waving monkey
Well-Known Member
- Messages
- 15,540
- Reaction score
- 14,930
Continuing our series of over/under for the 2018 Dallas Cowboys, we’re going to look at quarterback Dak Prescott. Specifically, we’re setting an over/under number on touchdown passes by the third-year veteran.
Over the two season Dak Prescott has played so far in the NFL, many of his major statistical markers have been remarkably similar and that includes his touchdown passes. In 2016, his rookie year, he threw for 23 TDs, and in 2017 he threw for 22 TDs. The issues in 2017 surrounded his uptick in INTs, 13 compared to four in his first season, and his drop in completion percentage, 67.8% down to 62.9%. But his TD output remained remarkably stable.
Heading into 2018 you can make arguments for either a rise in TD passes, or a decline. Let’s discuss, then set our number.
Increased TD output
Over the two season Dak Prescott has played so far in the NFL, many of his major statistical markers have been remarkably similar and that includes his touchdown passes. In 2016, his rookie year, he threw for 23 TDs, and in 2017 he threw for 22 TDs. The issues in 2017 surrounded his uptick in INTs, 13 compared to four in his first season, and his drop in completion percentage, 67.8% down to 62.9%. But his TD output remained remarkably stable.
Heading into 2018 you can make arguments for either a rise in TD passes, or a decline. Let’s discuss, then set our number.
Increased TD output
- Prescott is now going into his third year. This is the time when we should start start seeing an experienced quarterback. He’s seen all kinds of NFL defenses so he’s going to be surprised much less often. His ability to process action quickly should increase as he’s had the experience of the past two years. He knows the playbook, he should be more comfortable running the show. Basically, experience is now in his favor.
- The Cowboys have seemingly improved their offensive line. They picked up Connor Williams to play left guard. They brought in Cam Fleming in case Tyron Smith has any health issues. La’el Collins should be better after a year manning right tackle. Prescott should see a better pocket on a consistent basis.
- The Cowboys are going to make the offense Dak-friendly. The idea is to run plays that better fit Prescott’s style of play. This in turn should boost his production.
