Check out the updated Walterfootball Mock Draft
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Miami Dolphins: Chris Long, DE, Virginia
I'm going to try something new for the first-overall pick. I'm going to list all of the candidates and talk about why the Dolphins will or won't draft them.
First, however, I want to address the rumor that Dallas is interested in the No. 1 overall pick. It's not happening. If there are rumors that a deal is in the works, it's probably not true. Who would leak something like that to the media? Besides, if the Cowboys really want Darren McFadden, they don't need to move all the way up the draft board. A swap with the Rams would be more likely, though improbable. Dallas would just have to give up too much. The Saints suffered for years after dealing all of their picks for Ricky Williams. It's just not worth it. Moving on...
Glenn Dorsey: I've had Miami selecting Dorsey for months now. I've always stated that just because the Tuna became a Dolphin doesn't mean that the team is going to run a pure 3-4. But what if they want to? Can Dorsey fit into that scheme? He's a really talented player, but he's more of a 4-3 under tackle than a 3-4 nose. If there weren't any other candidates for the top selection, Dorsey would definitely be the guy. But then again, maybe he was surpassed by...
Sedrick Ellis: I really thought about placing Ellis atop my mock. He can play nose in the 3-4 - though he's better off in the 4-3 - which is a position of need the Dolphins must address. He was so dominant in the Senior Bowl, tossing opposing linemen aside as if they were small children. Any team would be lucky to have a beast like Ellis, whom Mike Mayock listed over Dorsey in his defensive tackle rankings. I'd probably have Ellis going first if it wasn't for...
Chris Long: Perhaps the best fit for the Dolphins, as Long can play in any scheme. Long has more experience in the 3-4 than the two aforementioned prospects, and seems like the type of player Bill Parcells would love to have on his squad. Dorsey and Ellis might be more talented, but I don't think you spend a No. 1 overall pick on a guy you're not sure can play in your system.
Everyone Else: Jake Long has a slim shot, but Dorsey, Ellis and Chris Long are all better options. Jeff Ireland has a history of drafting offensive linemen later rather than sooner. Darren McFadden could go No. 1 if someone trades up, but that's very unlikely.
Matt Ryan? Not a chance. Why would the Dolphins pass on Brady Quinn last year for John Beck, and not give Beck a full season as a starter? And I don't think Parcells is planning to be around for a long time, so I'm not sure if he's willing to have the patience to sit through a young quarterback's developmental process. He'll likely pursue a veteran free agent this or next offseason.
St. Louis Rams: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
This pick is easy if the Dolphins go with either Glenn Dorsey or Sedrick Ellis. Chris Long is the obvious choice. But if Long is gone, this becomes a little more difficult.
The dilemma: Does St. Louis eschew the top prospects and fill a position of need by selecting Jake Long? Or do they draft one of the two defensive tackles, knowing their rookie will be playing behind Adam Carriker and La'Roi Glover for at least a portion of the 2008 season?
I think it's the latter. Glover is still a solid player, but he turns 34 in July. His contract expires next offseason. The Rams are going to need another interior defensive lineman if they want to finally stop sucking against the run.
So, is it Dorsey or Ellis? I think it's the USC alumnus for two reasons. First, he may have surpassed Dorsey with an extremely strong Senior Bowl. Personally, I think it's a dead-even race, but Ellis is the hotter guy right now. Just ask Mike Mayock what he thinks. And second, there are rumors that defensive coordinator Jim Haslett wants to switch to a permanent 3-4 (the Rams played the 3-4 in some situations last year). If that's the case, Ellis makes a lot of sense because he can play in either scheme.
Atlanta Falcons: Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
The past month or so, I've said that I was close to having the Falcons pick Darren McFadden over Matt Ryan. What stopped me was the fact that there were no second-tier quarterbacks. In 2007, Kevin Kolb, Drew Stanton, Trent Edwards and John Beck were all second-round prospects. Prior to the Senior Bowl practices, this draft didn't contain any signal callers of that caliber.
Chad Henne looked really good at the Senior Bowl, solidifying his status as a second-round quarterback. John David Booty has also been impressive, while Joe Flacco's arm may entice some general managers. With three potential targets in the second round, there's a greater chance Atlanta takes McFadden off the board.
One other reason I think the Falcons choose McFadden - besides the fact that he's a better prospect than Ryan - is that we've seen a tendency for teams to eschew quarterbacks for other positions the past few years. Cleveland, Miami and Minnesota all passed on Brady Quinn in 2007. Aaron Rodgers and Ben Roethlisberger dropped before him.
If this draft sees another quarterback slip - either Brian Brohm or Andre' Woodson could fall past 20 - the Falcons have the arsenal to trade up into the bottom of the first round. Armed with two second-round selections, I could see them swapping picks with the Chargers, who only have one draft choice until Round 5. If neither guy drops, Henne, Booty or Flacco could be theirs with pick No. 48.
Oakland Raiders: Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
Poor Al Davis. He loves flashy players, but Darren McFadden is off the board. He'd want Howie Long's son to help his team return to its glory days, but I have him going to the Rams. Davis could be so disgruntled that he could have another spat with the league office, accusing them of rigging the coin flip should he lose it to Atlanta.
But Davis shouldn't be too upset. Why? No, Lane Kiffin didn't bring back Davis' stash of adult diapers as revenge for making him resign. Not any hot nurses bringing him pudding either. I'm talking about Glenn Dorsey's inexplicable availability.
