Cowboys vs. the Super Bowl teams: Defense is the difference

percyhoward

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I know it's obvious, but here are some specifics.

These are the rankings in the three stats with the highest win correlations, for both offense and defense. Only Seattle ranked as high as 10th in all six categories in the regular season. New England ranked in the top 10 in five of the six categories.
offense
points per drive

Dal 2nd
NE 3rd
Sea 9th

drive success rate
Dal 4th
NE 5th
Sea 10th

passer rating
Dal 1st
NE 5th
Sea 7th


Here's where we need to catch up...

defense
points per drive

Sea 2nd
NE 8th
Dal 16th

drive success rate
Sea 3rd
NE 16th
Dal 24th

passer rating
Sea 5th
NE 10th
Dal 13th

because of this...

Net Yards/Pass Attempt Allowed
3rd Seahawks 5.5
13th Patriots 6.2
27th Cowboys 6.9

and this...

TD per Drive Allowed
2nd Seahawks .152
5th Patriots .170
23rd Cowboys .230

Rushing TD Allowed
2nd Patriots 6
5th Seahawks 8
31st Cowboys 18

Even though Dallas allowed opposing QB only a 71.6 rating in the red zone (compared to 94.0 against the Pats, and 115.2 vs. Seattle), the Cowboys could not stop the run inside their 20. In fact, the ease with which opposing offenses ran on us in the red zone helped keep their passing TD totals down, and helped that defensive passer rating.

Dallas' run defense ranked 28th in average gain allowed in the red zone, and 30th in first down percentage allowed in the red zone.

Net yards per pass attempt is simply yards per pass attempt factoring in sacks and sack yardage. Offensively, Dallas led the NFL in this category. Defensively we ranked 27th. Although our NY/A allowed improved slightly over the last four games of the regular season from 6.9 to 6.6, it went up to 7.6 in the playoffs. That was 3rd-worst among playoff teams (NE 5.2, Sea 5.9). You can't get away with that number without forcing multiple turnovers.

Despite all of this, Dallas had only a slightly below average defense in 2014. Part of that was the fact that we led the league in takeaways per drive. Most of it was that, when teams weren't scoring on us, we were very good at keeping them out of field goal range, even without forcing turnovers. Looking only at the opponents' drives that did not end in turnovers, 61% were scoreless. That ranked 12th in the league.

In the next couple of years that are this team's window, we need to at the very least maintain this level of defense, and preferably improve on it significantly. To paraphrase an old coach, we got to the doorstep this year. We even knocked on the door. Improvement on defense can help us kick that sucker in.
 
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slick325

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Good post PercyHoward. The process is not complete. DL is the next step and this offseason will go a long way in kicking the door down.
 

Beast_from_East

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I know it's obvious, but here are some specifics.

These are the rankings in the three stats with the highest win correlations, for both offense and defense. Only Seattle ranked as high as 10th in all six categories in the regular season. New England ranked in the top 10 in five of the six categories.
offense
points per drive

Dal 2nd
NE 3rd
Sea 9th

drive success rate
Dal 4th
NE 5th
Sea 10th

passer rating
Dal 1st
NE 5th
Sea 7th


Here's where we need to catch up...

defense
points per drive

Sea 2nd
NE 8th
Dal 16th

drive success rate
Sea 3rd
NE 16th
Dal 24th

passer rating
Sea 5th
NE 10th
Dal 13th

because of this...

Net Yards/Pass Attempt Allowed
3rd Seahawks 5.5
13th Patriots 6.2
27th Cowboys 6.9

and this...

TD per Drive Allowed
2nd Seahawks .152
5th Patriots .170
23rd Cowboys .230

Rushing TD Allowed
2nd Patriots 6
5th Seahawks 8
31st Cowboys 18

Even though Dallas allowed opposing QB only a 71.6 rating in the red zone (compared to 94.0 against the Pats, and 115.2 vs. Seattle), the Cowboys could not stop the run inside their 20. In fact, the ease with which opposing offenses ran on us in the red zone helped keep their passing TD totals down, and helped that defensive passer rating.

Dallas' run defense ranked 28th in average gain allowed in the red zone, and 30th in first down percentage allowed in the red zone.

Net yards per pass attempt is simply yards per pass attempt factoring in sacks and sack yardage. Offensively, Dallas led the NFL in this category. Defensively we ranked 27th. Although our NY/A allowed improved slightly over the last four games of the regular season from 6.9 to 6.6, it went up to 7.6 in the playoffs. That was 3rd-worst among playoff teams (NE 5.2, Sea 5.9). You can't get away with that number without forcing multiple turnovers.

Despite all of this, Dallas had only a slightly below average defense in 2014. Part of that was the fact that we led the league in takeaways per drive. Most of it was that, when teams weren't scoring on us, we were very good at keeping them out of field goal range, even without forcing turnovers. Looking only at the opponents' drives that did not end in turnovers, 61% were scoreless. That ranked 12th in the league.

In the next couple of years that are this team's window, we need to at the very least maintain this level of defense, and preferably improve on it significantly. To paraphrase an old coach, we got to the doorstep this year. We even knocked on the door. Improvement on defense can help us kick that sucker in.

Good breakdown, our defense is not yet on the same level as the Pats and Seabirds
 

RackofRibs

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Anyone know if there's a Johnathan Hankins type of player that will be available late in the 1st? How did he even fall that low? what sucks about seeing him be a potentially really good player if he continues to have 5+ sacks a season as a DT is that Escobar was picked like 2 spots ahead of him. I know sacks aren't the end all be all but he's good against the run too. Just go back and watch the games between the giants and cowboys and Frederick had a lot of trouble blocking him
 

Danger

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Anyone know if there's a Johnathan Hankins type of player that will be available late in the 1st? How did he even fall that low? what sucks about seeing him be a potentially really good player if he continues to have 5+ sacks a season as a DT is that Escobar was picked like 2 spots ahead of him. I know sacks aren't the end all be all but he's good against the run too. Just go back and watch the games between the giants and cowboys and Frederick had a lot of trouble blocking him

Malcolm Brown might fall to us at 27. A monster DT.
 

Idgit

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Nice context. A lot of this we've been talking about throughout the season, but it really was the limiting factor for us this season. With the depth and quality we've got on offense, if we can sign our own and improve the skill on defense, we can really close that gap.
The good news is, there are so many defensive positions that can be improved, we should be able to cherry pick 4-5 different positions and upgrade them individually without too much trouble. The only real concern is how to fix the limited pass rush, since those players are hard to sign in VFA and take time to develop through the draft. At least we've got a couple pieces in Lawrence and Crawford to work around already.
 

IAmLegend

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It's no secret, it all comes down to how much we can improve our Defense this offseason. Really need to draft well and sign a FA or two that can help us on that side of the ball.
 

Rack

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IMO we need an impact pass rusher. Much like when we got Haley. One that will finish stronger than he starts.

Two impact defenders would be better.

People keep crying about the cap... we're at the very end of Romo's window. Its now or wait another 10 years. Pay Suh and maybe JPP and watch the difference they make on the back end. A DB's best friend is an uncomfortable QB.
 
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