News: BR: Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

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The hot Dallas Cowboys will look to extend their winning streak to seven games when they host Washington in an NFC East matchup on Monday Night Football. The Cowboys have gone 5-1 against the spread in winning their last six games straight up, but they will be facing a Washington team that is 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings.



Point spread: Cowboys opened as nine-point favorites; the total was 49.5 earlier in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).



NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 28.9-19.4 Cowboys



Why the Commanders can cover the spread

Washington has been close in most of its games this season before an interception or two by quarterback Kirk Cousins turned potential wins into big losses. Washington decided to bench Cousins in the second half and give Colt McCoy a chance trailing the Tennessee Titans 10-6 at halftime last Sunday.

McCoy responded by completing 11-of-12 passes for 128 yards and one touchdown in a 19-17 victory to end the team’s four-game losing streak. The former Texas star will now get an opportunity to start in Dallas and seems to give Washington its best shot to win right now due to Cousins’ high turnover rate.



Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

Dallas is playing remarkably well and should have no problem beating Washington by more than double digits. While that is obviously much easier said than done, the Cowboys have beaten much better teams during their winning streak and know the importance of divisional games.

They are coming off a 31-21 home victory against another NFC East foe—the New York Giants—as 4.5-point favorites last week behind running back DeMarco Murray, who set an NFL record by rushing for more than 100 yards for the seventh straight game to start the season. As long as Murray can keep this up and does not wear down, there’s no reason to believe Dallas can’t keep this up.



Smart Pick

The Cowboys have really turned things around from years past, and there’s one trend in particular that proves this point. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against divisional opponents compared to 0-7 in their previous seven. While Washington has played Dallas tough historically, their lack of firepower will hurt them with McCoy under center.

McCoy will be more of a game manager, which worked well in the team’s win over Tennessee, but Washington will need to score a lot more points to stay in this game with the Cowboys. Washington is riding a four-game skid vs. the line and will have a difficult time hanging around in this one against a motivated Dallas team in prime time. Keep in mind, the last time the Cowboys played in prime time they routed the New Orleans Saints 38-17 on Sunday Night Football. Expect the same result.



Betting trends

  • Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games when playing Dallas
  • Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games when playing at home against Washington



Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

Read more Dallas Cowboys news on BleacherReport.com

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