waving monkey
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Do you love doing mock drafts? Are you convinced you know who the Dallas Cowboys should take? Have you spent hours going over video of college players to dissect their game and slot them into rounds, or project how they would fit or not for Dallas? Are you starting to feel like you have a good grasp on how things will, or at least should, play out for the Cowboys when the draft arrives?
I hate to tell you this. You are wrong. Not just a little, but a lot. Oh, there is always a chance one of those mocks may get somewhat close, but that falls more under the blind squirrel/acorn principle than anything else. Your chances increase somewhat the more of them you do, but even then, your most probable reaction after the real picks are all in will be "Where did that come from?" My fellow writer Michael Sisemore gave his pre-draft thoughts earlier, so here are mine.
It's not your fault. You are facing a deck that is not only totally stacked against you by 32 NFL franchises that do a better job of controlling the leak of information than any major U.S. government agency, but where you don't know for sure which cards are even in each of the individual decks that each team has. So the best approach to the draft is to be ready to be amazed and at times dismayed, but to enjoy the ride anyway.
Unless you are fairly new to being an NFL fan, you should have a good grasp of this, but for some reason a form of selective amnesia sets in, and every year as the draft rolls around, we all have a tendency to delude ourselves into thinking we can predict to some degree what is going to happen. Here is why that is not true.
linkhttp://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2015/4/20/8455671/dallas-cowboys-2015-nfl-draft-why-things-almost-certainly-will-surprise-us-a-lot
I hate to tell you this. You are wrong. Not just a little, but a lot. Oh, there is always a chance one of those mocks may get somewhat close, but that falls more under the blind squirrel/acorn principle than anything else. Your chances increase somewhat the more of them you do, but even then, your most probable reaction after the real picks are all in will be "Where did that come from?" My fellow writer Michael Sisemore gave his pre-draft thoughts earlier, so here are mine.
It's not your fault. You are facing a deck that is not only totally stacked against you by 32 NFL franchises that do a better job of controlling the leak of information than any major U.S. government agency, but where you don't know for sure which cards are even in each of the individual decks that each team has. So the best approach to the draft is to be ready to be amazed and at times dismayed, but to enjoy the ride anyway.
Unless you are fairly new to being an NFL fan, you should have a good grasp of this, but for some reason a form of selective amnesia sets in, and every year as the draft rolls around, we all have a tendency to delude ourselves into thinking we can predict to some degree what is going to happen. Here is why that is not true.
linkhttp://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2015/4/20/8455671/dallas-cowboys-2015-nfl-draft-why-things-almost-certainly-will-surprise-us-a-lot