Cowboys' December: A chicken/egg scenario?

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Nature versus Nurture. The gridiron might seem an improbable arena for resolving this age-old riddle, but the Dallas Cowboys' December may unscramble the chicken/egg-like conundrum.

Statisticians, die-hards and certain head coaches will tell you the Past is insignificant. Numbers are immune to history as the Present resets odds habitually. And, they are right. On any given Sunday, any team's fortunes are a 50/50 proposition. Just ask the Raiders who beat the Bengals only to lose, convincingly!, to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, 7-24. Oakland's more irregular than Deion Sanders' wardrobe.

Psychologists, cynics and certain talking jocks will tell you the Past is inescapable. The Past is precedent; late-season swoons are an insurmountable intangible. And, they may be right. Witness 2008's year-ending, soul-crushing shellacking at Lincoln Financial Field. Question is: do these Dallas Cowboys have it in them to prove the latter group wrong? We'll see this weekend. Dallas needn't necessarily win, but a blow-out or last-second loss might devastate... which leaves little room for error and plenty for followers' terror.

If the Cowboys defeat the New York Giants, the team solidifies its first place division lead and Nurture moves ahead. While I have been consistently critical of Wade Phillips' abilities as a head coach, a victory would make me, more strongly, reconsider my doubts than his current 8-3 (30-13) record already has. I would lend credence to the notion that this year's team is most truly, finally "his," not some bedeviled, if talented inheritance from Bill Parcells. Wade has assumed accountability for his strength, the defense, and suggested the offensive gameplan, while not called by him, is an accurate reflection of his philosophy... though he tinkers with the OC's balancing (t)act weekly. The off-season and training camp were under his re-dedicated supervision. And, the regular season has proceeded as he's directed, from Victory Mondays thru erratic Sundays. Jerry Jones has helped prune the offense to one that's Romo-friendly and drafted a kick-off specialist who is field position-friendly... with benefits. If Dallas wins, Wade's nurturing will have overcome doubters' notions of the Cowboys' un/natural self-destruction and Jerry can hog or halve the credit as he so whimsically desires.

In order for Dallas and Nurture to triumph, the team — not just its quarterback — will need to adopt Parcells' commandment: Never let good enough be enough. Yes, the Cowboys beat the Raiders Thursday and edged the Commanders before that, however, neither victory should be regarded as good enough. We can enjoy them as fans, but the team must demand more of themselves. To wit...

* Dear Tony Romo, Ignore the labels, neither a bus-driver nor a gun-slinger be. Be yourself. That'll get us the win/s.

* Winning may be what it's all about Roy Williams, but posting some decent numbers or making a highlight catch would be better than beneficial... they could be playoff-clinching.

* Uh-oh, Kyle Kosier, even you got two flags thrown your way the other day. Contrary to popular belief, penalties needn't be contagious. Just keep your hands clean... and away from opposing helmets. Same goes for your line-mates, even the new guy. May the Truth set you, Free.

* I don't care if it's duck season, rabbit season or mating season, for that matter, if the camouflage get-up helps you, Marcus Spears, wear leafy-skivvies on game day. This is a playoff hunt, after all.

* I'm convinced, Bobby Carpenter: you're not a bust. But why not shame your critics by playing like an overzealous curfew-enforcer, that is, LIGHTS OUT!

* Love you, Nick Folk, but whether it's the yips, your hip or Mat McBriar's grip, you need to drop the Scott Norwood impersonation. It's good, but I'd prefer you mimic Adam Vinatieri... or Christopher Walken.

* Good things — not just celebrity deaths — come in threes, Patrick Crayton. Take another one to the house and Cribbs will be remembered as that MTV show not some guy up in Cleveland.

It is tempting to let minor successes buoy you after surviving stormy seas. However, bobbing along ain't no way to get back to shore. Or, The Super Bowl. I know I have allowed momentary stress-relievers to rebalance me AND then made me complacent only to lose myself to the lurch once more.

Some would argue my occasional tendency to implode is the result of my childhood, a tattered and battered affair that left me with good reason to give up in toughest times. Some, even my ex, have suggested that having suffered abuse as a kid, I am incapable of parenting or, hell, living, maturely, as I am bereft of role models or a lover's consistent monitoring. And, from time to time, I succumb to her curse, this curse, believing my earlier experiences are the consequence of some (self-)loathsome core that cannot be denied; the victim's irrational need to make sense by accepting responsibility for the unimaginable. And then, when I regain consciousness, as it were, I remind myself that sometimes, the fault does lie in our stars, not ourselves. Sometimes, circumstances collude, and in so doing, collide with our selves' own true Natures. Looking back, clearly, I can be prouder of the fact I endured rather than dwelling on the misery of the endurance. It is my Nature to survive and thrive, not to be beaten down.

