News: BR: Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The Dallas Cowboys will try to rebound from a tough overtime loss on Monday Night Football when they host the Arizona Cardinals Sunday. The Cowboys got a scare when quarterback Tony Romo left with a back injury and ended up losing to Washington at home, 20-17, and they will now face an Arizona team that has won and covered the spread in the last three meetings.



Point spread: Cowboys opened as four-point favorites; the total was 48 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)



NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 27.4-26.1 Cowboys



Why the Cardinals can cover the spread

The Cardinals are the NFL’s most underrated team, covering the spread in their last three games along with five of their past six and sitting atop the NFC West over recent Super Bowl participants in the defending champion Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers.

Will this be Arizona’s year to become the first team to play the Super Bowl in its own stadium? It’s still too early to tell, but the Cardinals are for real and look like they will be challenging the Seahawks and 49ers until the very end.

Arizona’s only loss this year came on the road against the Denver Broncos with Drew Stanton starting at quarterback. The Cardinals are 4-0 with Carson Palmer under center, and their defense has held every opponent besides the Broncos to 20 points or less.



Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

Dallas may have seen its six-game winning streak end in the loss to Washington, but the bigger concern obviously is Romo’s health. Romo was able to return against the Commanders, although he was not the same and faced multiple blitzes the rest of the game.

Regardless, the Cowboys can still rely on running back DeMarco Murray, who extended his streak of most games rushing for at least 100 yards to start the season to eight, with 141 on 19 carries to go over the 1,000-yard mark for the season.

Murray’s biggest issue has been fumbling, as he has turned the ball over five times already this season. But as long as those turnovers do not cost Dallas, he will continue to be a force offensively and make opposing defenses key in on him to help open up the passing game even more.



Smart Pick

The loss by the Cowboys on Monday night prevented bettors from getting a chance to wager on which one-loss team they thought was better. Now they have the tough decision of whether to back a Dallas team off a loss or keep riding an Arizona team on a roll. The Cowboys are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as home favorites, and that has been a problem for this team historically.

They seem to play to the level of their competition, which can be a good and bad thing. Coming off a divisional game against Washington, this would seem to be a letdown spot for Dallas, which is now compounded even more due to Romo’s injury. Take the points with the Cardinals.



Betting Trends

  • The total has gone under in five of Arizona's last seven games
  • The total has gone under in six of Dallas's last nine games when playing Arizona



Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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