ESPN: John Clayton: Playoff picture taking shape early

Cbz40

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Playoff picture taking shape early

By John Clayton
ESPN.com
(Archive)



Updated: December 5, 2007Normally, the "if the playoffs would start today" discussion is a waste of time because the playoffs don't start a month early. In the NFL this season, the statement is defining.
Possible AFC Seedings

Here are playoff contenders:

Entering Week 14 Seed Team Record
z-1. New England 12-0 2.
Indianapolis 10-2 3.
Pittsburgh 9-3 4.
San Diego 7-5 5.
Jacksonville 8-4 6.
Cleveland 7-5 7.
Tennessee 7-5 8.
Buffalo 6-6
z=clinched division

Three-fourths of the playoffs are pretty well set, and the rest is easy to figure out. With four games left, each of the eight division winners hold at least two-game leads. The Patriots have clinched the AFC East. The Cowboys, Packers, Seahawks, Buccaneers, Colts, Steelers and Chargers can clinch their division titles this weekend.

The Giants have a two-game advantage on the top NFC wild card and actually could clinch a playoff spot if they beat the Eagles and the other contenders lose. With only the other three wild-card spots to be determined, the playoffs almost could start today. Little should change at the top because all the potential division winners except the Steelers have closing schedules against teams with combined winning percentages of .458 or easier. And after the Steelers play the unbeaten Patriots, the Steelers have a 15-21 closing schedule. Barring unexpected collapses, the playoffs are taking shape.

• In the NFC, as long as the Seahawks beat the Cardinals, they should get the No. 3 seed. They have the tiebreakers over the Bucs from an early-season victory. That would put the Seahawks in position to take on the final wild card -- the Vikings, Cardinals or Lions. Possible NFC Seedings

Here are playoff contenders:

Entering Week 14 Seed Team Record

y-1. Dallas 11-1 2.
Green Bay 10-2 3.
Seattle 8-4 4.
Tampa Bay 8-4 5.
New York 8-4 6.
Arizona 6-6 7.
Detroit 6-6 8.
Minnesota 6-6

y=clinched playoff spot

• The Giants, the likely No. 5 seed, can send scouts to Bucs games for a meeting in Tampa.•

In the AFC, the Steelers have a two-game lead over the Chargers for the No. 3 seed and should be awaiting a rematch against the Browns or Titans. The Bills could jump into the mix if they beat the Browns Dec. 16. The Steelers play a bigger role in the wild card because they play host to the Jaguars Dec. 16.

• As AFC West champ, San Diego would play host to the Jaguars in the first round as long as the Jags lock up the No. 5 seed. The Jaguars still have a decent chance to get to 11 wins. Though they have a tough trip to Pittsburgh, they have winnable games against the Panthers, Raiders and Texans. The final wild card can't be pinned down. Of the NFC's 6-6 teams, the Vikings are getting hot and the Cardinals can't be counted out. The Lions are on a four-game losing streak and face a tough .667 closing schedule. In the AFC, the Browns and Titans have the best chances.

Even the next round is taking shape. As long as there are no upsets, the Chargers would visit the Patriots and the Steelers would go to Indianapolis. In the NFC, Dallas would play host to the Bucs and the Seahawks would visit the Packers. The Patriots are on track to lock up home-field advantage in the AFC, and the Cowboys are on pace to do the same in the NFC in the next couple of weeks. The playoff picture is pretty clear.

John Clayton, a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame writers' wing, is a senior writer for ESPN.com.
 

dmq

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The way this is shaping up is pretty favorable to us. I wouldn't mind playing Minnesota, Arizona or Detroit in our first round. I just want to avoid New York though they just aren't the same team as earlier in the year.
 

dfense

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dmq;1814536 said:
The way this is shaping up is pretty favorable to us. I wouldn't mind playing Minnesota, Arizona or Detroit in our first round.
I see it as the Bucs and then GreenBay, and then New England in the biggest Superbowl upset ever! Eat your heart out Joe Namath!!
 

jchocolate82

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dmq;1814536 said:
The way this is shaping up is pretty favorable to us. I wouldn't mind playing Minnesota, Arizona or Detroit in our first round. I just want to avoid New York though they just aren't the same team as earlier in the year.

Playing the Giants in the playoffs just worries for some reason. Beating a division opponet twice is tough enough let alone having to do it 3 times
 

Tusan_Homichi

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jchocolate82;1814826 said:
Playing the Giants in the playoffs just worries for some reason. Beating a division opponet twice is tough enough let alone having to do it 3 times

The way they are playing right now? I think we'd beat them again and probably more handily than we did the previous two times.

However, I'm with you in that it does make me nervous having to play them 3 times in a season. Too much weird stuff can happen.
 

fanfromvirginia

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What have we learned from this article? Primarily, that John Clayton knows how to read the standings.
 

peplaw06

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jchocolate82;1814826 said:
Playing the Giants in the playoffs just worries for some reason. Beating a division opponet twice is tough enough let alone having to do it 3 times
Like I said after we beat them the last time. We don't have to beat them 3 times. We only have to beat them once.
 

Chocolate Lab

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fanfromvirginia;1814841 said:
What have we learned from this article? Primarily, that John Clayton knows how to read the standings.

:laugh2: Exactly.

• As AFC West champ, San Diego would play host to the Jaguars in the first round as long as the Jags lock up the No. 5 seed.

Does anyone think the Jags wouldn't win that game?
 

big dog cowboy

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Cbz40;1814502 said:
The playoff picture is pretty clear.
With a full month of football to go, I'll bet his pretty clear picture of the playoffs changes before they get here.
 

Doomsday101

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big dog cowboy;1814916 said:
With a full month of football to go, I'll bet his pretty clear picture of the playoffs changes before they get here.

It seems like it always does. Big games this weekend with Seattle and Arz facing off. Arz won the 1st meeting and a win would bring them a game closer and a chance to win the division should Sea and Arz be even at the end of the year. I don't think the final picture of the playoffs will be complete until the last game of the year.
 

Gangsta Spanksta

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dfense;1814564 said:
I see it as the Bucs and then GreenBay, and then New England in the biggest Superbowl upset ever! Eat your heart out Joe Namath!!

I rather see the Boys fighting the Colts in the Superbowl. Romo does well against the Manning Bros. ;)
 
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