DMN: Bob Sturm: Analyzing one ‘luck’ component that was a key to Cowboys’ 2014 success

jobberone

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Bob Sturm: Analyzing one ‘luck’ component that was a key to Cowboys’ 2014 success
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Bob Sturm Follow @sportssturm Email sturm1310@me.com
Published: June 22, 2015 8:36 am
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Trainers attend to Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (9) after he was sacked by Washington Commanders inside linebacker Keenan Robinson in the third quarter during the Washington Commanders vs. the Dallas Cowboys NFL football game at AT&T Stadium on Monday, October 27, 2014. (Louis DeLuca/The Dallas Morning News)

I think most of us agree that luck plays a major role in football. We want to quantify everything in this great sport, but there is no way to know about luck’s role in things, so we hold our breath and hope for the best.

Luck has many machinations and forms, of course. The bounce of a football after a fumble would often have to fall in this category – and you may recall that occurred a few different times in the playoff game in Green Bay. A replay review getting called correctly could also fall under the umbrella of luck. A referee seeing something correctly could as well.

But, today, let’s simply visit the “luck” component of staying healthy. In a salary cap era where you put more eggs in fewer baskets – because those eggs cost so much of your cap – it is beyond vital that we keep those precious eggs on the field and not on the injured reserve. These days more than ever, there is no depth that can replace or replicate your All-Pro performers if they should happen to be hurt. This is why the preseason games often turn into consumer shams, since no team wants to lose a precious egg in a game with no real importance. The fans are ripped off by being forced to buy tickets as part of the season ticket offering, but even they understand and almost seldom complain about this dance.

So, as we look at health, I thought we should consider the fine work of last week’s study released by FootballPerspective.com on the Cowboys leading the NFL in health in 2014. Their methodology is interesting and debatable, but by their findings, the Cowboys boasted an average of 14.5 starts per starter or 318 starts overall. This was determined by taking the top 22 most common starters and adding them up.

Offensively, with the exception of Tony Romo and Ron Leary both missing the Arizona game, and Doug Free missing seven of the 18 games (NYG, Wash, Arizona, Indy, Wash, and both playoff games – Det, GB), the Cowboys offense was healthy the entire year. That is pretty difficult to fathom, but it happened. Basically, while they did have some guys play with bumps and bruises, nobody considered a starter missed extended time but Doug Free. That is beyond remarkable, and frankly, one of those items that seems impossible to duplicate.

We spend a lot of time talking about the training staff methods and strength coaches with regards to injuries, but this is football. I am always leery of a new trainer keeping a team from ever losing games to injuries. Sometimes with football, I would argue that avoiding injuries is nothing more complex than playing Texas Hold Em and hoping you get the cards you need and avoid the ones that kill you. However, it is worth discussion that the physical, forward bull-dozing style of the Cowboys offensive line from 2014 would seem to inflict more pain than it would sustain, but that is highly subjective and difficult to prove to any real degree.

http://cowboysblog.***BANNED-URL***/2015/06/sturm-looking-at-the-cowboys-health-from-2014.html/

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pancakeman

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Moving from repeated 8-and-8's to 12-4 felt like the progress of a coaching system coming into full implementation, but a huge part of it was being lucky enough to avoid the injuries that seemed to relentlessly afflict key parts of the squad (e.g. the middle of the defense).
 

Proximo

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I think the fact that we were so un-lucky with injuries the last few years, it made us seem incredibly lucky this past year, in comparison. But the reality is, in 2014 we still had our fair share of guys on the injury report and guys playing banged up.

We were literally setting records in 2013 with the amount of injuries we had, especially on defense. Stack that next to a year of average injuries and all the sudden you feel pretty good about things.
 

Manwiththeplan

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I think we'd still do well if the offense fell to the norm, as long as the defense rose to norm with injuries
 

BoysfanfromCanada

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Did they not include Sean Lee? And with him out, I'm sure Devonte Holloman would have started, but he had to retire. And Mo Claiborne was definitely a starter
 

AdamJT13

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Did they not include Sean Lee?

No, because he missed the entire season. The ridiculous methodology they used DOES NOT measure injuries, and it does not indicate which teams were hurt the most or least by injuries. The only thing it measures is the continuity of starting lineups.

For example, if Team A's best middle linebacker goes down in the preseason and misses the entire season, and his backup starts all 16 games, Team A played 16 games with a backup starting because of injury. But according to this methodology, Team A's main starter didn't miss a single game!

On the other hand, if Team B's best middle linebacker gets injured in Game 5 and his backup starts 11 games, this methodology would say that Team B's main starter missed five games. (Again, whoever starts the most games is considered the "starter" at that position.)

And finally, if Team C's best middle linebacker gets injured in Game 9 and his backup starts seven games, it would say that Team C's main starter missed seven games -- which, in this case, is actually true.

Now, according to this methodology, Team C was hit the hardest by injury and Team A was the luckiest! But which team got nine games out of its best player and which team had to play the entire season with a backup?

How incredibly stupid.

(Not to mention that a healthy player getting benched -- or simply not "starting" because of a special personnel package being used on the first play -- would have the same effect on the numbers as a player missing the game with a broken leg.)
 

Nightman

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Lee, Durant, McClain, Claiborne, DLaw all missed significant time, but yeah, we were lucky.
 

USMarineVet

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My Luck component would have to be before the season even started... Resigning our coaching staff.

We finally seem to have all the right guys in place to build and lead this team and for the most part, we were able to retain almost all of them.
 

AdamJT13

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Lee, Durant, McClain, Claiborne, DLaw all missed significant time, but yeah, we were lucky.

Not to mention Spencer and Melton, two former Pro Bowl players who could have played much bigger roles if they had been healthy earlier (or at all).
 

arglebargle

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Do those FootballPerspective folks suffer from Male Answer Syndrome? That's a pretty poor approach to the injury question.

Bad Data is worse than no data at all.
 

Bullflop

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Hopefully, if we chance to suffer more numerous injuries this year, may they be at positions of depth rather than those where the drop in talent might be overly noticeable.
 

Future

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We were lucky on the offensive side of the ball for sure.

But defensively...not so much.
 

Jarv

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We're a younger team now, maybe that has something to do with it. Older players tend to get injured more often and are out longer when injury does occur.
 

Nightman

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We were lucky on the offensive side of the ball for sure.

But defensively...not so much.

Only a few games missed from Free, a broken hand from Murray that he played thru and some nagging injuries to TWill.
 
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