Plenty of pundits have analyzed the Cowboys' collapses of years past. I beg you to believe these retrospectives are irrelevant. Do not condemn a team, a quarterback, any individual to future failures due to past mistakes or misfortunes. Prophecies self-fulfilled are the hollowest victories. Instead, enable a team, a quarterback, any individual, to redeem themselves from histories of which they are more ashamed than you. Let them embrace their genetically- (or God-) blessed abilities and the possibilities born of greater, later, nurturing. Or coaching.

Damn, in re-reading, I just realized, we may have a tie on our hands. To determine the Nature vs. Nurture champ, we may just have to go into relativistic overtime... or march into Giants Stadium, helmets held high, baggage stored neatly in the locker room.

Go Cowboys!
 
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So, answer the evolutionary question, in least in terms of this team: Is Dallas doomed in December because it is in their Nature to fold in the fourth quarter of the season? Have they been nurtured properly by Coach Phillips allowing them to overcome past year's disappointments?
 

LandryFan

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TheWarrenReport;3110901 said:
So, answer the evolutionary question, in least in terms of this team: Is Dallas doomed in December because it is in their Nature to fold in the fourth quarter of the season? Have they been nurtured properly by Coach Phillips allowing them to overcome past year's disappointments?
Another great read, TheWarrenReport! No, I don't believe Dallas is doomed in December this year. If they have a bad month, it'll have nothing to do with past failures, and everything to do with being an inferior team when compared to their opponents. I just sense a different mentality to this year's squad, especially on defense.
I'm forecasting a 4-1 finish with the lone loss being a very close one in NO. It wouldn't shock me if they went 5-0! I know, I'm drinking the Kool-aid, but I'm just going off a gut feeling.
 

GimmeTheBall!

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Dang, warrenreport you are like a professional writer or sumtin.
I liked the parts where you made sense and didn't like the parts where you disagreed with me. I think you have good writing skills.
 

ScipioCowboy

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TheWarrenReport;3110724 said:
Statisticians, die-hards and certain head coaches will tell you the Past is insignificant. Numbers are immune to history as the Present resets odds habitually. And, they are right. On any given Sunday, any team's fortunes are a 50/50 proposition. Just ask the Raiders who beat the Bengals only to lose, convincingly!, to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, 7-24. Oakland's more irregular than Deion Sanders' wardrobe.

Psychologists, cynics and certain talking jocks will tell you the Past is inescapable. The Past is precedent; late-season swoons are an insurmountable intangible. And, they may be right. Witness 2008's year-ending, soul-crushing shellacking at Lincoln Financial Field. Question is: do these Dallas Cowboys have it in them to prove the latter group wrong? We'll see this weekend. Dallas needn't necessarily win, but a blow-out or last-second loss might devastate... which leaves little room for error and plenty for followers' terror.

TheWarrenReport;3110901 said:
So, answer the evolutionary question, in least in terms of this team: Is Dallas doomed in December because it is in their Nature to fold in the fourth quarter of the season? Have they been nurtured properly by Coach Phillips allowing them to overcome past year's disappointments?

Allow me to address your question using a different but tangentially related metaphor.

Logic holds that correlation does not imply causality: Many posters in this forum have invoked this principle, but few truly understand its implications. It does not imply -- despite the erroneous claims of certain posters -- that we can never draw causal relationships between connected events. Quite the opposite, in fact; correlation is actually necessary to prove causality.

With this in mind, let's return to our discussion of the Cowboys.

History -- which, in this case, is the Cowboys' recent pattern of December swoons -- only repeats itself if the causal factors that come together to create the present are identical to those that created the past.

Perhaps my almost frantic desire to see a playoff win is skewing my analysis, but I believe the factors surrounding this Cowboy team differ from Cowboy teams of the recent past. Namely, those factors include an improved defense and special teams, less internal division, and more consistency in the ground game.
 

DandyDon1722

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Excellent read. By the way when we go to NY I wanna be...

Naughty By Nature.
 

Hoofbite

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GimmeTheBall!;3111165 said:
Dang, warrenreport you are like a professional writer or sumtin.
I liked the parts where you made sense and didn't like the parts where you disagreed with me. I think you have good writing skills.

Yeah, professional writer or sumpin.
 

ShiningStar

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Why doesnt WR wrap it up like the way he wants to say it.

"Everybody play well" Wow, insightful. Everyone play good, no truer words could have been used. If only every other NFL team could figure it out.

