Bottom-line stats (14 games)

[percyhoward]

W-L is the bottom-line stat, but since 2008, there have been 37 teams that finished the season ranked among the top 12 in pass rating differential, turnover differential, and points-per-drive differential. All 37 teams made the playoffs or won at least 10 games.

2012 GB Sea SF Atl Was NE Hou Cin Bal Chi
2011 GB NE Hou SF Det Bal Atl
2010 GB NE Pit Bal Chi Atl Phi TB
2009 GB NO SD Bal Min Phi NE
2008 Bal Ind SD NYG Ten

Offensively, we rank among the top 7 in all three categories. Defensively, the Chicago game dropped us out of the top 12 in pass rating differential, and the Green Bay game put us down another spot. As for the differentials, except for give/take, the team continues its slide towards last year's final numbers.

Pass Rating
2013
offense 7th (down 1)
defense 27th (down 3)
differential 16th (down 1)

2012
offense 9th
defense 29th
differential 18th

Give/Take
2013
offense (give) 3rd (down 2)
defense (take) 8th (down 3)
differential 3rd (same)

2012
offense (give) 25th
defense (take) 29th
differential 27th

Points Per Drive
2013
offense 6th (same)
defense 29th (down 1)
differential 18th (same)

2012
offense 10th
defense 26th
differential 20th

 

[noshame]

How about the offense on 3rd down?

 

[percyhoward]

How about the offense on 3rd down?

Because 3rd downs only make up about 20% of your offense's plays, 3rd-down efficiency doesn't correlate as highly with winning as these other stats.

Last year's Super Bowl teams, for example, ranked 22nd and 27th in 3rd down conversions, while Dallas ranked 4th.

It doesn't matter when you convert, only that you convert. This year, if you only look at 3rd down, we're 24th in conversion percentage, so we need to improve there, obviously. But if you count all downs, we're 4th. The only team that converts on more of their 1st- and 2nd-down plays is the Broncos.

 

[percyhoward]

These are the only teams with differentials that currently rank in the top 12.
(pass rating, give/take, scoring)

Seattle 1st, 2nd, 1st
Kansas City 6th, 1st, 6th
San Francisco 4th, 8th, 5th
Carolina 11th, 4th, 3rd
Philadelphia 5th, 7th, 11th