Breaking down the schedule

[jterrell]

We all know this much: The Dallas Cowboys are a 6 win team that didn't improve it's talent by much. Does that mean they are doomed to win only 6 however? I'd say no, not at all.

Last year's team was facing a first place schedule and caught tough breaks in games as well as with injuries. This team plays a middle of the road schedule and has its QB back.


Schedule 2011

Loss 9/11 @ NYJ --- The Jets are interesting because they still have a kid at QB. Giving the Jets this win based upon home field advantage and a very tough defense but this is bound to be one of those 3 point games.

Win 9/18 @ SF --- SF needs a QB.

Win 9/26 vs. Was --- See above

Win 10/2 vs. Det --- Detroit is vastly improved but give Dallas the slight edge as this is a home game.

week 5 Bye Week

Loss 10/16 @ NE --- At Foxboro? Not great odds to be sure.

Win 10/23 vs. StL --- another improving young team but this is a home game Dallas should win.

Loss 10/30 @ Phi --- At Philly will be insanely tough.

Win 11/6 vs. Sea --- No QB and a home game.

Win 11/13 vs. Buf --- home game against bad team.

Win 11/20 @ Was --- Wash will want this one badly but they really need high draft picks not wins this season.

Win 11/24 vs. Mia --- does every team Dallas face seemingly need a QB besides Philly and NE???

Loss 12/4 @ Ari --- Kolb to Fitz isn't bad at all. Zona wants to beat Dallas badly.

Win 12/11 vs. NYG --- Dallas splits with Giants taking home game.

Loss 12/17 @ TB 7:20 --- Improved Bucs team on road is too much.

Loss 12/24 vs. Phi --- Philly is talented and this is a home game but we'll assume Philly takes it.

Loss @ NYG --- Road game in NY is too much.



So there you have it. 9-7 and far from a homer's touch to it.

I think those last two weeks determine the playoffs for us but we fall short this go round.

 

[dargonking999]

so basically you have us losing all our road games except for two? I don't think we do that bad on the road.

 

[jterrell]

so basically you have us losing all our road games except for two? I don't think we do that bad on the road.

and winning all our home games except 1.
we may well not go 7-1 at home nor 2-6 on the road but the road schedule is more difficult to be sure.

 

[Cowboy4ever]

and winning all our home games except 1.
we may well not go 7-1 at home nor 2-6 on the road but the road schedule is more difficult to be sure.

Romo seems to have his best games away from Dallas Stadium. I think this team goes 11 - 5, easy. I think NE, DET will be losses and a split with the Eagles and Gaints, then lose 1 we shouldn't. DET, while i do not think they are a better team, always seems to play us hard and finds a way to win at Texas Stadium.

 

[dargonking999]

and winning all our home games except 1.
we may well not go 7-1 at home nor 2-6 on the road but the road schedule is more difficult to be sure.

While the Road games are more diffcult I still see us with at least a split on Road games, and probably 1 or 2 loses at home which puts at 10-6 and better.

 

[Cowboys22]

I get us to 9-3/8-4 with 4 tough games to end the season. If they can do well in those last 4, they may end up being a real contender.

 

[SlwSVT]

9-7 is a very fair prediction. But losing 4 out 5 to close the season would be awful. I think Garrett and Ryan will have this bunch playing better football to close the season, which could possilbly get them to 10-6.

 

[ElGatoGrande]

Nicely done Jterrell,,, I would say 9-7 is about right with some surprises going both ways.

It will be very interesting to see what happens against Detroit, their top shelf DTs against our interior line could be a freaking disaster. Suh vs Holland? Ouch! ,,, actually, anybody vs Holland = "Ouch"

 

[The30YardSlant]

Like I've said, we are at best an average team this year...luckily for us we play a very managable schedule. An average team can win 10 games with that setup. The issue now becomes if we can live up to the "average" best case scenario like we did with an easy schedule in 2003.