I dont care how Bobby plays, until he's cut he's staying and we have to live with it. You want to write something different, say what's on everyones mind. We are missing Ware and someone has to be that wrecking ball we need in the opponents backfield. I dont care if you get the sack, kill the RB, grab the ball, do whatever it takes to get back there and cause havoc. I am getting sick of watching our guys get close and miss the qb and let them complete the third and long that we wanted our defense to stop.

To say the correct statement tho, our defense has been getting better, and I dont know if anyone else has noticed, but they dont get gassed as fast either. I dont know if someone had a talking to with our trainers or brought in a few different people, but our defense, considering the games they played were they were on the field a lot, did not look gassed in the 4th.

Who do we need to step up, Garrett, everything is going to hinge on our getting in the end zone and keeping drives alive. The Saints are doing it at will and Eli is going to think he can do it at will on us.

We know the D will get to Eli, will our running game gas them in the 4th, doesnt matter, we need Garrett to continue to get our guys to keep the drives alive. The Raiders game was a great game to get things back on track, but no more stalling. That also means penalties and HH has got to get on that. I am sick of big plays being called back.

Rotation should be our key, why we have great depth at some positions. If Felix and Barber isnt doing it, get Choice in there, mix things up. If Newman isnt stopping them, get more Scandrick in there. He brings confidence and we need someone back there swagging and jawing and getting those WR"s off their time.

If Witten is getting locked down, throw Bennett in there, get him on the end zone jumps, get him in the open space.

Rest Spencer from time to time, if he needs to go out, get Butler in there, let him mix it up and work that offensive line of the Giants, if they are tripling Ware, move him from side to side.

This team has players biting at the gums to get in the game, make it happen.

I also think its becoming clear, Ken Hamlin is looking pretty useless. I cant believe how good Ball and Watkins are doing this year and I am pleasantly surprised.

And get Brookings fired up early, oh my god does the team and the fans and the cheerleaders respond to this guy. I dont care what you have to do, i dont care who has to punch him in the face, get him fired up to take someones head off. He'll get the job done.

Get players invovled in the game and stop stalling those drives. The defense is going to need all the help it can get with this stretch, this december and you play all out or go home. The real football games have started and the record is reset and its time to win em all and get to the next month.
 

ScipioCowboy

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windward;3111637 said:
I'm not a huge believer in predestination.

What if predestination is simply someone's foreknowledge of the choices, determined by your own free will, you will eventually make?;)
 
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ShiningStar;3111629 said:
Why doesnt WR wrap it up like the way he wants to say it.

"Everybody play well" Wow, insightful. Everyone play good, no truer words could have been used. If only every other NFL team could figure it out.

I dont care how Bobby plays, until he's cut he's staying and we have to live with it. You want to write something different, say what's on everyones mind. We are missing Ware and someone has to be that wrecking ball we need in the opponents backfield. I dont care if you get the sack, kill the RB, grab the ball, do whatever it takes to get back there and cause havoc. I am getting sick of watching our guys get close and miss the qb and let them complete the third and long that we wanted our defense to stop.

To say the correct statement tho, our defense has been getting better, and I dont know if anyone else has noticed, but they dont get gassed as fast either. I dont know if someone had a talking to with our trainers or brought in a few different people, but our defense, considering the games they played were they were on the field a lot, did not look gassed in the 4th.

Who do we need to step up, Garrett, everything is going to hinge on our getting in the end zone and keeping drives alive. The Saints are doing it at will and Eli is going to think he can do it at will on us.

We know the D will get to Eli, will our running game gas them in the 4th, doesnt matter, we need Garrett to continue to get our guys to keep the drives alive. The Raiders game was a great game to get things back on track, but no more stalling. That also means penalties and HH has got to get on that. I am sick of big plays being called back.

Rotation should be our key, why we have great depth at some positions. If Felix and Barber isnt doing it, get Choice in there, mix things up. If Newman isnt stopping them, get more Scandrick in there. He brings confidence and we need someone back there swagging and jawing and getting those WR"s off their time.

If Witten is getting locked down, throw Bennett in there, get him on the end zone jumps, get him in the open space.

Rest Spencer from time to time, if he needs to go out, get Butler in there, let him mix it up and work that offensive line of the Giants, if they are tripling Ware, move him from side to side.

This team has players biting at the gums to get in the game, make it happen.

I also think its becoming clear, Ken Hamlin is looking pretty useless. I cant believe how good Ball and Watkins are doing this year and I am pleasantly surprised.

