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Thanks to an 87-yard drive that began with less than four minutes left in the game and ended with a 10-yard touchdown pass to running back DeMarco Murray on 4th-and-goal, the Dallas Cowboys took down the Washington Commanders to move to 8-7 and keep their playoff hopes alive.
When Dallas started the late touchdown drive at their own 13-yard line, their fortunes didn't look bright. Actually, using the win probability calculator at Advanced NFL Stats, we know Dallas probably had somewhere around a 22 percent chance of winning the game. That's actually the same percentage we saw on the fourth-down touchdown pass after Murray lost nine yards on a 3rd-and-goal from the 1-yard line.
Because Dallas won, they'll face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 17 for the division crown. The loser will miss the playoffs. To take down Philly, the offense is going to need to be a whole lot more efficient than they were against Washington.
Using a combination of traditional stats, advanced stats and film study, I've graded every position for the Cowboys on Sunday.
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When Dallas started the late touchdown drive at their own 13-yard line, their fortunes didn't look bright. Actually, using the win probability calculator at Advanced NFL Stats, we know Dallas probably had somewhere around a 22 percent chance of winning the game. That's actually the same percentage we saw on the fourth-down touchdown pass after Murray lost nine yards on a 3rd-and-goal from the 1-yard line.
Because Dallas won, they'll face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 17 for the division crown. The loser will miss the playoffs. To take down Philly, the offense is going to need to be a whole lot more efficient than they were against Washington.
Using a combination of traditional stats, advanced stats and film study, I've graded every position for the Cowboys on Sunday.
Begin Slideshow
Continue reading...