Cowboys open as 3.5 point underdogs vs 49ers

[CowboysFaninHouston]

home team always gets 3 points. so they think SF is slightly better than dallas (the 1/2 point).

 

[Joe Realist]

I expect more like 5 by kickoff.

I'll take the 49ers to cover and embarrass.

Agreed. Niners win by at least 12. Purdy still undefeated in regular season.

 

[MysteryIceGuro]

l hm

As much as i HATE to say it, I think SF might be better than us overall, they are one of the best teams I’ve seen in years. Two pro bowl caliber wr, an AP TE, AP RB, a QB that has done nothing but play great since he touched the field in the NFL and are coached by a guy who knows how to scheme them up. Their d line is great with a DPOY and other pro Bowl talent, two stud LB, one of which is an AP, and AP safety, and CBs that make it work. their O is precise and effective as hell, their D plays bully ball. other than lance, they draft all kinds of studs. It’s gonna be a tough game, we can win but gotta play TOUGH on both lines and not make mistakes, we played them hard as hell last year but the loss of TP and a bad game by Dak ruined a good defensive game by us.

this isn’t even a debate lol. I’m they are by far and away better than us and a top 3 team in the league

 

[Motorola]

I expect more like 5 by kickoff.

I'll take the 49ers to cover and embarrass.

Agree it will probably go to 5 by the end of the week.

The spread will go down ...to +3 (or lower)

 

[Reverend Conehead]

Fine with me. I'd rather play as the underdog. It would annoy me to no end if the media acted like:
...
"Wow, look how great the Cowboys played against the Pats. This makes them the best team in the NFC for certain. Ain't no doubt about it, they're a shoe-in to beat the 49ers; then they're guaranteed to win every game from here on out, including the Super Bowl. Cowboys gonna totally woop 49er butts for sure guaranteed and positively without a doubt. This team is so great no one can touch them. Go ahead and make your Super Bowl plans because the Cowboys are already destined to go there. They need not worry about anything else. They're so great, they could go to Tijuana before every game and get plastered on Tequila, and then show up hung over and with no game plan, and they would still win. They're just too good and wonderful. Right now the 49er coaches are trying to draw up a game plan, but they keep busting into sobs like, 'Pokes iz so good we got nnnnooooo chance to beat'em'."
...
I hate it when the press overreacts and prematurely crowns someone champs -- especially if they do it to the Cowboys. I don't want any of our players getting overconfident.
...
We're going up an extremely good team. Better be super prepared with the best game plan possible if we're to have a shot at a victory. Don't give them any bulletin board material. If any reporter asks one of our players about the 49ers, I want him to just gush and gush about how great they are, and how they do everything wonderfully. I want our players to blather on to the press about how great the 49ers are. Maybe the 49ers will be foolish enough to believe it and get all overconfident.
...
I want our team confident and playing their very best football. I want the 49ers to be overconfident and thinking that they're invincible. In a case like that, I like our chances.

 

[meddleroidz]

Their offense isn’t right and the secondary is not good.

well the eagles offense is better than san fran right now(more will be proved on sunday) and SF secondary is not good either, defenses suck all over the nfl. it sucks but its a fact, its 90% all about offenses since a few years now.

 

[TheSport78]

I expect more like 5 by kickoff.

I'll take the 49ers to cover and embarrass.

Unless there's important injury news, this line will bounce from 3.5-4. Maybe you'll see some 3s too.

 

[TheSport78]

Agree it will probably go to 5 by the end of the week.

It won't.

 

[TheSport78]

home team always gets 3 points. so they think SF is slightly better than dallas (the 1/2 point).

Not anymore. Home field doesn't get a full 3 points anymore. It's usually 1-2 points now.

 

[Hawkeye19]

I like us in the underdog role, playing with something to prove. Gotta exorcise this demon. The sooner the better.

 

[Tabascocat]

Not anymore. Home field doesn't get a full 3 points anymore. It's usually 1-2 points now.

It’s actually 2.2 now

 

[Captain-Crash]

It will be the Super Bowl if we win and "the game doesn't matter" if we lose. shrugs.

 

[CowboysFaninHouston]

Not anymore. Home field doesn't get a full 3 points anymore. It's usually 1-2 points now.

historically I had read it was about 3 points and that's what vegas uses. and then they adjust the line.

"....Throughout the history of the game, the home-field advantage has always been assigned a worth of three points. On average, the figure is approximately 2.7 points for every NFL franchise, and that is why sportsbook casinos generally give three points to the home team...."

1 seems very low for home field advantage. that's nothing.

but I assume you are trying to make point that SF is more than just a little bit better than cowboys.

 

[CCBoy]

Wooof.....wooof, woof, woof, woof....Bring on the Dogs!

 

[JD_KaPow]

Are y’all all Cowboys fans? Where is the confidence?

How is "confidence" the mark of a fan? If your team is good enough that you know they're going to roll over the competition, well then being a fan is easy. That's why there are so many fair-weather fans: just pick the best team so you can feel "confident."

True fans are there when they know their team is almost certainly going to get stomped but they show up to root for them and hope for a miracle anyway. That's the test of a fan.

This week is not that kind of test obviously, but I think it's crazy to be confident that the Cowboys will win. False bravado isn't what being a fan is about.

 

[JD_KaPow]

historically I had read it was about 3 points and that's what vegas uses. and then they adjust the line.

"....Throughout the history of the game, the home-field advantage has always been assigned a worth of three points. On average, the figure is approximately 2.7 points for every NFL franchise, and that is why sportsbook casinos generally give three points to the home team...."

1 seems very low for home field advantage. that's nothing.

but I assume you are trying to make point that SF is more than just a little bit better than cowboys.

You're looking over too long a window. The number has been trending down for a long time. It's been under 2 for the last couple years and unlikely to get back over that mark.

You can be sure Vegas is on top of these trends.

https://www.covers.com/nfl/home-field-advantage

 

[Mikexike]

Whats the spread if they swapped Dak and Purdy as Qb? Dal -3.5?

 

[erod]

Pretty standard when the home team gets 3 so the niners are slight favorites seems about right

That's not the way it works.

Vegas sets lines on bettors, and there are always tons of bettors on the Cowboys, so they don't have to set the lines so high when the Cowboys are not the favorite. Vegas wants the betting to be 50/50 so the casinos take on no risk.

From a purely football and home field perspective, it's about Niners -6.

 

[cowboys5xsbs]

That's not the way it works.

Vegas sets lines on bettors, and there are always tons of bettors on the Cowboys, so they don't have to set the lines so high when the Cowboys are not the favorite. Vegas wants the betting to be 50/50 so the casinos take on no risk.

From a purely football and home field perspective, it's about Niners -6.

You know nothing about Vegas

 

[SuspectCorner]

The Niners are just a bad matchup - and on the road. They do the things that are anathema to the Cowboys tendencies. Running the ball will probably be the first and biggest problem. I hate the 49ers. Purdy is waaaaay overrated. I wish the Dallas defense would stop just short of killing that guy.