Current playoff odds for the East

[jobberone]

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

As you can see we are twice the odds of winning the East and being the four seed at 9-7 but that is because Philly must finish one game better than us to win the East. That would likely put them at 10-6 and they are in turn roughly twice as likely to win the third seed.

Right now they are slightly favored to get to 9 wins. We are up 7% points from last week after our win in NY. Philly dropped 3 points for the same being idle.

You can make your weekly picks here:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

[viman96]

The numbers will look much different if the Boys beat the Raiders and the Card beat the Eagles.

 

[jobberone]

http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcstandings.html

This latter site has a better picture IMO. I just couldn't find it earlier. We have a 31% chance of no playoffs and the Eagles a 61% chance of none. We have a 25% chance of the #3 and 41% chance of the #4. The Eagles are at 18% and 13% for the 3 and 4 spots. They have a better chance of a WC than we do but its low at 1% for the #5 and 5% for the #6. This is generally the site I follow.

 

[ufcrules1]

The numbers will look much different if the Boys beat the Raiders and the Card beat the Eagles.

I think those are both very likely scenarios. Arizona is very capable of beating Philly. They have a tough defense and have a good enough offense to win. I think that game will be a dog fight.

 

[big dog cowboy]

The numbers will look much different if the Boys beat the Raiders and the Card beat the Eagles.

That is when I want to see the numbers revisited.

 

[viman96]

I think the Cards will destroy the Eagles. The Cards defense is playing really well right now and their offense is starting to come around.

 

[big dog cowboy]

I think the Cards will destroy the Eagles. The Cards defense is playing really well right now and their offense is starting to come around.

I really hope ARZ wins because A) it helps the Cowboys and B) it will help calm all the talk on ESPN about Foles and how he can suddenly walk on water.

 

[cowboys1981]

I really hope ARZ wins because A) it helps the Cowboys and B) it will help calm all the talk on ESPN about Foles and how he can suddenly walk on water.

He turned it into whine before he walked on it.

 

[maxdallasfan]

I really hope ARZ wins because A) it helps the Cowboys and B) it will help calm all the talk on ESPN about Foles and how he can suddenly walk on water.

You speak from my mouth!

However, Arizona on the road isn't the same Arizona when at home. But God I hope they embarrass Foles.

 

[jobberone]

Well, I think the Cards will beat them but who knows.

The strength of schedule remaining is about the same for the Eagle and us.

 

[AdamJT13]

They have a better chance of a WC than we do

That is because if we have a record that is good enough to get a wild card, we'd almost certainly win the division instead. That's not true for the Eagles.

 

[jobberone]

You speak from my mouth!

However, Arizona on the road isn't the same Arizona when at home. But God I hope they embarrass Foles.

And Philly at home is not as good as on the road.

 

[jobberone]

That is because if we have a record that is good enough to get a wild card, we'd almost certainly win the division instead. That's not true for the Eagles.

I thought that's what I said but not clearly enough obviously. I wondered if you might weigh in here. You got any neat numbers to share?

 

[Zman5]

You speak from my mouth!

However, Arizona on the road isn't the same Arizona when at home. But God I hope they embarrass Foles.

Good thing is, the Eagles play worse at home.

 

[maxdallasfan]

Very true.