I fully expect Tampa to come out playing 8 man fronts, with run blitzes on early downs.
I also fully expect the Moore will run into this front on first down and gain 0 or 1 yards. 2nd down and 9 the play will be a bubble screen or naked screen to CeeDee for 1 yards.
On 3rd down and 8, Dak will look for some pass route over the middle to CeeDee or Schultz which will be broken up, or he will dump it off is no one is wide open. 3 and out, Punt.
I think both Moore and Dak will be tentative early. Let's face it, the coaches have to be aware of Dak's awful INTs. We'll see if it makes them cautious, but I don't see how it couldn't. They will go into the game thinking they do not want Dak throwing the ball 50 times so they will try to run early and often.
If the Cowboys cannot establish some kind of run game early they are going to be in for a long day. If Dak throws 40 times we can expect at least 2 INTs, sacks and a fumble or two. Tampa has 44 sacks which means they can get pressure.
An interesting stat, Dallas and Tampa have two of the lowest Passes Defense totals in the league with only 59. The league leader is Jacksonville with 95. Tampa also has only 10 INTs. Dallas has 16. The two teams have similar passing yards allowed and rushing yards allowed totals. However, Dallas's pass defense is not the same going into this game as it was when Brown and Lewis were playing.
To win I think Dallas needs to be able to run the football, and put pressure on Brady.
Tampa Bay leads the league in passing attempts per game with 44. I think they will try to run against Dallas to take the pressure off Brady, but Dallas needs to find a way to stop the run and not let up on the pass rush, even if they give up a few 1st downs. I worry about Barr containing his side of the field when Fournette runs that way.