Cowboys vs Chiefs open as a Pickem

JBS

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I don’t know much at all about Vegas but...

If Kareem Hunt and Alex Smith go down tonight, I would assume Dallas may be considered strong favorites.

If Zeke is suspended, I would suspect the line to tilt to KC.

A lot can change between now and Sunday with this matchup.

Zeke is worth considerably less than Smith in relation to vegas point spreads
 

JBS

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Chiefs Cowboys open as a pick em

Then Zeke gets suspended

Now the line is still a pick em

Who would have guessed the line wouldn't move?
 

RJ_MacReady

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Chiefs Cowboys open as a pick em

Then Zeke gets suspended

Now the line is still a pick em

Who would have guessed the line wouldn't move?
Probably because they watched KC’s run defense getting pieced-up at home by a lesser run offense then Dallas has...regardless if Elliott is out.
 

black label

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It did not open as a pickem,

The cowboys opened at -2

66 percent of the money has come in on the chiefs

Now its a pickem
 

gmoney112

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The line is made to encourage bets. It's an organic fluctuation that moves depending on price action.

Dallas typically has some good $$ coming in just from the sheer amount of fans, and people that hate them. With Dallas in a division with huge metropolitan fanbases, and by extension a large amount of people that dislike them, the line is usually made to take advantage of that, whether it's an honest assessment or not.

KC is a good team. If Zeke were playing I'd say we were very slight favorites just because of their run defense. Without Zeke, id have to say we're slight dogs. Their defense isn't at full strength, but they're still one of the best passing defenses in the league.

Alex Smith has one of the highest passer ratings in the league, and he doesn't really turn the ball offer. They have a lot of speed and the WCO Reid runs looks like it could be a nightmare for our defense. With their defense being good against the pass, and now with Nelson back, it's going to take a great performance by Dak to just win the passer rating differential battle. But Dak does play a winning style that will help against a defense like KC, highly efficient and doesn't turn the ball over.

I fully expect them to man up outside and stack the box. And I expect them to call a lot of flare outs, crossing patterns, screens to take advantage of us.

This will be a tough game. I'd be very tempted to mix up our run game with some spread type formation or something, to take advantage of Daks mobility as well. They are allowing almost 5 yards per carry, so some yards will be there, we just need to take them. Since you know they're going to try and take away the run, and they havent been very good at it, id really like to see heavy playaction just to give the receivers every chance possible against this pass defense, or possibly open up a running lane for Dak when the back 7 realizes they're out of position.

Going to be a great test for us.
 
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