I've had Dorsey going No. 1 for months now. With Chris Long taking the top spot, and Sedrick Ellis perhaps surpassing him as the top defensive tackle on the board, Dorsey could be playing in a silver-and-black uniform next year. The Raiders desperately need defensive line help, especially in the wake of Warren Sapp's retirement.
Kansas City Chiefs: Jake Long, OT, Michigan
Matt Ryan is an option here, but Brodie Croyle is young and has looked semi-decent at times, so maybe the Chiefs will hold off on drafting a quarterback and give their young gun-slinger a year to prove himself. With that in mind, Jake Long is a no-brainer. Kansas City cannot afford to surrender 55 sacks against next year. That will change with Long anchoring the Chiefs' offensive front.
New York Jets: Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio State
The Jets are sitting in a pretty good position. It's unlikely that Darren McFadden, Chris Long and Vernon Gholston will all be picked in the top five. They can simply take the guy who drops to them.
With McFadden and Long gone, Gholston is the obvious choice. Do I really have to delve into how horrendous the Jets' defense was this year? They were 29th against the run, managed just 29 sacks and couldn't force any turnovers. With Gholston in the fold, you can be assured that New York's pass rush will wreak havoc upon opposing quarterbacks and force some turnovers.
I love what I've seen out of Gholston this year; he had 10 sacks and beat Jake Long in the Michigan game. His projected 40 time, in the mid-4.5s, is excellent considering he's about 260 pounds. He's moved himself up draft boards, and has become a top-10 prospect. I think he'll continue to increase his stock, much like Patrick Willis did last year, because he's an absolute beast and a workout warrior.
New England Patriots: Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy State
I can't believe New England may go 19-0 and draft seventh overall come next April. This is like the Suns stealing first-round selections from the Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks every year (and without David Stern rigging the draft too.) It's just not fair.
I recently said one of two things would happen here: "I expect at least one cornerback to really shine at the Combine, earning a top-10 label. That player will go here (could be Leodis McKelvin.) If no one steps up, New England could trade down - perhaps to Dallas."
Well, we have our winner, and it's McKelvin. He didn't play much in the Senior Bowl, but he had a dynamic week of practice, impressing scouts, coaches and everyone in attendance. His stock has risen enough to warrant the Patriots spending the No. 7 selection on him.
Baltimore Ravens: Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
Tons of options here, including DeSean Jackson, Ryan Clady and Mike Jenkins. However, in the wake of Brian Billick getting fired, it's apparent that the Kyle Boller experiment is over. But don't feel bad for Billick - he can now retire to his country house in Vermont with Boller by his side for the rest of his life.
The bottom line is Baltimore seriously needs to upgrade the signal-caller position if it wants to return to the postseason. The best available here is Matt Ryan, thanks to the Falcons picking Darren McFadden.
One thing to keep in mind: If the Eagles trade Donovan McNabb this offseason, it could be to the Ravens. John Harbaugh would love a quarterback he's familiar with, and I'm sure Philadelphia would like to deal McNabb to an AFC squad if anything. If this happens, look for Baltimore to trade down or go with Jenkins.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
The Bengals are in a really difficult spot. In my last update, I said they would have to decide between Vernon Gholston and Sedrick Ellis at this juncture. Unfortunately, both guys are gone in this mock. That leaves Cincinnati with Dan Connor, Keith Rivers, Kenny Phillips and any prison inmates the front office falls in love with to choose from.
Phillips is probably the best prospect of the three, but Cincinnati desperately needs help in its front seven.
Rivers makes more sense here. The Bengals were so desperate at linebacker this season, they were scouring through the stands to find people who could play. They had Dhani Jones in the lineup, for crying out loud. The man sells bowties for a living!
New Orleans Saints: Kenny Phillips, FS, Miami
The bad news is the Saints missed the playoffs. The good news is they're in position to draft Kenny Phillips.
New Orleans' secondary is garbage. The corners can't cover anyone, while free safety Josh Bullocks has been completely awful at times. Obtaining a play-maker like Phillips would completely improve the team's defensive backfield.
Buffalo Bills: Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
I liked having Keith Rivers go earlier, but Dan Connor's mediocre Senior Bowl has moved him down, meaning I was forced to put Keith Rivers in at No. 9. I'll admit this is a reach, but Malcolm Kelly, at 6-4, 217, is a perfect complement to the lightning-quick Lee Evans. Trent Edwards needs a better No. 2 receiver than Peerless Price, Roscoe Parrish and Josh Reed.
With that in mind, Buffalo fans may like this draft more than Rivers/James Hardy. Check my second-round selection for details - I think Bills backers will like that pick.
Denver Broncos: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
Pick a position, any position. The Broncos are ranked near the bottom in every defensive category, and need help everywhere. That said, with Sedrick Ellis, Keith Rivers, Kenny Phillips and Vernon Gholston off the board, Denver may have to search elsewhere for defensive assistance.
Enter Ryan "My Fair" Clady (sorry, Berman-ism). The Broncos' situation at the offensive tackle is pretty dire. Pass protection was an issue, especially late in the season, and forced Jay Cutler into turnovers. I know Mike Shanahan seldom utilizes a high draft pick on linemen, but Clady could be too good to pass up, especially with those five aforementioned defenders off the board.
Carolina Panthers: Sam Baker, OT, USC
With Kenny Phillips and Sedrick Ellis off the board, it's clear what the Panthers must do. One of the many reasons they cannot move the chains consistently is their pedestrian offensive line. Sam Baker, the first-round prospect most suited for Carolina's zone-blocking scheme, would allow the team to move Travelle Wharton inside, should they choose to re-sign him.
