Cowboys' Pass Distribution In-Depth, 2013-14

percyhoward

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These are broken down by target distance -- the distance traveled by the ball in flight from the line of scrimmage to the receiver's hands. YAC doesn't count in determining the target distance, but does count in the receiver's yardage totals, yards per target, and pass rating. I looked at only the five players with the most targets at each distance over the last two seasons. With one exception, I didn't include players no longer with the team, but Austin had 10 targets at 10-19 yards, and Harris had 3 at 20+ yards. Murray's 126 targets at <10 yards are too many to ignore.

The first number in each row is that player's share of the targets at that distance (among the 5 players), so they add up to 100%. For example, 24.4% of the passes to the five most-targeted players at less than 10 yards went to Witten. His catch rate at that distance was 75%, meaning that the QB's completion percentage was 75% on Witten's targets. Witten's 6.5 yards per target is just the QB's yards per attempt on passes to Witten at that distance. Finally, the 100.1 rating is the QB's passer rating on Witten's targets at that distance.

Short (<10 yards)
25.3% Bryant 114 of 141 80.9% 973 yd 6.9 ypt 11 td 2 int 115.5
24.4% Witten 102 of 136 75.0% 880 yd 6.5 ypt 6 td 2 int 100.1
22.6% Murray 114 of 126 90.5% 791 yd 6.3 ypt 1 td 0 int 95.5
18.1% Beasley 77 of 101 76.2% 801 yd 7.9 ypt 4 td 2 int 103.6
9.6% Williams 36 of 54 66.7% 334 yd 6.2 ypt 6 td 1 int 112.7

Intermediate (10-19 yards)
46.6% Bryant 52 of 101 51.5% 905 yd 9.0 ypt 9 td 3 int 99.6
23.5% Witten 35 of 51 68.6% 599 yd 11.7 ypt 4 td 1 int 126.2
22.6% Williams 32 of 49 65.3% 561 yd 11.4 ypt 4 td 3 int 105.9
4.1% Escobar 6 of 9 66.7% 97 yd 10.8 ypt 2 td 1 int 102.5
3.2% Beasley 5 of 7 71.4% 64 yd 9.1 ypt 1 td 0 int 139.3

Deep (20+ yards)
44.8% Bryant 21 of 56 37.5% 782 yd 14.0 ypt 9 td 3 int 102.7
31.2% Williams 17 of 39 43.6% 592 yd 15.2 ypt 6 td 0 int 130.1
18.4% Witten 8 of 23 34.8% 209 yd 9.1 ypt 3 td 0 int 108.5
3.2% Escobar 3 of 4 75.0% 62 yd 15.5 ypt 3 td 0 int 156.3
2.4% Beasley 1 of 3 33.3% 24 yd 8.0 ypt 1 td 0 int 102.8

Bryant gets the largest share of the passes at every distance. At <10 yards, don't read anything into his 6.9 yards per target compared to Beasley's 7.9, because on 14 of Dez's catches, the end zone was what kept him from getting more than 7 yards. The pass rating rewards him for that, however. By the same token, at 20+ yards, don't make too much of his rating being more than 50 points worse than Escobar's. Bryant's 102.7 rating on passes of 20+ yards is a big part of what makes Escobar's rating at that distance possible. The guys not named Bryant combined for 13 TD with 0 INT on their deep targets over the last two seasons.

It should also be noted that Dez's catch rate of 37.5% at 20+ yards for the last two seasons hides the difference between his 22.2% in 2013 and his league-leading 53.6% in 2014. That huge jump was mainly an effect of opposing defenses having to respect a run threat.
 

