First Downs and a Touchdown. Dallas, you have a #1 WR, he is from Monmouth. He is Miles Austin.

Meanwhile, 2 for 7 for Roy.


Season Target Distribution To Date:
http://i699.***BLOCKED***/albums/vv351/bigbriquaker/bobs%20blog/TargetsWeek8Total.jpg

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Last week we told you only 3 players in the NFL who had 30 targets had a worse close rate than Roy Williams. 1 was Chris Chambers and he was cut yesterday by San Diego. So, now there are 2. Michael Clayton and Chansi Stuckey.

Only 1 player for the Cowboys catches less than 50%. Only 1 player for the Cowboys catches less than 40%. And the most amazing thing of it all is that people seriously try to tell me that the Cowboys aren't using him right. When a guy catches 14 of 37 passes, he should be happy that they are still using him at all. There is no way to sugar-coat this.

3rd Down Target Distribution:

3RD Down Targets - Week 8 - Seattle
http://i699.***BLOCKED***/albums/vv351/bigbriquaker/bobs%20blog/Targets3rdDownWeek8.jpg
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On 3rd downs on Sunday, Tony Romo was 6-8 for 6 first downs to all players who do not wear #11. He was 0-3 for 0 first downs to all players who do wear #11. I'm sorry to continue with this theme, but I am trying to demonstrate that it is likely not the QBs issue here.

3rd Down Targets - Season Totals
http://i699.***BLOCKED***/albums/vv351/bigbriquaker/bobs%20blog/Targets3rdDownWeek8Total.jpg

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I bet you didn't know that Patrick Crayton is Romo's most likely target on 3rd down, did you? And Witten is 9 for 9 on the money down. And Austin is closing the deal on a regular basis, too. And, uh, 2 for 11, 18%.


SACKS

This is odd, a pretty clean day save for 2 sacks from the back-up Middle LB for the Seahawks. David Hawthorne, the TCU product will not likely have many 2 sack days, but he saved it for his homecoming. Thankfully, he did not hurt Romo when he sacked him as Flozell enjoyed a beverage on the sideline, with the Cowboys up, 38-10.



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2Q - 1/10/S36 - S11, with Witten off Left Tackle, Felix to Romo's right out of shotgun. Romo calls out the middle LB and tries to set the protection against what he sees. But, Seattle has something somewhat exotic here where their RDE (Over Witten) drop into coverage, and the MLB (57 Hawthorne) delays his blitz behind the OLB occupying Jones, and the LDE 97 Kerney (Over Colombo) crashing down on Leonard Davis - the idea here is to overload one side, while the other side has nobody to block. Colombo pauses for a brief moment and 2nd guesses who he should be blocking. When he sees Hawthorne blitzing, he gets back, but his feet are not set, and the LB gets a shoestring sack that Colombo is not happy about. One of the real goals of any defense is to cause some level of uncertainty among the OL about who should be blocking who. Mission accomplished on this particular play, but Colombo was still in position and just got beat.

This is basically the 1st time the Cowboys' RT has been on the scene for a sack since the Carolina game. Both times, it was a blitzing LB who did the damage from the inside. Colombo has not been beat on the edge yet, which is awfully impressive for a tackle.

[youtube]npsMavUq-dY[/youtube]


4Q - 1/10/D13 - "21" personnel, and this is that spot of the game where the Cowboys have taken out Flozell Adams, but not Tony Romo. And to the amazement of us all, despite being up 28, despite a back-up LT getting his first work of the year, and despite poor field position, Garrett calls a pass on 1st and 10! The Cowboys has 82 off RT and out in route. Marion Barber, also snakes out in a route. Deon Anderson is helping the LT Doug Free get his man blocked up.

The Seahawks just rush 5, and honestly, this is nothing more than Hawthorne delaying his blitz for a moment to once again get all of the Cowboys engaged in a block, and then when they are occupied, he shoots the A gap between Kosier and Gurode and Romo never had a chance. I am going to suggest this one is on Gurode (although I will call around and make sure) because Kosier has a man engaged and is busy. Gurode looks over and helps Davis, but Davis is fine and doesn't need help. Meanwhile, Hawthorne goes right past Gurode and nails Romo. Words can not express how lucky the Cowboys are that their QB didn't get hurt here.



http://i699.***BLOCKED***/albums/vv351/bigbriquaker/bobs%20blog/SacksWeek8Total.jpg
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For the season, the Cowboys have surrendered 13 sacks in 230 pass attempts, for 1 sack every 17.7 pass attempts. 13 sacks is the 10th fewest in football, with the Colts leading with just 5 sacks against Peyton Manning, and Green Bay with the worst rate, with 31 sacks allowed in just 7 games, and Aaron Rodgers gets sacked once every 7.3 pass attempts. How Rodgers is not out for the year with a serious injury is amazing.
 

theogt

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BBQ101;3055435 said:
So, you throw the ball to Miles Austin 9 times. 2 Pass Interferences for 31 yards, 5 catches for 61 yards. 6 First Downs and a Touchdown. Dallas, you have a #1 WR, he is from Monmouth. He is Miles Austin.

Meanwhile, 2 for 7 for Roy.
And if Romo makes those first two plays on target and makes the correct read on one of those option routes, Roy has 5 catches for over 100 yards and 2 TDs.

The Atlanta game was on Roy. This past game was on Romo.
 

BBQ101

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Dallas, you have a #1 WR, he is from Monmouth. He is Miles Austin.

I find it amazing that Austin has only been starting for 3 weeks now, and he is almost caught up with Witten on number of times thrown too.

I bet you didn't know that Patrick Crayton is Romo's most likely target on 3rd down, did you? And Witten is 9 for 9 on the money down. And Austin is closing the deal on a regular basis, too.

Man, I loves me some Austin. I hope he can continue to produce as teams scheme against him more and more. What a find.

BBQ
 

Temo

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theogt;3055450 said:
And if Romo makes those first two plays on target and makes the correct read on one of those option routes, Roy has 5 catches for over 100 yards and 2 TDs.

The Atlanta game was on Roy. This past game was on Romo.

The point still stands, however, that Austin is the #1 receiver right now. Whether it's Williams' fault for not being the #1 or Romo's fault on a game-by-game basis is irrelevant.
 

theogt

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Temo;3055481 said:
The point still stands, however, that Austin is the #1 receiver right now. Whether it's Williams' fault for not being the #1 or Romo's fault on a game-by-game basis is irrelevant.
I don't think either is the clear cut #1 receiver, though I think both have the talent to be #1 receivers. They're both on the field. They both get equal targets. I do, however, think Austin is a bigger threat to make big chunks of yardage.
 

onetrickpony

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theogt;3055450 said:
And if Romo...makes the correct read on one of those option routes, Roy has 5 catches for over 100 yards and 2 TDs.

So Romo make the correct reads for all WRs except Roy?

"Hey, look at the marching band! Everybody is out of step except my Roy!"

:p:
 

tecolote

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If you take away the Roy targets, Romo's completion percentage jumps from 60.7 to 65.2.
 

theogt

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onetrickpony;3055832 said:
So Romo make the correct reads for all WRs except Roy?

"Hey, look at the marching band! Everybody is out of step except my Roy!"

:p:
Did I say this?

I referred to one specific play. On that specific play, I believe Roy made the right read. He was one on one and there wasn't any safety help over the top. He got behind the corner and Romo threw an out route. We'll never know, but I think that was likely a bad read by Romo.
 
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