Chicago Bears: Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Rex Grossman's audition is over. He suffered a season-ending injury in Week 14, which was a shame because he was having the best stretch of his career since the beginning of the 2006 campaign. With Grossman out of commission, I don't think the Bears can afford to keep their quarterbacking situation static.
There is a chance the Bears go after Derek Anderson or Donovan McNabb. If that happens, I could see them drafting Jeff Otah, Jonathan Stewart or Malcolm Kelly.
Detroit Lions: Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
It's a yearly tradition - eating turkey, falling asleep afterward and watching the Lions give up 40 points before the whole feast starts. Detroit's defense sucks, and it's time for a change.
When the Lions traded Dre Bly away, I thought they'd acquire another reliable corner to take his place. Guess I was wrong. Detroit's secondary is in desperate need of a makeover. Actually, that goes for the entire stop unit; in 2007, the Lions were 23rd versus the run, 31st against the pass, and dead last in yards and points allowed. Other than that, the defense was pretty good.
Arizona Cardinals: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, TSU
Don't adjust your monitors. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie will be a first-round pick, and very well could go to the Cardinals in this spot, if not earlier.
DRC was incredible at the Senior Bowl. He was draped all over opposing receivers. He caused a turnover. He displayed his great tackling ability. He's a tall corner who runs a 4.3. I don't see why he wouldn't go in the first round.
The Cardinals were eliminated from playoff contention when they lost back-to-back contests to the Seahawks and Saints. The reason for those defeats was because Arizona couldn't stop the pass. Actually, that's an understatement; Matt Hasselbeck and Drew Brees combined to go 48-of-63, 587 yards and six touchdowns. That's only 15 incompletions in two weeks! Pathetic! They need a dynamic corner like DRC.
Minnesota Vikings: Reggie Smith, CB/S, Oklahoma
The Vikings desperately need help at quarterback, safety and receiver. No one of the former position is worth taking here, and I think the Vikings would like a veteran anyway. As for the latter, I just don't see Brad Childress selecting a wide out in the first round.
That leaves us with the safety position. Kenny Phillips is off the board, but Reggie Smith's versatility allows him to play safety, as well as cornerback. Smith could help improve a defense ranked dead last against the pass.
Houston Texans: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Darius Walker has been solid coming out of the backfield, and Ahman Green and Ron Dayne are both on the roster, but are any of them really the guy whom Houston can ride into the playoffs? The Texans need to address the running back situation, especially considering the plethora of talent at the position in this class.
Don't count out a corner like Antoine Cason or Aqib Talib here; the Texans have done everything in their power to take down the Colts ever since they came into the NFL, and a top-notch corner would certainly help. However, the need for a premier running back is too paramount to ignore.
Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
An image Eagles fans will always have in their minds is Winston Justice looking helpless as Osi Umenyiora beat him for a Giants record six sacks. This is the future of Philadelphia's offensive line. With William Tra Thomas and Jon Runyan nearing retirement, the Eagles will need a new left tackle to protect Kevin Kolb's blind side for the next decade. Philadelphia has plenty of other needs, including receiver, safety and tight end, but protecting its young quarterback is a priority.
Andy Reid loves massive linemen, and Chris Williams certainly fits the bill. The only concern here is that Reid may be threatened by the 320-pound Williams. The coach may have to do a better job hiding his cheese steaks in his office. Maybe his desk has a secret compartment like George Costanza's. That would be a great hiding spot.
In all seriousness, I considered DeSean Jackson. The Eagles must acquire a No. 1 receiver and a return specialist, and Jackson would help them in both of those areas of need. Fred Davis is also an option, but it's a little too early for him.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Andre' Woodson, QB, Kentucky
This was tough. I even went to Matt McGuire, an avid Buccaneers fan, for advice. My dilemma: With Andre' Woodson dropping into the 20s, does Tampa Bay take its quarterback of the future, or settle for a player that fills a more-pressing need, such as receiver and return specialist (DeSean Jackson)?
Well, what the Buccaneers must acquire on Draft Day is a wide out and a cornerback. Luckily for them, both of those positions are extremely deep in this class. They can get solid players to fill those slots in the second and third rounds. Thus, I think they can afford to select Andre' Woodson, a huge bargain at this juncture.
Washington Commanders: Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
First of all, I'd be remiss if I didn't give my condolences to the Taylor family. May Sean rest in peace.
Washington failed to register a single sack the Sunday following Sean's death. Keep in mind that the team was playing a rookie quarterback. Against the Seahawks, the Commanders barely touched Matt Hasselbeck, managing only one sack. They have nothing at defensive end or tackle, and will take the best player available at those positions. Tough call between Kentwan Balmer and Calais Campbell, but I see the latter having a better Combine, and thus a higher draft stock. Could be either guy though.
Dallas Cowboys: DeSean Jackson, WR/PR, California
This pick is from Cleveland. I had a corner going here earlier, but with all of the top-tier guys off the board, DeSean Jackson becomes the most obvious option. With Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn nearing retirement, and Patrick Crayton doing everything in his power to knock his own team out of the playoffs, Dallas needs help at wide out.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
So, I was looking through Pittsburgh's stats when I was making my Rams-Steelers pick, and I saw something that made my eyes bulge. Did you know they surrendered 47 sacks this year? OK, maybe now you do, but the fact remains that they even had problems keeping St. Louis out of the backfield. Ben Roethlisberger was sacked four times in the first 20 minutes against the Jaguars. What happened to their offensive line? Well, Alan Faneca is leaving this offseason, while right tackle Willie Colon is probably more suited to play inside. They can move Colon to left guard, opening a slot at right tackle.