 

[burmafrd]

Disagree about Arizona. Kolb has proven nothing and they have a fair number of holes. We will not end the season losing three in a row. 10-6 at a minimum.

 

[jimmy40]

too early to predict, right now it's just guessing.

 

[The30YardSlant]

We will not end the season losing three in a row.

This team spent a long time specializing in the late season collapse. We downright perfected it as a matter of fact.

 

[burmafrd]

This team spent a long time specializing in the late season collapse. We downright perfected it as a matter of fact.

OK. How often have we ended the season losing three in a row? Especially since 2003. I am waiting.

 

[dargonking999]

This team spent a long time specializing in the late season collapse. We downright perfected it as a matter of fact.

So last season when we went 5-3 in the last 8 games that was a late season collaspe?

Or about that season that we went 11-5? did we lose 3 straight then?

Help me understand your logic here..

 

[The30YardSlant]

So last season when we went 5-3 in the last 8 games that was a late season collaspe?

Or about that season that we went 11-5? did we lose 3 straight then?

Help me understand your logic here..

Last year is irrelevant because we werent playing for anything other than pride at that point. A late season collapse implies there was actually something built up that could collapse.

In 2008 we lost three of the last four and missed the playoffs. In 2007 we lost two of the last three and struggled in our last four and then lost our first playoff game. In 2006 we lost three of our last four, backed into the playoffs and lost our first game. In 2005 we lost four of our last five and missed the playoffs. In 2004 we just sucked from start to finish. In 2003 we lost three of our last five and lost our first playoff game.

We've had six seasons since 2003 in which we were competative, and we fell apart late in all but one of them.

 

[dargonking999]

Last year is irrelevant because we werent playing for anything other than pride at that point. A late season collapse implies there was actually something built up that could collapse.

In 2008 we lost three of the last four and missed the playoffs. In 2007 we lost two of the last three and struggled in our last four and then lost our first playoff game. In 2006 we lost three of our last four, backed into the playoffs and lost our first game. In 2005 we lost four of our last five and missed the playoffs. In 2004 we just sucked from start to finish. In 2003 we lost three of our last five and lost our first playoff game.

We've had six seasons since 2003 in which we were competative, and we fell apart late in all but one of them.

So you disregard last year because it wasn't important, ignore 2009 because we had a good ending, then bring the last three games 0f 2007, when all but one of those games actually mattered, 2003-2006 when the team was really struggling to do much of anything under bill parcells.

though we have a new coach and mostly different players from the 2003-2006, and can only hold on to really one season of collapse from 2007-2010, you still want to try to force this pattern of failure onto this team?

Even House isn't that cynical, but nice try

 

[The30YardSlant]

So you disregard last year because it wasn't important, ignore 2009 because we had a good ending, then bring the last three games 0f 2007, when all but one of those games actually mattered, 2003-2006 when the team was really struggling to do much of anything under bill parcells.

though we have a new coach and mostly different players from the 2003-2006, and can only hold on to really one season of collapse from 2007-2010, you still want to try to force this pattern of failure onto this team?

Even House isn't that cynical, but nice try

You asked for my logic and I provided it. If you choose to ignore it, that's your business.

 

[dargonking999]

You asked for my logic and I provided it. If you choose to ignore it, that's your business.

Not ignoring rather illustrating the many holes it has and mocking your lack of ability or desire to shore those holes up.

 

[viman96]

I see the team winning 10-12 games this year. I think they will surprise a lot of people. Especially the ones that want to bury the team thinking they are done and in some form of a major rebuild.

 

[The30YardSlant]

Not ignoring rather illustrating the many holes it has and mocking your lack of ability or desire to shore those holes up.

There are no holes in the list of facts I posted. Originally, I posted this...

This team spent a long time specializing in the late season collapse. We downright perfected it as a matter of fact.

And then supported it. If you don't like that, so be it. You accuse me of ignoring 2009, which I did not, and tried to argue that a 1-7 team finishing 5-3 is indicative of anything. No sir, you appear to be the one with the holes in your OPINIONS.