I'll say no.
There are too many people who will vote for the Pro Bowl based entirely on TD numbers and they'll down grade Tony because he's only got 23 (Even though that's the best total Troy Aikman ever had in his entire career for one season) and they'll fail to look at the other things like the lack of turnovers and such.
So I doubt he makes it.
NFC will be Rodgers, Brees, and Favre most likely.