Tennessee Titans: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
The Titans' receiving corps has killed them all year. Vince Young's drive to set up a potential game-winning field goal against the Colts was thwarted by his own teammate. Brandon Jones, Tennessee's No. 1 wide out, dropped an easy first down in field-goal territory. Against the Broncos on Monday night, it seemed like every single receiver had dozens of drops. And in the playoffs, Tennessee's first two plays resulted in drops. It's a shame Young's talent is going to waste with the garbage the Titans surrounded him with.
Seattle Seahawks: Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
Shaun Alexander will be 31 by the start of the 2008 season, and he has already shown signs of declining (3.5 yards per carry.) Sometimes it seems like he's more concerned with where the hot-dog vendor is rather than gaining an extra yard after contact. If the Seahawks don't cut Alexander at the end of the year, I'll be shocked, even though the fat slob has five more years on his deal. Rashard Mendenhall would look great in this offense.
By the way, I received an e-mail from a reader named Tyson who had the following to say: "Why is it that you refer to Shaun Alexander as a 'fat slob?' Usually guys who get the Most Valuable Player award aren't fat slobs. You are losing credibility as soon as you make a comment like that. I like the mock draft I just think its funny that you take a quality guy like Shaun Alexander and make comments like that about him."
My response: "Shaun Alexander won't be starting much longer in the NFL. In fact, I doubt he starts for a good team next year. Alexander used to be great. But ever since he got hurt last year, he looks like he's afraid of getting hit. He's slow to hit the hole and goes down way too easily. Unless he really works hard this offseason, he's done."
Tyson agreed with my response. I just decided to post this for anyone else who doesn't like the fact that I think the 2005 MVP secretly stashes puffy Cheetos inside his helmet.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Jaguars prefer extra-large defensive linemen, and they'll get an exceptional one here in Phillip Merling. They need depth at the end position, especially if Paul Spicer leaves via free agency.
San Diego Chargers: Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
When you allow 296 rushing yards to a running back, there's something fundamentally wrong with your defense. The Chargers have since improved, but their struggles stemmed from Luis Castillo being out and Jamal Williams aging. San Diego would simply be lost without Williams, who turns 32 in April. Plus, the Chargers have no depth up front, as we saw when the frequently Castillo missed time yet again this year. I think San Diego goes defensive lineman or a receiver (Early Doucet or James Hardy.)
The Chargers don't select again until Round 5, so I could see them moving down into the second round to salvage more picks. As I wrote above, if one of the quarterbacks drops down, look for the Falcons to swoop in to this position.
Dallas Cowboys: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Cornerback is a huge need, but if someone of Felix Jones' caliber is available - which is plausible, given the depth at the running back position in this class - Dallas won't be able to resist. Julius Jones likely won't be back next year, and the Cowboys clearly don't think Marion Barber can carry the load on his own; otherwise he'd be doing so already instead of starting his first game in the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
The 49ers were the sexy sleeper pick this offseason. So, what happened? Frank Gore's injury played a factor. As did Alex Smith's ineptness. And don't forget the disappointing $100 million secondary. However, what hindered the team most has been its offensive line and receiving corps. When the 49ers traded a fourth-round pick for Darrell Jackson, I don't think they anticipated that their new wide out would drop about 10 passes per week. In 15 games, Jackson had only 497 receiving yards.
Green Bay Packers: Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
Charles Woodson just turned 31, while Al Harris, who was continuously burnt in the NFC Championship, will be 33 in December. I'd like to see the Packers add some young blood to their cornerbacking corps.
New York Giants: Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
As great as New York's defensive line has played under Steve Spagnuolo, the team could use some help inside. Besides Barry Cofield, the talent level at the Giants' defensive tackle slots is somewhat lacking. Besides, Pat Sims is unbelievable value at the end of the first round.
I'm going to try something new for the first-overall pick. I'm going to list all of the candidates and talk about why the Dolphins will or won't draft them.
First, however, I want to address the rumor that Dallas is interested in the No. 1 overall pick. It's not happening. If there are rumors that a deal is in the works, it's probably not true. Who would leak something like that to the media? Besides, if the Cowboys really want Darren McFadden, they don't need to move all the way up the draft board. A swap with the Rams would be more likely, though improbable. Dallas would just have to give up too much. The Saints suffered for years after dealing all of their picks for Ricky Williams. It's just not worth it. Moving on...
Glenn Dorsey: I've had Miami selecting Dorsey for months now. I've always stated that just because the Tuna became a Dolphin doesn't mean that the team is going to run a pure 3-4. But what if they want to? Can Dorsey fit into that scheme? He's a really talented player, but he's more of a 4-3 under tackle than a 3-4 nose. If there weren't any other candidates for the top selection, Dorsey would definitely be the guy. But then again, maybe he was surpassed by...
Sedrick Ellis: I really thought about placing Ellis atop my mock. He can play nose in the 3-4 - though he's better off in the 4-3 - which is a position of need the Dolphins must address. He was so dominant in the Senior Bowl, tossing opposing linemen aside as if they were small children. Any team would be lucky to have a beast like Ellis, whom Mike Mayock listed over Dorsey in his defensive tackle rankings. I'd probably have Ellis going first if it wasn't for...