L-O-Jete

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Short (<10 yards)
25.3% Bryant 114 of 141 80.9% 973 yd 6.9 ypt 11 td 2 int 115.5

24.4% Witten 102 of 136 75.0% 880 yd 6.5 ypt 6 td 2 int 100.1
22.6% Murray 114 of 126 90.5% 791 yd 6.3 ypt 1 td 0 int 95.5
18.1% Beasley 77 of 101 76.2% 801 yd 7.9 ypt 4 td 2 int 103.6
9.6% Williams 36 of 54 66.7% 334 yd 6.2 ypt 6 td 1 int 112.7

Intermediate (10-19 yards)
46.6% Bryant 52 of 101 51.5% 905 yd 9.0 ypt 9 td 3 int 99.6
23.5% Witten 35 of 51 68.6% 599 yd 11.7 ypt 4 td 1 int 126.2
22.6% Williams 32 of 49 65.3% 561 yd 11.4 ypt 4 td 3 int 105.9
4.1% Escobar 6 of 9 66.7% 97 yd 10.8 ypt 2 td 1 int 102.5
3.2% Beasley 5 of 7 71.4% 64 yd 9.1 ypt 1 td 0 int 139.3

Deep (20+ yards)
44.8% Bryant 21 of 56 37.5% 782 yd 14.0 ypt 9 td 3 int 102.7
31.2% Williams 17 of 39 43.6% 592 yd 15.2 ypt 6 td 0 int 130.1
18.4% Witten 8 of 23 34.8% 209 yd 9.1 ypt 3 td 0 int 108.5
3.2% Escobar 3 of 4 75.0% 62 yd 15.5 ypt 3 td 0 int 156.3
2.4% Beasley 1 of 3 33.3% 24 yd 8.0 ypt 1 td 0 int 102.8

I guess Romo should look for Dez short, Beasley intermediate and Escobar long... ;)
 

Hoov

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I wonder how many of Murrays rec targets came in 2014 as opposed to 2013.

Prior to last season i dont recall them targeting Murray in the pass game very much - maybe they did and i'm just not remembering correctly but i kept thinking last year that Murray was getting a lot more rec targets than ever before.
 

percyhoward

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I wonder how many of Murrays rec targets came in 2014 as opposed to 2013.

Prior to last season i dont recall them targeting Murray in the pass game very much - maybe they did and i'm just not remembering correctly but i kept thinking last year that Murray was getting a lot more rec targets than ever before.
Murray got more targets in 2014 despite running more than two fewer pass routes per game.

Murray only
Short (<10 yards)

2014: 61 of 68 89.7% 441 yd 6.5 ypt 0 td 0 int 93.7
2013: 53 of 58 91.4% 350 yd 6.0 ypt 1 td 0 int 97.6

Pass routes (of total snaps)
2014: 285 of 800 35.6%
2013: 320 of 690 46.4%

Murray also had a total of 3 targets beyond 10 yards, all in 2013, all incomplete.
 

DandyDon52

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Intermediate (10-19 yards)
less to dez and more to
beasely and escobar?
 

Hoov

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Murray got more targets in 2014 despite running more than two fewer pass routes per game.

Murray only
Short (<10 yards)

2014: 61 of 68 89.7% 441 yd 6.5 ypt 0 td 0 int 93.7
2013: 53 of 58 91.4% 350 yd 6.0 ypt 1 td 0 int 97.6

Pass routes (of total snaps)
2014: 285 of 800 35.6%
2013: 320 of 690 46.4%

Murray also had a total of 3 targets beyond 10 yards, all in 2013, all incomplete.

Thanks. so it was more, but not a whole lot more like i was thinking.

I wouldnt mind seeing more throws to a capable back this year as i think this offense can really stretch a defense leaving a big hole for a back to catch a 5 yard pass and get YAC in the open field.

Also hope to see more screen passes this year - it hink we have the personel to do that well now.
 

Idgit

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Great stuff.

It should also be noted that Dez's catch rate of 37.5% at 20+ yards for the last two seasons hides the difference between his 22.2% in 2013 and his league-leading 53.6% in 2014. That huge jump was mainly an effect of opposing defenses having to respect a run threat.

Is there something that specifically makes you think this jump was a result of the run threat and not the result of a change in who was covering him or in how Linehan used him? That intermediate passing game to Beasley, for example, was pretty potent and there were situations where he was drawing double coverage on 3rd downs, too.

