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The Cowboys do not compare well to some of the big-play offenses in the league.
As I was skimming through Twitter late in the evening, I stumbled across one of those tweets that sparks curiosity:
It's a big play business... Create 'em, prevent 'em.
20+yd offensive plays in 2017
T-7th. DET/MIN (68)
26. GB (49)
31. CHI (40)
Rodgers returning. Trubisky 2nd year + weapons added. Stafford. Cousins. Is the NFC North the most explosive division in the NFL?
— Ben Fennell (@BenFennell_NFL) June 14, 2018
Of course, this little nugget got the brain working and it had nothing to do with the NFC North. Fennell is certainly right, the NFL is a big play business with an emphasis on being able to create and defend those plays when necessary. As we’re being forced to take a long six-week hiatus from football, I wondered where the Cowboys stack up in the NFL in regards to both sides of the big play argument.
Earlier this week, Dave and OCC took a look at big plays allowed by the defense and found that the Cowboys have been a borderline top 10 defense the last four years against the big play.
Today, we’ll stick with the big-play definition from Fennell’s tweet (20+ yards), and to start, we’ll dissect the last two seasons for the offensive side of the ball. As you can see by the chart below, the Cowboys need to focus on maximizing big plays in the passing game. They’re a run-first offense so it’s no coincidence to see them as one of the more explosive rushing teams.
[Green = Top-10, Orange = Middle of the pack, Red = Bottom of the NFL]
Season
Passes 20+ yds
20+ Passing Rank
Passes 40+ yds
40+ passing Rank
Runs 20+ yds
20+ Rushing Rank
Runs 40+ yds
40+ Rushing Rank
Pass TD
Pass TD Rank
Rushing TD
Rushing TD Rank
2016
2016
39
28th
8
19th
17
3rd
3
8th
25
14th
24
2nd
2017
34
28th
8
17th
12
8th
2
11th
22
18th
18
2nd
Now a quick rundown of the Cowboys receivers last season in terms of their yards per catch, yards after catch rankings, and catch percentage rate. For this, we’re only charting those with 15 or more receptions:
2017
Dez Bryant
Terrance Williams
Jason Witten
Cole Beasley
Brice Butler
Rod Smith
Ezekiel Elliott
Yards per catch
12.1
10.7
8.9
8.7
21.1
10.6
10.3
YPC Rank (of 141 WRs)
57th
81st
109th
113th
N/A
N/A
N/A
Yards after catch
281
229
101
109
32
174
271
YAC Rank
55th
86th
193rd
184th
319th
179th
64th
Catch %
52.30%
67.90%
72.40%
57.10%
65.20%
82.60%
68.40%
Catch % Rank (of 208 WRs)
180th
81st
49th
146th
N/A
N/A
76th
It’s clear that every major receiving threat outside of the running backs underwhelmed last season and Brice Butler saw limited action. The Cowboys have hit the reset button at receiver with the goal of significant improvement in yards per catch and yards after catch this upcoming season. Just for comparison’s sake, we ran the same statistics for free agent acquisitions Allen Hurns and Deonte Thompson. As you can see below, Hurns had similar production to Dez Bryant but edged him out in a few categories albeit on less total production. Thompson actually performed quite well overall, putting up decent WR2 numbers in Buffalo.
2017
Allen Hurns
Deonte Thompson
Yards per catch
12.4
14.6
YPC Rank (of 141 WRs)
52nd
23rd
Yards after catch
178
84
YAC Rank
176th
213th
Catch %
69.60%
55.10%
Catch % Rank (of 208 WRs)
69th
165th
Unfortunately, college football doesn’t keep nearly the number of statistics on hand as the NFL. However, both Michael Gallup (14.2) and Cedrick Wilson (18.2) had solid yards-per-catch stat lines and were known threats after the catch. Gallup also led his draft class with 20 broken tackles after the reception. The Cowboys are hoping to make far more explosive plays on offense this season now that they have made some philosophical changes to their scheme and personnel preferences. Simply put, the current receivers on the roster, as unheralded as they may be, must maximize their opportunities for RAC yards.
Shifting focus to the defensive side of the ball and the Cowboys have had a much better success at preventing big plays than creating them over the past two seasons:
Season
20+ yds Passes Allowed
20+ Pass Def. Rank
40+ yds Passes Allowed
40+ Pass Def. Rank
20+ yd Runs Allowed
20+ Rushing Def. Rank
40+ yd Runs Allowed
40+ Rushing Def. Rank
Pass TD Allowed
Pass TD Def. Rank
Rushing TD Allowed
Rushing TD Def. Rank
2016
45
7th
7
8th
6
6th
0
1st
25
17th
9
3rd
2017
2017
43
8th
6
9th
7
6th
1
6th
28
26th
7
3rd
Of course, the defense saw major changes from 2016 to 2017 and the rookies gave up a few more passing touchdowns than they wanted to. When you look at those statistics, they really match up well with everything we’ve come to learn about a Rod Marinelli-coached defense. He likes to keep everything in front of him and you can see they have done a nice job at limiting explosive plays. Truly, the only area that they need to work at is not allowing close to 30 passing touchdowns. Still, only seven NFL defenses kept their passing touchdowns allowed in the teens.
With Kris Richard coaching the secondary, there is little doubt that they can find a way to limit the passing touchdowns allowed by the defense. Overall, the Cowboys have much more work cut out for them on the offensive side. They need to become active participants in creating more big plays within reason on their offense. If Dallas can improve their passing offense, they’ll have an even more lethal offense and frankly a more balanced team from top to bottom.
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