Chris Long: Perhaps the best fit for the Dolphins, as Long can play in any scheme. Long has more experience in the 3-4 than the two aforementioned prospects, and seems like the type of player Bill Parcells would love to have on his squad. Dorsey and Ellis might be more talented, but I don't think you spend a No. 1 overall pick on a guy you're not sure can play in your system.
Everyone Else: Jake Long has a slim shot, but Dorsey, Ellis and Chris Long are all better options. Jeff Ireland has a history of drafting offensive linemen later rather than sooner. Darren McFadden could go No. 1 if someone trades up, but that's very unlikely.
Matt Ryan? Not a chance. Why would the Dolphins pass on Brady Quinn last year for John Beck, and not give Beck a full season as a starter? And I don't think Parcells is planning to be around for a long time, so I'm not sure if he's willing to have the patience to sit through a young quarterback's developmental process. He'll likely pursue a veteran free agent this or next offseason.
St. Louis Rams: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
This pick is easy if the Dolphins go with either Glenn Dorsey or Sedrick Ellis. Chris Long is the obvious choice. But if Long is gone, this becomes a little more difficult.
The dilemma: Does St. Louis eschew the top prospects and fill a position of need by selecting Jake Long? Or do they draft one of the two defensive tackles, knowing their rookie will be playing behind Adam Carriker and La'Roi Glover for at least a portion of the 2008 season?
I think it's the latter. Glover is still a solid player, but he turns 34 in July. His contract expires next offseason. The Rams are going to need another interior defensive lineman if they want to finally stop sucking against the run.
So, is it Dorsey or Ellis? I think it's the USC alumnus for two reasons. First, he may have surpassed Dorsey with an extremely strong Senior Bowl. Personally, I think it's a dead-even race, but Ellis is the hotter guy right now. Just ask Mike Mayock what he thinks. And second, there are rumors that defensive coordinator Jim Haslett wants to switch to a permanent 3-4 (the Rams played the 3-4 in some situations last year). If that's the case, Ellis makes a lot of sense because he can play in either scheme.
Atlanta Falcons: Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
The past month or so, I've said that I was close to having the Falcons pick Darren McFadden over Matt Ryan. What stopped me was the fact that there were no second-tier quarterbacks. In 2007, Kevin Kolb, Drew Stanton, Trent Edwards and John Beck were all second-round prospects. Prior to the Senior Bowl practices, this draft didn't contain any signal callers of that caliber.
Chad Henne looked really good at the Senior Bowl, solidifying his status as a second-round quarterback. John David Booty has also been impressive, while Joe Flacco's arm may entice some general managers. With three potential targets in the second round, there's a greater chance Atlanta takes McFadden off the board.
One other reason I think the Falcons choose McFadden - besides the fact that he's a better prospect than Ryan - is that we've seen a tendency for teams to eschew quarterbacks for other positions the past few years. Cleveland, Miami and Minnesota all passed on Brady Quinn in 2007. Aaron Rodgers and Ben Roethlisberger dropped before him.
If this draft sees another quarterback slip - either Brian Brohm or Andre' Woodson could fall past 20 - the Falcons have the arsenal to trade up into the bottom of the first round. Armed with two second-round selections, I could see them swapping picks with the Chargers, who only have one draft choice until Round 5. If neither guy drops, Henne, Booty or Flacco could be theirs with pick No. 48.
Oakland Raiders: Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
Poor Al Davis. He loves flashy players, but Darren McFadden is off the board. He'd want Howie Long's son to help his team return to its glory days, but I have him going to the Rams. Davis could be so disgruntled that he could have another spat with the league office, accusing them of rigging the coin flip should he lose it to Atlanta.
But Davis shouldn't be too upset. Why? No, Lane Kiffin didn't bring back Davis' stash of adult diapers as revenge for making him resign. Not any hot nurses bringing him pudding either. I'm talking about Glenn Dorsey's inexplicable availability.
I've had Dorsey going No. 1 for months now. With Chris Long taking the top spot, and Sedrick Ellis perhaps surpassing him as the top defensive tackle on the board, Dorsey could be playing in a silver-and-black uniform next year. The Raiders desperately need defensive line help, especially in the wake of Warren Sapp's retirement.
Kansas City Chiefs: Jake Long, OT, Michigan
Matt Ryan is an option here, but Brodie Croyle is young and has looked semi-decent at times, so maybe the Chiefs will hold off on drafting a quarterback and give their young gun-slinger a year to prove himself. With that in mind, Jake Long is a no-brainer. Kansas City cannot afford to surrender 55 sacks against next year. That will change with Long anchoring the Chiefs' offensive front.
New York Jets: Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio State
The Jets are sitting in a pretty good position. It's unlikely that Darren McFadden, Chris Long and Vernon Gholston will all be picked in the top five. They can simply take the guy who drops to them.
With McFadden and Long gone, Gholston is the obvious choice. Do I really have to delve into how horrendous the Jets' defense was this year? They were 29th against the run, managed just 29 sacks and couldn't force any turnovers. With Gholston in the fold, you can be assured that New York's pass rush will wreak havoc upon opposing quarterbacks and force some turnovers.
I love what I've seen out of Gholston this year; he had 10 sacks and beat Jake Long in the Michigan game. His projected 40 time, in the mid-4.5s, is excellent considering he's about 260 pounds. He's moved himself up draft boards, and has become a top-10 prospect. I think he'll continue to increase his stock, much like Patrick Willis did last year, because he's an absolute beast and a workout warrior.