And get Brookings fired up early, oh my god does the team and the fans and the cheerleaders respond to this guy. I dont care what you have to do, i dont care who has to punch him in the face, get him fired up to take someones head off. He'll get the job done.

Get players invovled in the game and stop stalling those drives. The defense is going to need all the help it can get with this stretch, this december and you play all out or go home. The real football games have started and the record is reset and its time to win em all and get to the next month.

I can't tell if you're mocking me or not, SHining Star, but I appreciate the follow-up evaluation. I agree with your strategy of involving those players who want victory so bad they'll bite their own tongues just to taste blood in their mouths.

As for Keith, I don't think it takes much to fire him up. Instead of one of our guys smacking him, however, I wish Brandon Jacobs would do/say something stupid at the start of the game to flip KB's switch. It'd be fun to see the rb regret running his mouth.
 

RealCowboyfan

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Cowboys need offensive line, Nick Folk, and Roy Williams to improve and just stay consistent throughout the team meaning defense specials and hopefully the offense.
 
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ScipioCowboy;3111773 said:
What if predestination is simply someone's foreknowledge of the choices, determined by your own free will, you will eventually make?;)

That sounds great, but does that then mean I'm fully responsible for my decision to see that TomArnold/Sinbad flick years ago? Egads!
 

EPL0c0

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Just go out there and play the games. Focus on one game at a time instead of December (& January) as a whole.

They've been doing that...if they keep doing that, I think 3-2 is acceptable.
 

ShiningStar

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TheWarrenReport;3112163 said:
I can't tell if you're mocking me or not, SHining Star, but I appreciate the follow-up evaluation. I agree with your strategy of involving those players who want victory so bad they'll bite their own tongues just to taste blood in their mouths.

As for Keith, I don't think it takes much to fire him up. Instead of one of our guys smacking him, however, I wish Brandon Jacobs would do/say something stupid at the start of the game to flip KB's switch. It'd be fun to see the rb regret running his mouth.


Im not mocking you by any stretch of the imagination, but I am saying, theres always more to "ways to win" but the common goal is the most simplistic of "score more points"

I for one dont see every problem as easy as "fire wade" I feel other coaches need to step up or step out of the way. Im just saying there are other things to consider and rotation should be one of them, I think it would have rounded out your writing as well. I think rotation could be a big boost to our players and find out who wants to stay and who wants to go.

The big player I think we need to see at the end of the games is McGee, I dont want another Bartel of hanging on to him for a few seasons when we knew or could have known that we didnt need him or get anything for him.

You always have to draft QB's but find out if there is anything worth keeping during "mop up " time.
 
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ShiningStar;3112665 said:
Im not mocking you by any stretch of the imagination, but I am saying, theres always more to "ways to win" but the common goal is the most simplistic of "score more points"

I for one dont see every problem as easy as "fire wade" I feel other coaches need to step up or step out of the way. Im just saying there are other things to consider and rotation should be one of them, I think it would have rounded out your writing as well. I think rotation could be a big boost to our players and find out who wants to stay and who wants to go.

The big player I think we need to see at the end of the games is McGee, I dont want another Bartel of hanging on to him for a few seasons when we knew or could have known that we didnt need him or get anything for him.

You always have to draft QB's but find out if there is anything worth keeping during "mop up " time.

Glad we're on similar pages. I, too, am a proponent of rotation (for fresh legs and young blood), talent evaluation (is Ogletreee a real prospect? can Victor Butler handle the run?) and motivation (I'd be all for sitting Roy Williams on principle or even K Hamlin, before he got hurt). Amazing how Watkins, Ball, Free and Carpenter have stepped up their games.

I am also certain that everyone — whether they play football or not — can only rise to the expectations set for them. I'd love set the bar high for McGee and see if he can deliver soon. I like to think the 'Boys will get a cushy lead in one of these five games and he'll have a chance.
 

ShiningStar

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TheWarrenReport;3112817 said:
Glad we're on similar pages. I, too, am a proponent of rotation (for fresh legs and young blood), talent evaluation (is Ogletreee a real prospect? can Victor Butler handle the run?) and motivation (I'd be all for sitting Roy Williams on principle or even K Hamlin, before he got hurt). Amazing how Watkins, Ball, Free and Carpenter have stepped up their games.

I am also certain that everyone — whether they play football or not — can only rise to the expectations set for them. I'd love set the bar high for McGee and see if he can deliver soon. I like to think the 'Boys will get a cushy lead in one of these five games and he'll have a chance.


i agree whole heartedily and want whats best for the team, but it requires a lot of information and you need to get it going with those cushy leads.
 
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