Draft Position Update and Scenario's

[SDogo]

I want to thank Manwiththeplan for pointing out an error in my draft spread sheet. I have updated it and plugged in the new numbers and the good news is it only created a less then 1% variable on all the draft positions so this post still rings 99% true. lol

 

[Randy White]

No way Locker or Gabbert are taken the high.

Of course not. That's why I placed an asterick next to them with the words " Trade Bait ". I see both teams trading down and getting those players but later in the draft. The 49ers could use a CB, but their QB situation is bad and the owner needs a reason to sell tickets for his new stadium coming up. The Cards, well, y'all already know their problem.

Having said that, don't understimate the incompetence of NFL GMs. Not saying it's going to happen again, but who did the Jaguars took with the 10th pick of this year's draft ? Where was that particular player supposed to go ?

And it's not that he's bad player at all, he was one of my favorites, but certainly not with the 10th pick of the draft.

 

[Randy White]

and with a rookie cap likely to be implemented in any new CBA he will see his last chance to cash in like a fat cow go by the way side.

There is no chance in hell he passes on the opportunity to retire with out ever playing a down by returning to Stanford and risking it all only to face a "capped" contract a year later.

Not to mention that all he needs to do is look at another QB within the same conference and learn from that mistake. There's simply too much money at stake NOT to declare.

And with the rumors of him being a package deal with his headcoach to Carolina ? ....

 

[SDogo]

Not to mention that all he needs to do is look at another QB within the same conference and learn from that mistake. There's simply too much money at stake NOT to declare.

And with the rumors of him being a package deal with his headcoach to Carolina ? ....

Harbaugh will get more then a few calls from Carolina and from there I dont think there is any question to who Harbaugh's pick would be if he got the job.

Side note, John Fox has hired a reality agent not to put his property up for sale but to help him look which says a lot.

 

[Randy White]

although the first domino piece has not fallen, it's shaking...

 

[VACowboy]

Awesome stuff, SD. Much appreciated.

 

[TheCount]

Wow, great info here. Thanks for the work man.

 

[eastsideboy]

since we beat texans head to head shodent they be ahead of us

 

[Doomsday]

So basically we will pick 6th unless Cincy beats Baltimore, then we will end up with the 5th pick. We are currently 7th but Arizona and San Fran play each other next week so we will jump one of them.

The 6th pick and that last place schedule (Arz and Car) sounds like a nice consilation prize for Buehler missing an extra point.

 

[Hostile]

since we beat texans head to head shodent they be ahead of us

Head to head plays no part of Draft order. It is record then opponent winning %, then coin flip.

Dallas opponent winning % is .525 and Houston's is .533. Therefore they are behind us. The lower % picks first. The idea being they have the same record facing lesser teams.

 

[Randy White]

would Chucky and Kolb ( trade with the Beagles ) make sense for the 49ers ?

I think so.

That would give the Beagles 2 number 1 picks in a strong defensive draft..

 

[sonnyboy]

Fantastic work!

And it's nice to see something good come out of our 3 tough 2nd half season losses.

As much as I wanted to see us finish 9-7, it does now look like that wouldn't have qualified us for the post-season.

But here's my question......what if we win Sunday?

What's the likely drafting slot and how much could that cost us?

 

[SDogo]

Fantastic work!

And it's nice to see something good come out of our 3 tough 2nd half season losses.

As much as I wanted to see us finish 9-7, it does now look like that wouldn't have qualified us for the post-season.

But here's my question......what if we win Sunday?

What's the likely drafting slot and how much could that cost us?

That's a loaded question but from all my calculations and everything I have seen elsewhere we cant end up picking any lower then 14th but most likely 11th or 12th.

 

[Longboysfan]

Thanks guys.

After Tuesdays Eagles vs Minny game I will post a complete "who to root for" guide for the final week based on a Dallas win and a Dallas lost.

Will that be with us winning and losing..

Looks like we are the late game.


And thank you for posting this.

 

[sonnyboy]

That's a loaded question but from all my calculations and everything I have seen elsewhere we cant end up picking any lower then 14th but most likely 11th or 12th.

Oh that sucks!

You mean one win will could send us from #6 to #14, with #11 being the best case?

 

[unionjack8]

re the draft and new cba i was under the impression that although there will be a draft none of the rookies drafted can be signed until a new cba is in place, hence the crop in the next draft(april 2011) will be the first to be restricted by a new rookie wage scale.

Andrew Luck will be part of the rookie wage scale whether he stays in school or not from what i hear but i may be way off base here. He'll also be stupid is as stupid does if he doesnt come out. No way on gods green earth can he do anything ti improve his stock. Screw the education he can do that when he's made 200m in 15 years time

 

[SDogo]

Oh that sucks!

You mean one win will could send us from #6 to #14, with #11 being the best case?

yeah, there is a slew of 5-10 or 6-9 teams right now. A win could drop us 7 spots easy.

The Bill have it the worst. A win by them and they could go from the 3rd or 4th selection to the 12th or 13th.

 

[AdamJT13]

Head to head plays no part of Draft order. It is record then opponent winning %, then coin flip.

That's not correct. If the teams are from the same conference, divisional and conference tiebreakers are applied before the coin flip.

That doesn't apply to us and Houston, though.

 

[SDogo]

That's not correct. If the teams are from the same conference, divisional and conference tiebreakers are applied before the coin flip.

That doesn't apply to us and Houston, though.

Hey, thanks for that. It's like you can read minds because I was just searching for that bit of info.

 

[sonnyboy]

yeah, there is a slew of 5-10 or 6-9 teams right now. A win could drop us 7 spots easy.

The Bill have it the worst. A win by them and they could go from the 3rd or 4th selection to the 12th or 13th.

I still want us to go out Sunday and deny the eagles a 1st rd bye. But this will be a nice consulation prize if we lose.

If I'm a Bills fan there's no way I'd want to see them win.