New England Patriots: Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy State
I can't believe New England may go 19-0 and draft seventh overall come next April. This is like the Suns stealing first-round selections from the Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks every year (and without David Stern rigging the draft too.) It's just not fair.
I recently said one of two things would happen here: "I expect at least one cornerback to really shine at the Combine, earning a top-10 label. That player will go here (could be Leodis McKelvin.) If no one steps up, New England could trade down - perhaps to Dallas."
Well, we have our winner, and it's McKelvin. He didn't play much in the Senior Bowl, but he had a dynamic week of practice, impressing scouts, coaches and everyone in attendance. His stock has risen enough to warrant the Patriots spending the No. 7 selection on him.
Baltimore Ravens: Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
Tons of options here, including DeSean Jackson, Ryan Clady and Mike Jenkins. However, in the wake of Brian Billick getting fired, it's apparent that the Kyle Boller experiment is over. But don't feel bad for Billick - he can now retire to his country house in Vermont with Boller by his side for the rest of his life.
The bottom line is Baltimore seriously needs to upgrade the signal-caller position if it wants to return to the postseason. The best available here is Matt Ryan, thanks to the Falcons picking Darren McFadden.
One thing to keep in mind: If the Eagles trade Donovan McNabb this offseason, it could be to the Ravens. John Harbaugh would love a quarterback he's familiar with, and I'm sure Philadelphia would like to deal McNabb to an AFC squad if anything. If this happens, look for Baltimore to trade down or go with Jenkins.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
The Bengals are in a really difficult spot. In my last update, I said they would have to decide between Vernon Gholston and Sedrick Ellis at this juncture. Unfortunately, both guys are gone in this mock. That leaves Cincinnati with Dan Connor, Keith Rivers, Kenny Phillips and any prison inmates the front office falls in love with to choose from.
Phillips is probably the best prospect of the three, but Cincinnati desperately needs help in its front seven.
Rivers makes more sense here. The Bengals were so desperate at linebacker this season, they were scouring through the stands to find people who could play. They had Dhani Jones in the lineup, for crying out loud. The man sells bowties for a living!
New Orleans Saints: Kenny Phillips, FS, Miami
The bad news is the Saints missed the playoffs. The good news is they're in position to draft Kenny Phillips.
New Orleans' secondary is garbage. The corners can't cover anyone, while free safety Josh Bullocks has been completely awful at times. Obtaining a play-maker like Phillips would completely improve the team's defensive backfield.
Buffalo Bills: Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
I liked having Keith Rivers go earlier, but Dan Connor's mediocre Senior Bowl has moved him down, meaning I was forced to put Keith Rivers in at No. 9. I'll admit this is a reach, but Malcolm Kelly, at 6-4, 217, is a perfect complement to the lightning-quick Lee Evans. Trent Edwards needs a better No. 2 receiver than Peerless Price, Roscoe Parrish and Josh Reed.
With that in mind, Buffalo fans may like this draft more than Rivers/James Hardy. Check my second-round selection for details - I think Bills backers will like that pick.
Denver Broncos: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
Pick a position, any position. The Broncos are ranked near the bottom in every defensive category, and need help everywhere. That said, with Sedrick Ellis, Keith Rivers, Kenny Phillips and Vernon Gholston off the board, Denver may have to search elsewhere for defensive assistance.
Enter Ryan "My Fair" Clady (sorry, Berman-ism). The Broncos' situation at the offensive tackle is pretty dire. Pass protection was an issue, especially late in the season, and forced Jay Cutler into turnovers. I know Mike Shanahan seldom utilizes a high draft pick on linemen, but Clady could be too good to pass up, especially with those five aforementioned defenders off the board.
Carolina Panthers: Sam Baker, OT, USC
With Kenny Phillips and Sedrick Ellis off the board, it's clear what the Panthers must do. One of the many reasons they cannot move the chains consistently is their pedestrian offensive line. Sam Baker, the first-round prospect most suited for Carolina's zone-blocking scheme, would allow the team to move Travelle Wharton inside, should they choose to re-sign him.
Chicago Bears: Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Rex Grossman's audition is over. He suffered a season-ending injury in Week 14, which was a shame because he was having the best stretch of his career since the beginning of the 2006 campaign. With Grossman out of commission, I don't think the Bears can afford to keep their quarterbacking situation static.
There is a chance the Bears go after Derek Anderson or Donovan McNabb. If that happens, I could see them drafting Jeff Otah, Jonathan Stewart or Malcolm Kelly.
Detroit Lions: Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
It's a yearly tradition - eating turkey, falling asleep afterward and watching the Lions give up 40 points before the whole feast starts. Detroit's defense sucks, and it's time for a change.
When the Lions traded Dre Bly away, I thought they'd acquire another reliable corner to take his place. Guess I was wrong. Detroit's secondary is in desperate need of a makeover. Actually, that goes for the entire stop unit; in 2007, the Lions were 23rd versus the run, 31st against the pass, and dead last in yards and points allowed. Other than that, the defense was pretty good.
Arizona Cardinals: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, TSU
Don't adjust your monitors. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie will be a first-round pick, and very well could go to the Cardinals in this spot, if not earlier.
DRC was incredible at the Senior Bowl. He was draped all over opposing receivers. He caused a turnover. He displayed his great tackling ability. He's a tall corner who runs a 4.3. I don't see why he wouldn't go in the first round.
