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The Green Bay Packers (3-1) will go for their sixth straight victory against the streaking Dallas Cowboys (4-1) when they meet Sunday at Lambeau Field as small home favorites. The Packers will be playing their second game in a row against an NFC East opponent after topping the New York Giants 23-16 as seven-point home favorites in the Week 5 Sunday night game.
Point spread: The Packers opened as 4.5-point favorites; the total was 47 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 25.4-19.4 Packers (NFL picks on every game)
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
This is a much different Dallas team than the one that has dropped the past five meetings, most notably on offense, with a pair of star rookies leading the way in quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. Prescott is exactly the type of signal-caller who has given Green Bay problems because of his mobility, much like Colin Kaepernick of the San Francisco 49ers and Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks before him.
The Cowboys are 6-2 straight up in their last eight games after winning as underdogs. They head into this road game with a lot of confidence following their fourth consecutive win overall, defeating the Cincinnati Bengals 28-14 as 2.5-point home underdogs last week.
Why the Packers can cover the spread
The Packers own the NFL's best run defense, surrendering only 42.8 yards per game. They will be facing the league's leading rusher in Elliott, who has not played an opponent this good defensively yet. Usually in these situations, the defense wins and holds the running back in check. That's what Green Bay will be counting on in this matchup, making Prescott try to win the game instead.
While the Packers have not been impressive covering the spread this season, the number works in their favor as favorites of less than a touchdown with two of their three wins decided by seven points.
Smart pick
October is when Green Bay has typically turned it on the previous three seasons, going 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games during the month, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database. The push came last week, when the Packers were handily beating the Giants before giving up a late touchdown; otherwise, that game would have resulted in another cover.
Dallas is a good team but too inexperienced to go into Lambeau and keep it close. Look for Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers to have his best game of the season in a big win and cover on the Vegas lines.
Betting trends
The Cowboys are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Packers.
The Packers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
The total has gone under in 10 of the Packers' last 11 games after a win.
All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.
Read more Dallas Cowboys news on BleacherReport.com
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Point spread: The Packers opened as 4.5-point favorites; the total was 47 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 25.4-19.4 Packers (NFL picks on every game)
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
This is a much different Dallas team than the one that has dropped the past five meetings, most notably on offense, with a pair of star rookies leading the way in quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. Prescott is exactly the type of signal-caller who has given Green Bay problems because of his mobility, much like Colin Kaepernick of the San Francisco 49ers and Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks before him.
The Cowboys are 6-2 straight up in their last eight games after winning as underdogs. They head into this road game with a lot of confidence following their fourth consecutive win overall, defeating the Cincinnati Bengals 28-14 as 2.5-point home underdogs last week.
Why the Packers can cover the spread
The Packers own the NFL's best run defense, surrendering only 42.8 yards per game. They will be facing the league's leading rusher in Elliott, who has not played an opponent this good defensively yet. Usually in these situations, the defense wins and holds the running back in check. That's what Green Bay will be counting on in this matchup, making Prescott try to win the game instead.
While the Packers have not been impressive covering the spread this season, the number works in their favor as favorites of less than a touchdown with two of their three wins decided by seven points.
Smart pick
October is when Green Bay has typically turned it on the previous three seasons, going 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games during the month, according to the Odds Shark NFL Database. The push came last week, when the Packers were handily beating the Giants before giving up a late touchdown; otherwise, that game would have resulted in another cover.
Dallas is a good team but too inexperienced to go into Lambeau and keep it close. Look for Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers to have his best game of the season in a big win and cover on the Vegas lines.
Betting trends
The Cowboys are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Packers.
The Packers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
The total has gone under in 10 of the Packers' last 11 games after a win.
All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.
Read more Dallas Cowboys news on BleacherReport.com
Continue reading...