A 5 yr deal now ends a year earlier than a 5 yr deal next year
You don’t want to be paying a 29 yr old RB who leads the league in carries every year
Ah, I see what you mean.
This is a common misconception. I'm not trying to be sarcastic, we're on CZ so we like to know about what the team can actually do and while we're on contracts about our best players you may just want to know the details, a lot of people think an "extension" takes place immediately. An extension actually "extends" his years under contract. So, we'll probably pick up his 5th year, like the Rams did with Gurley, and then the extension we sign him to would begin in 2021. Just like Gurley's extension, it actually begins after the 5th year option they picked up. So he was under contract for 5 years, signed an extension going into year 4, he played year 4 under his rookie deal and will play 2019 under his 5th year option. His new contract actually begins in 2020. It was a 4 year deal that carries him until after the 2023 season (2020, 2021, 2022, 2023).
So, if we do it just like the Rams did with Gurley, Zeke would play 2019 under rookie contract, 2020 under 5th year. Then if we "extend" him for 4 years this offseason, it'd go from 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024.
If we do it like Gurley's, that last year he'd be 29 and it'd be an easy out year with no guaranteed and no cap hit which would let us be able to release him after the season he plays while 28.
The advantage of an extension now really comes down to spreading the signing bonus, and making him happy of course. If you sign him this offseason, there's no signing bonus hitting the cap that last year of his extension so there's no cap hit if you release him. Extending him next offseason to the same Gurley type deal doesn't change the number of years we keep him, it'd probably just raise the price (since contracts keep going up) and it also means if we released him when he was 29 in that final year we'd still the cap hit from his signing bonus, which would be a $4-5 million hit or so that year.
The only way that changes is if they change the # of years on the extension, but Gurley got 4 and Zeke and his agent will want 4, and it's probably the best route to go while also being the path of least resistance.