I don't remember a lot of teams outside of AZ making a living off of single covering Dez.
 

percyhoward

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Is there something that specifically makes you think this jump was a result of the run threat and not the result of a change in who was covering him or in how Linehan used him? That intermediate passing game to Beasley, for example, was pretty potent and there were situations where he was drawing double coverage on 3rd downs, too.

I don't remember a lot of teams outside of AZ making a living off of single covering Dez.
At Philly was the game that sticks out for me. Not that we're necessarily talking entire games anyway, but individual plays. (Maybe fuzzy or itsaboat can help here. Even when the safety wasn't playing up, he still might have been anticipating the run, like on the long TD in St Louis.)

And there were other factors besides the run threat and the ones you mentioned of course. I think pass protection was better too. Just much better looks for Romo on the deeper throws than the previous year, and not nearly as many throwaways that went down as targets for Dez.
 

percyhoward

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Intermediate (10-19 yards)
less to dez and more to
beasely and escobar?
I think that's mostly a reflection of the amount of snaps Beasley and Escobar get, based on how much they contribute to the run game.
 

Yakuza Rich

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Do you have the previous season(s) numbers?

I would be interested to see the % of passes that Murray and Beasley ate up on short passes. I think that was one of the big and important changes to the offense this past season. Murray and Beasley got more of those passes instead of giving them to Witten who isn't a YAC guy.

Thanks again for the hard work.





YR
 

Future

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Intermediate (10-19 yards)
less to dez and more to
beasely and escobar?
I don't know that you can use this information to make that case, but the simple eyeball test suggests that both deserve more chances in the passing game. If nothing else, it would take some pressure off of Dez
 

locked&loaded

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I really hope we run more bubble screens with Dez and even Beasly, but especially Dez. I have said it a thousand times, but the Broncos set up many of those screens with Demaryius and he profits from him; Demaryius isnt half the runner with the ball in his hands that Dez is.

Also, Mcfadden is no slouch catching the ball out of the backfield (unsure about Williams and Joseph). Hopefully Romo wont miss Murray in the dump off aspect of his game.
 

percyhoward

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Based on each player's total snaps, 2014

% of snaps player was targeted
Bryant 14.8
Beasley 11.1
Witten 8.4
Williams 8.0

Harris 7.5
Escobar 4.9
Street 4.7
Hanna 1.8

% of snaps in route
Beasley 73.4
Williams 58.8

Street 56.7
Bryant 56.4
Witten 51.1

Escobar 46.0
Harris 31.2
Hanna 9.3

% of snaps as run blocker
Hanna 90.7
Harris 68.8
Escobar 54.0
Witten 48.9
Bryant 43.6

Street 43.3
Williams 41.2
Beasley 26.6
 

percyhoward

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I would be interested to see the % of passes that Murray and Beasley ate up on short passes. I think that was one of the big and important changes to the offense this past season. Murray and Beasley got more of those passes instead of giving them to Witten who isn't a YAC guy.

Distribution only
Short (<10 yards)


2013
Bryant 26.4%
Witten 25.3%
Murray 20.2%
Beasley 17.0%
Williams 11.1%

2014
Murray 25.2%
Bryant 24.1%
Witten 23.3%
Beasley 19.3%
Williams 8.1%

Change from previous season
Murray +5.0
Beasley +2.3
Witten -2.0
Bryant -2.3
Williams -3.0
 

theogt

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Deep (20+ yards)
44.8% Bryant 21 of 56 37.5% 782 yd 14.0 ypt 9 td 3 int 102.7
31.2% Williams 17 of 39 43.6% 592 yd 15.2 ypt 6 td 0 int 130.1
18.4% Witten 8 of 23 34.8% 209 yd 9.1 ypt 3 td 0 int 108.5
3.2% Escobar 3 of 4 75.0% 62 yd 15.5 ypt 3 td 0 int 156.3
2.4% Beasley 1 of 3 33.3% 24 yd 8.0 ypt 1 td 0 int 102.8
To the people that criticize Terrence Williams -- just shut up already.
 
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