ESPN Mosley: Handicapping the top receivers in the draft

WoodysGirl

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Handicapping the top WRs

March 20, 2008 4:57 PM


If you talk to enough NFL personnel experts, it's pretty clear that this draft is the biggest crapshoot for wide receivers in the past decade. I can't seem to get anyone to agree on which receiver will go first. Oklahoma receiver Malcolm Kelly (thigh injury) will finally perform for scouts April 9.

Based on conversations with veteran scouts and one receivers coach, I've attempted to handicap the field. I'll list the players in the order they will be drafted, and then include a comment from one of our experts.

1. Devin Thomas, Michigan State: "I watched him walk into the interview at the combine and thought he looked more developed than the other receivers," said an AFC scout. "The one thing that worries us is that he could've been a one-year wonder in college. But right now, he's the guy with the least amount of question marks. He does a really nice job of plucking the ball away from his body. He also has a lot of power, so I think he'll be good after the catch. His speed isn't problem, but he does need to learn how to accelerate sooner after the catch. As of now, he's the No. 1 guy in my book.

2. DeSean Jackson, Cal: "I had an opportunity to see him in person a couple of times and I've watched a lot of film," said a veteran NFC scout. "He's got explosive speed, but he wasn't as productive this year as he was last year. I think he's a little better player than Ted Ginn Jr. He's just as explosive in the return game. Ginn's a little more of a straight-line guy. If you're not afraid of little guys (Jackson is 5-9), there are some good ones. I've warmed up to them recently. I think Steve Smith is one of the toughest guys in the league, although that's not always the case with little guys.

3. Limas Sweed, Texas: "I'd rather have Sweed than [Malcolm] Kelly," said a longtime receivers coach. "Kelly is a little more natural, but he has to make a lot of contested catches because he can't get separation. Sweed does a better job of getting down the field, and I think he can be pretty explosive. Running a 4.5 is pretty strong for a 6-4 kid. I know a lot of people are worried about the wrist, but our guys think he'll be fine.

4. Malcolm Kelly, Oklahoma: "Someone has to hope he's like Larry Fitzgerald," said an AFC scout. "Fitzgerald rarely gets much separation, but he can make catches with bodies flying all around him. I like how Kelly catches the ball because it's always clean. He's just not really explosive, but he does have some good quickness for a big receiver."

5. James Hardy, Indiana: "This is the wild card of the bunch. He's got great size (6-6, 217) and scores a lot of touchdowns," said an AFC scout. "I think he'll have a lot of trouble getting off the line against physical corners. He's just not very strong. He has solid speed for a big man, but he's still raw. I see him as a mid second-round player."
 

Woods

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D Thomas has really been flying up the draft boards over the past couple of months.
 

Chocolate Lab

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What a lousy class.

Where are the people saying what a slam dunk class-leader Kelly is? :p:
 

TheCount

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If Devin Thomas is the #1 guy, this must be a horrible year for receivers.
 

Woods

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TheCount;2005513 said:
If Devin Thomas is the #1 guy, this must be a horrible year for receivers.

I don't think the top talent is obviously there.

RBs, CBs, OTs is where the talent is supposed to be as I've read.
 

Cowboyz88

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With the age of our WR corps, I so badly want us to draft a young WR, but with this class, I say we should move on.

Reminds me of the year we drafted Ekuban. Most scouts said it was a horrible year to draft a DE. I seem to recall one scout saying it was the worst DE class in a decade, yet there were my beloved Cowboys drafting a DE in the first round.

Yeah, we drafted arguably the best DE in that draft, but again, it was a horrible DE class. He was the best of the worst and played like it and was another waste of a 1st round pick.

It's like having the hottest pig. It's still a pig.
 

CATCH17

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Chocolate Lab;2005501 said:
What a lousy class.

Where are the people saying what a slam dunk class-leader Kelly is? :p:

Right here choco and until I see someone drafted ahead of him in my opinion its still all but a slam dunk hes the 1st receiver off the board.
 

btcutter

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Woods;2005498 said:
D Thomas has really been flying up the draft boards over the past couple of months.

