Dak: $35M vs. $37M - Both could be true

Jumbo075

Well-Known Member
Messages
3,094
Reaction score
7,658
If the Cowboys have an offer on the table to Dak Prescott for $35M per season for a 16 game season, then it is ALSO true that in 2021, his salary would AUTOMATICALLY jump to $37.1875M per season, because the NFL is expanding to a 17 game season.

So, it can be true that the Cowboys offer of $35M per season for 2020 is ALSO an offer of $37M per season after 2020 is over. It actually is to the Cowboys benefit to pay him a larger signing bonus at 2020 16-game rates, and have a lower salary in following years. That is probably a big reason Dak wants a 4-year deal instead of a 5-year deal.

Because of the escalation for the extra game, and 5-year $175M offer would include 84 games, not 80 games. $175M/84 games = $2,083,333.33 per game. Based on a 16 games per year (80 games over 5years) schedule, that is equivalent to an offer of $33, 333,333 per season - which is less than Russell Wilson - although it is not being reported that way.

Now, consider a true value of $35M per season for 16 games = $2,187,500 per game. Mulitply that by 84 games (16 games in 2020, and 17 games per year 2021-2024), and you get a $183.75M deal over 5 years. Divide that by 5 years, and you get $36.75M per season. Put another way, Prescott would make $35M in 2020, and $37M per season from 2021-2024.

Those reporting Dak is asking for $37M per season are leaving out the detail of the extra game in subsequent years.

Now, I don't know the details of the negotiations, but if the Cowboys are trying to offer Dak 33M per season in 2016, then that would automatically escalate to $35,062,500 per season for subsequent years based on the already agreed upon escalation. The Cowboys can "report" they are offering Dak $35M per season, while in actuality they are offering $33M in 2020 dollar values. And they can also say that Dak is demanding $37M per season in future years, when he's really asking for the equivalent of $35M per season in 2020 dollar values.

I suspect that the Cowboys and Dak will figure out a way to meet in the middle, and Dak will not become the highest paid QB. But keep the details above in mind when you hear reports. Also, keep in mind that Sports Reporters are bad at math.
 
If the Cowboys have an offer on the table to Dak Prescott for $35M per season for a 16 game season, then it is ALSO true that in 2021, his salary would AUTOMATICALLY jump to $37.1875M per season, because the NFL is expanding to a 17 game season.

So, it can be true that the Cowboys offer of $35M per season for 2020 is ALSO an offer of $37M per season after 2020 is over. It actually is to the Cowboys benefit to pay him a larger signing bonus at 2020 16-game rates, and have a lower salary in following years. That is probably a big reason Dak wants a 4-year deal instead of a 5-year deal.

Because of the escalation for the extra game, and 5-year $175M offer would include 84 games, not 80 games. $175M/84 games = $2,083,333.33 per game. Based on a 16 games per year (80 games over 5years) schedule, that is equivalent to an offer of $33, 333,333 per season - which is less than Russell Wilson - although it is not being reported that way.

Now, consider a true value of $35M per season for 16 games = $2,187,500 per game. Mulitply that by 84 games (16 games in 2020, and 17 games per year 2021-2024), and you get a $183.75M deal over 5 years. Divide that by 5 years, and you get $36.75M per season. Put another way, Prescott would make $35M in 2020, and $37M per season from 2021-2024.

Those reporting Dak is asking for $37M per season are leaving out the detail of the extra game in subsequent years.

Now, I don't know the details of the negotiations, but if the Cowboys are trying to offer Dak 33M per season in 2016, then that would automatically escalate to $35,062,500 per season for subsequent years based on the already agreed upon escalation. The Cowboys can "report" they are offering Dak $35M per season, while in actuality they are offering $33M in 2020 dollar values. And they can also say that Dak is demanding $37M per season in future years, when he's really asking for the equivalent of $35M per season in 2020 dollar values.

I suspect that the Cowboys and Dak will figure out a way to meet in the middle, and Dak will not become the highest paid QB. But keep the details above in mind when you hear reports. Also, keep in mind that Sports Reporters are bad at math.
You should be on the Cowboys payroll.
 
I want to know the guaranteed money, cap hit, and potential contract escape period for the Cowboys.

Everything else is noise.
 
I want to know the guaranteed money, cap hit, and potential contract escape period for the Cowboys.

Everything else is noise.

Well, calling me noise, I guess I'll take it. :laugh:

Certainly been worse and it might just end up being the high point today!

LOL.......
 
Is it already a given we are going to 17 games in 2021?

No. The NFL's proposal to the NFLPA actually had a recommended 2022 start for a 17 game season. That makes sense given the NFL's current TV deals expire after the 2022 season, except for ESPN's MNF which expires after 2021. The league will be looking to have new TV deals with all providers beginning in 2022, and aligning the 17th game with the start of the new TV deals means more money for the league.
 
No. The NFL's proposal to the NFLPA actually had a recommended 2022 start for a 17 game season. That makes sense given the NFL's current TV deals expire after the 2022 season, except for ESPN's MNF which expires after 2021. The league will be looking to have new TV deals with all providers beginning in 2022, and aligning the 17th game with the start of the new TV deals means more money for the league.
So , then the premise of this OP contract scenario involving a 17th game is premature? And wouldn’t even apply to next year. lol
 
If the Cowboys have an offer on the table to Dak Prescott for $35M per season for a 16 game season, then it is ALSO true that in 2021, his salary would AUTOMATICALLY jump to $37.1875M per season, because the NFL is expanding to a 17 game season.

Nice to know about the automatic escalation.Makes sense for the league.

They should do the same with the cap. Contracts should be denominated in cap percentage, automatically adjusting for increases/decreases.
 
I want to know the guaranteed money, cap hit, and potential contract escape period for the Cowboys.

Everything else is noise.

He is a QB. The guaranteed money is the contract. Its the reason QB contracts usually have fairly high guarantees.
 

Staff online

Forum statistics

Threads
474,003
Messages
14,505,684
Members
24,207
Latest member
TomGiantsfan
Back
Top