Plankton
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http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/...rted-super-bowl-game-dak-prescott-change-that
Relatively, rookies are seeing their postseason AY/A decline by 21 percent and their interception rate skyrocket by 40.2 percent. I mentioned how everybody seems to get worse in the postseason regardless of age, but those changes dwarf the competition. I've put the comparisons together for quarterbacks through their first 10 seasons in the league, and nobody drops off as far as rookies, even though rookies are starting from the worst regular-season baseline:
The Rookie QB Playoff Drop-off
Experience diff AY/a diff INT%
Rookies -21.0% 40.2%
Second-Year -1.8% 9.3%
Third-Year -4.7% 25.7%
Fourth-Year -5.5% 10.4%
Fifth-Year -2.4% 7.6%
Sixth-Year -5.8% 21.6%
Seventh-Year -7.2% 18.3%
Eighth-Year -5.1% 11.4%
Ninth-Year -8.7% 25.1%
Tenth-Year -3.5% 13.6%
Rookie quarterbacks also have the worst record in the playoffs, although it's not by quite as significant of a margin. Rookies throwing 15 passes or more (as the starter or in reserve) are 11-21 (.344) in the postseason after Cook's loss last week. That's the lowest rate among players of any experience level, but it's not all that far off from third-year quarterbacks, who are 37-57 (.394), or eighth-year passers, who are 26-42 (.382). If Prescott makes it to the Super Bowl, rookies would be in a dead heat with those frauds who waited eight years to reveal they couldn't handle the pressure of the postseason.
Relatively, rookies are seeing their postseason AY/A decline by 21 percent and their interception rate skyrocket by 40.2 percent. I mentioned how everybody seems to get worse in the postseason regardless of age, but those changes dwarf the competition. I've put the comparisons together for quarterbacks through their first 10 seasons in the league, and nobody drops off as far as rookies, even though rookies are starting from the worst regular-season baseline:
The Rookie QB Playoff Drop-off
Experience diff AY/a diff INT%
Rookies -21.0% 40.2%
Second-Year -1.8% 9.3%
Third-Year -4.7% 25.7%
Fourth-Year -5.5% 10.4%
Fifth-Year -2.4% 7.6%
Sixth-Year -5.8% 21.6%
Seventh-Year -7.2% 18.3%
Eighth-Year -5.1% 11.4%
Ninth-Year -8.7% 25.1%
Tenth-Year -3.5% 13.6%
Rookie quarterbacks also have the worst record in the playoffs, although it's not by quite as significant of a margin. Rookies throwing 15 passes or more (as the starter or in reserve) are 11-21 (.344) in the postseason after Cook's loss last week. That's the lowest rate among players of any experience level, but it's not all that far off from third-year quarterbacks, who are 37-57 (.394), or eighth-year passers, who are 26-42 (.382). If Prescott makes it to the Super Bowl, rookies would be in a dead heat with those frauds who waited eight years to reveal they couldn't handle the pressure of the postseason.