This type of receiver scares me the most when drafting. Reminds me of Troy Williamson who flew up the charts to #7 to Minny and I haven't heard of the guy until he ran at the combines.

He maybe turn out to be a good WR but.....I don't think value wise, you'll get it with the WR in the 1st round this yr. Stay with CB and RB or CB/CB.
 

TheCount

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btcutter;2005677 said:
This type of receiver scares me the most when drafting. Reminds me of Troy Williamson who flew up the charts to #7 to Minny and I haven't heard of the guy until he ran at the combines.

He maybe turn out to be a good WR but.....I don't think value wise, you'll get it with the WR in the 1st round this yr. Stay with CB and RB or CB/CB.

I, however, would not mind either Kelly, Sweed or Hardy at the end of the 1st. Of the three, I'd prefer Hardy since he has at least one thing you can't coach, height. His numbers speak for themselves, if you're a numbers person. He also did very well at the combine, ranking up there in every drill he did. Not sure how they can say he's weak, seeing as how he did 18 reps on the bench, which is pretty impressive for a guy with such long arms.

What I would love, is for Kelly to actually... you know, WORK OUT, at some point this year. Before I grow old and die, would be preferable.
 

MWILL

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Great post Woody!

I hope It'll convince some fans that WR isn't the answer for #22 or #28.
 

CrazyCowboy

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This is the guy to get....

. James Hardy, Indiana: "This is the wild card of the bunch. He's got great size (6-6, 217) and scores a lot of touchdowns," said an AFC scout. "I think he'll have a lot of trouble getting off the line against physical corners. He's just not very strong. He has solid speed for a big man, but he's still raw. I see him as a mid second-round player."
__________________
 

Chuck 54

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I still think Sweed is the top guy...he has the size, the strength, the speed, the big plays, the production, and the high character.

The only question with him is the wrist.

If the wrist is healed completely, this guy can be as good as most first round receivers from previous years.
 

StarHead69

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It is just our luck that this is a weak WR draft. None of these guys have shown sure-fire first round ability. All of them come with some pretty big question marks, and IMO they are #2 WR's at best. I think that Jackson will be the first WR drafted, and that will mostly be based on his return skills. This is not the year to be reaching for a WR in the first round, and that is why I wouldn't mind giving up a first for a proven NFL WR, or just sitting pat this year and hoping that more talent is available in 2009.
 

Clove

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wayne motley;2005776 said:
I still think Sweed is the top guy...he has the size, the strength, the speed, the big plays, the production, and the high character.

The only question with him is the wrist.

If the wrist is healed completely, this guy can be as good as most first round receivers from previous years.
I'm with you on this one. Size matter, and he has pretty good speed, big game experience.
 

starfrombirth

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noober;2005815 said:
It is just our luck that this is a weak WR draft. None of these guys have shown sure-fire first round ability. All of them come with some pretty big question marks, and IMO they are #2 WR's at best. I think that Jackson will be the first WR drafted, and that will mostly be based on his return skills. This is not the year to be reaching for a WR in the first round, and that is why I wouldn't mind giving up a first for a proven NFL WR, or just sitting pat this year and hoping that more talent is available in 2009.

I was reading an article on this board that had Jackson in the 4th round. How did he jump from 4th to 1st round? Did I miss something? :confused:
 

dbair1967

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It wont hurt my feelings at all if we dont draft a WR early, in fact I bet eventually it turns out rhe best WR in this yrs class comes outside the 1st rd...maybe even outside the 1st and 2nd

WR's rarely make a big impact early in their careers, even when they are very well regarded much higher in the 1st rd picks...guys chosen in the 20's and 30's are huge crapshoots in terms of any real impact early

We'd be better served trading up for McFadden or moving up to insure we get one of the top 2 or 3 CB prospects than standing pat, where it becomes quite possible that we draft two or three guys early who will make little if any contribution this year

David
 
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