Tony, I'm baffled by your post quite honestly.
We're a sloppy team that has a winning (3-2) record by battling to the very end against every opponent -- be it a winless team or an unbeaten (we even held very, very late leads against two unbeatens). We don't always finish, but we don't always fail. But so far we've finished more than we've failed.
How, exactly, does this equate to a 3-8 finish? If we're 3-2 using this formula, I'd say our realistic window is somewhere in the 7-9 to 9-7 range. One tip of the scale below or above .500.
That can, of course, rapidly change given significant improvement or regression.