The Cardinals were eliminated from playoff contention when they lost back-to-back contests to the Seahawks and Saints. The reason for those defeats was because Arizona couldn't stop the pass. Actually, that's an understatement; Matt Hasselbeck and Drew Brees combined to go 48-of-63, 587 yards and six touchdowns. That's only 15 incompletions in two weeks! Pathetic! They need a dynamic corner like DRC.
Minnesota Vikings: Reggie Smith, CB/S, Oklahoma
The Vikings desperately need help at quarterback, safety and receiver. No one of the former position is worth taking here, and I think the Vikings would like a veteran anyway. As for the latter, I just don't see Brad Childress selecting a wide out in the first round.
That leaves us with the safety position. Kenny Phillips is off the board, but Reggie Smith's versatility allows him to play safety, as well as cornerback. Smith could help improve a defense ranked dead last against the pass.
Houston Texans: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Darius Walker has been solid coming out of the backfield, and Ahman Green and Ron Dayne are both on the roster, but are any of them really the guy whom Houston can ride into the playoffs? The Texans need to address the running back situation, especially considering the plethora of talent at the position in this class.
Don't count out a corner like Antoine Cason or Aqib Talib here; the Texans have done everything in their power to take down the Colts ever since they came into the NFL, and a top-notch corner would certainly help. However, the need for a premier running back is too paramount to ignore.
Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
An image Eagles fans will always have in their minds is Winston Justice looking helpless as Osi Umenyiora beat him for a Giants record six sacks. This is the future of Philadelphia's offensive line. With William Tra Thomas and Jon Runyan nearing retirement, the Eagles will need a new left tackle to protect Kevin Kolb's blind side for the next decade. Philadelphia has plenty of other needs, including receiver, safety and tight end, but protecting its young quarterback is a priority.
Andy Reid loves massive linemen, and Chris Williams certainly fits the bill. The only concern here is that Reid may be threatened by the 320-pound Williams. The coach may have to do a better job hiding his cheese steaks in his office. Maybe his desk has a secret compartment like George Costanza's. That would be a great hiding spot.
In all seriousness, I considered DeSean Jackson. The Eagles must acquire a No. 1 receiver and a return specialist, and Jackson would help them in both of those areas of need. Fred Davis is also an option, but it's a little too early for him.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Andre' Woodson, QB, Kentucky
This was tough. I even went to Matt McGuire, an avid Buccaneers fan, for advice. My dilemma: With Andre' Woodson dropping into the 20s, does Tampa Bay take its quarterback of the future, or settle for a player that fills a more-pressing need, such as receiver and return specialist (DeSean Jackson)?
Well, what the Buccaneers must acquire on Draft Day is a wide out and a cornerback. Luckily for them, both of those positions are extremely deep in this class. They can get solid players to fill those slots in the second and third rounds. Thus, I think they can afford to select Andre' Woodson, a huge bargain at this juncture.
Washington Commanders: Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
First of all, I'd be remiss if I didn't give my condolences to the Taylor family. May Sean rest in peace.
Washington failed to register a single sack the Sunday following Sean's death. Keep in mind that the team was playing a rookie quarterback. Against the Seahawks, the Commanders barely touched Matt Hasselbeck, managing only one sack. They have nothing at defensive end or tackle, and will take the best player available at those positions. Tough call between Kentwan Balmer and Calais Campbell, but I see the latter having a better Combine, and thus a higher draft stock. Could be either guy though.
Dallas Cowboys: DeSean Jackson, WR/PR, California
This pick is from Cleveland. I had a corner going here earlier, but with all of the top-tier guys off the board, DeSean Jackson becomes the most obvious option. With Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn nearing retirement, and Patrick Crayton doing everything in his power to knock his own team out of the playoffs, Dallas needs help at wide out.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
So, I was looking through Pittsburgh's stats when I was making my Rams-Steelers pick, and I saw something that made my eyes bulge. Did you know they surrendered 47 sacks this year? OK, maybe now you do, but the fact remains that they even had problems keeping St. Louis out of the backfield. Ben Roethlisberger was sacked four times in the first 20 minutes against the Jaguars. What happened to their offensive line? Well, Alan Faneca is leaving this offseason, while right tackle Willie Colon is probably more suited to play inside. They can move Colon to left guard, opening a slot at right tackle.
Tennessee Titans: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
The Titans' receiving corps has killed them all year. Vince Young's drive to set up a potential game-winning field goal against the Colts was thwarted by his own teammate. Brandon Jones, Tennessee's No. 1 wide out, dropped an easy first down in field-goal territory. Against the Broncos on Monday night, it seemed like every single receiver had dozens of drops. And in the playoffs, Tennessee's first two plays resulted in drops. It's a shame Young's talent is going to waste with the garbage the Titans surrounded him with.
Seattle Seahawks: Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
Shaun Alexander will be 31 by the start of the 2008 season, and he has already shown signs of declining (3.5 yards per carry.) Sometimes it seems like he's more concerned with where the hot-dog vendor is rather than gaining an extra yard after contact. If the Seahawks don't cut Alexander at the end of the year, I'll be shocked, even though the fat slob has five more years on his deal. Rashard Mendenhall would look great in this offense.
By the way, I received an e-mail from a reader named Tyson who had the following to say: "Why is it that you refer to Shaun Alexander as a 'fat slob?' Usually guys who get the Most Valuable Player award aren't fat slobs. You are losing credibility as soon as you make a comment like that. I like the mock draft I just think its funny that you take a quality guy like Shaun Alexander and make comments like that about him."
