The line is made to encourage bets. It's an organic fluctuation that moves depending on price action.
Dallas typically has some good $$ coming in just from the sheer amount of fans, and people that hate them. With Dallas in a division with huge metropolitan fanbases, and by extension a large amount of people that dislike them, the line is usually made to take advantage of that, whether it's an honest assessment or not.
KC is a good team. If Zeke were playing I'd say we were very slight favorites just because of their run defense. Without Zeke, id have to say we're slight dogs. Their defense isn't at full strength, but they're still one of the best passing defenses in the league.
Alex Smith has one of the highest passer ratings in the league, and he doesn't really turn the ball offer. They have a lot of speed and the WCO Reid runs looks like it could be a nightmare for our defense. With their defense being good against the pass, and now with Nelson back, it's going to take a great performance by Dak to just win the passer rating differential battle. But Dak does play a winning style that will help against a defense like KC, highly efficient and doesn't turn the ball over.
I fully expect them to man up outside and stack the box. And I expect them to call a lot of flare outs, crossing patterns, screens to take advantage of us.
This will be a tough game. I'd be very tempted to mix up our run game with some spread type formation or something, to take advantage of Daks mobility as well. They are allowing almost 5 yards per carry, so some yards will be there, we just need to take them. Since you know they're going to try and take away the run, and they havent been very good at it, id really like to see heavy playaction just to give the receivers every chance possible against this pass defense, or possibly open up a running lane for Dak when the back 7 realizes they're out of position.
Going to be a great test for us.