My response: "Shaun Alexander won't be starting much longer in the NFL. In fact, I doubt he starts for a good team next year. Alexander used to be great. But ever since he got hurt last year, he looks like he's afraid of getting hit. He's slow to hit the hole and goes down way too easily. Unless he really works hard this offseason, he's done."
Tyson agreed with my response. I just decided to post this for anyone else who doesn't like the fact that I think the 2005 MVP secretly stashes puffy Cheetos inside his helmet.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Jaguars prefer extra-large defensive linemen, and they'll get an exceptional one here in Phillip Merling. They need depth at the end position, especially if Paul Spicer leaves via free agency.
San Diego Chargers: Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
When you allow 296 rushing yards to a running back, there's something fundamentally wrong with your defense. The Chargers have since improved, but their struggles stemmed from Luis Castillo being out and Jamal Williams aging. San Diego would simply be lost without Williams, who turns 32 in April. Plus, the Chargers have no depth up front, as we saw when the frequently Castillo missed time yet again this year. I think San Diego goes defensive lineman or a receiver (Early Doucet or James Hardy.)
The Chargers don't select again until Round 5, so I could see them moving down into the second round to salvage more picks. As I wrote above, if one of the quarterbacks drops down, look for the Falcons to swoop in to this position.
Dallas Cowboys: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Cornerback is a huge need, but if someone of Felix Jones' caliber is available - which is plausible, given the depth at the running back position in this class - Dallas won't be able to resist. Julius Jones likely won't be back next year, and the Cowboys clearly don't think Marion Barber can carry the load on his own; otherwise he'd be doing so already instead of starting his first game in the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
The 49ers were the sexy sleeper pick this offseason. So, what happened? Frank Gore's injury played a factor. As did Alex Smith's ineptness. And don't forget the disappointing $100 million secondary. However, what hindered the team most has been its offensive line and receiving corps. When the 49ers traded a fourth-round pick for Darrell Jackson, I don't think they anticipated that their new wide out would drop about 10 passes per week. In 15 games, Jackson had only 497 receiving yards.
Green Bay Packers: Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
Charles Woodson just turned 31, while Al Harris, who was continuously burnt in the NFC Championship, will be 33 in December. I'd like to see the Packers add some young blood to their cornerbacking corps.
New York Giants: Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
As great as New York's defensive line has played under Steve Spagnuolo, the team could use some help inside. Besides Barry Cofield, the talent level at the Giants' defensive tackle slots is somewhat lacking. Besides, Pat Sims is unbelievable value at the end of the first round.
TellerMorrow34
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I wouldn't exactly complain either. This could work out ok for us. Although I'm not really sold on the CB selection but I guess it would be worth trading a little ability at the CB position (Could anyone really be as bad as Reeves at the 3rd corner?) if you can get a speedy reciever like Jackson along with a speed back, with good hands, like Jones to complement Barber.
speedkilz88
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Well the reports being thrown around aren't including multiple number ones, so really his basis is off. So far its been said #22, Barber, and the Cowboys 3rd round pick and #22, Barber, and the Cowboys 2nd round pick.ABQCOWBOY;1930731 said:
CrazyCowboy
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I would do a back flip to get both of those players.
speedkilz88
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If Jackson is as thin as whats been listed, I would be real leery on how he translates to the nfl as a wr. His overall production as a wr has a lot to be desired as well.
DeepBleu
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if the draft unfold like this, then i can actually live with desean jackson as the first pick, but i would go for aqib talib or however you spell his name as our second first rounder, then take chris johnson at the end of second round. still, i just don't believe aqib talib will slide all the way to round two. it ain't happening.
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Mansta54;1930746 said:
59. http://BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1/images/fball/cowboysb_logo.gif Dallas Cowboys: Dwight Lowery, CB, San Jose State http://BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1/college/SanJoseState_logo.gif
Terence Newman and Anthony Henry aren't exactly young. Newman will be 30 in September 2008, while Henry doesn't have many productive seasons remaining in the NFL. Jacques Reeves sucks.
BigWillie
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I would run my head thru a brick wall if that is our draft.
Desean Jackson is Ted Ginn-lite and that is not a compliment. It's nice he is fast, but how exactly does he expect to get off a jam at the LOS, which is what every CB in the league will do to this guy.
Jones is a 'meh' type pick. I hate taking RB's high in the draft and with Cason still on the board in this scenario, it really makes no sense. Even Tracy Porter would likely make more sense. I can live with Felix, but I prefer others over him at that spot, especially if we wasted a pick on Desean Jackson the pick before.
Then you would have to look at a guy like Godser Cherilus as well with that last pick. It may not be a sexy pick, considering our needs, but it would be a great value at the end of the 1st.
Desean Jackson is Ted Ginn-lite and that is not a compliment. It's nice he is fast, but how exactly does he expect to get off a jam at the LOS, which is what every CB in the league will do to this guy.
Jones is a 'meh' type pick. I hate taking RB's high in the draft and with Cason still on the board in this scenario, it really makes no sense. Even Tracy Porter would likely make more sense. I can live with Felix, but I prefer others over him at that spot, especially if we wasted a pick on Desean Jackson the pick before.
Then you would have to look at a guy like Godser Cherilus as well with that last pick. It may not be a sexy pick, considering our needs, but it would be a great value at the end of the 1st.
Cowboys&Caps
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dangerdoom;1931030 said:
Why?? the dude can play, and I would much much rather just take Cason, and Talib with both first than either of these guys, Sweed instead of Talib maybe,
so....
Cason 22
Sweed 28
Jamal Charles 2nd round
