Fun Chart of the day

[vlad]

I know everyone loves stats and charts

 

[Zekeats]

english?

 

[Reality]

english?

Apparently the Rams are holding the Cowboys back ...

 

[sdfidaho]

english?

It says the Cowboys suck at that too

 

[plymkr]

There’s that stat again. EPA. What exactly is EPA? This came up in another thread.

 

[Hoofbite]

There’s that stat again. EPA. What exactly is EPA? This came up in another thread.

It looks like part of the push to create an MLB-like statistical measure for the NFL, similar to WAR. Where it differs is that it’s mostly geared towards teams as a whole instead of the player. At least that’s what I understand of it.

For any given play, how many points would be expected (from historical data) to be added or subtracted by the outcome the play, in this case a pass attempt.

I guess this graph would show you that the Cowboys are getting returns that you’d typically expect based on historical data, even though their pass protection sucks.

Similarly, the Broncos are falling short of expected even though they have the highest protection grade by a mile.

The Ravens are graded poorly in pass protection but have great returns. They probably grade poorly because their QB holds the ball forever because he can outrun nearly anyone on the DL if he has to.

The Bengals grade poorly and get horrible returns. Not surprising if you’ve seen their QB situation.

I don’t buy into some of these. “Grading” is too subjective and I’ve hit on PFF in particular in the past. EPA is a little better as it should be entirely based on a formula that doesn’t require someone to assign a grade every play.

All that said, don’t be shocked if this is used as pro-Dak evidence. With the 2nd worst blocking grade the team gets more than expected per pass attempt.

 

[plymkr]

It looks like part of the push to create an MLB-like statistical measure for the NFL, similar to WAR. Where it differs is that it’s mostly geared towards teams as a whole instead of the player. At least that’s what I understand of it.

For any given play, how many points would be expected (from historical data) to be added or subtracted by the outcome the play, in this case a pass attempt.

I guess this graph would show you that the Cowboys are getting returns that you’d typically expect based on historical data, even though their pass protection sucks.

Similarly, the Broncos are falling short of expected even though they have the highest protection grade by a mile.

The Ravens are graded poorly in pass protection but have great returns. They probably grade poorly because their QB holds the ball forever because he can outrun nearly anyone on the DL if he has to.

The Bengals grade poorly and get horrible returns. Not surprising if you’ve seen their QB situation.

I don’t buy into some of these. “Grading” is too subjective and I’ve hit on PFF in particular in the past. EPA is a little better as it should be entirely based on a formula that doesn’t require someone to assign a grade every play.

All that said, don’t be shocked if this is used as pro-Dak evidence. With the 2nd worst blocking grade the team gets more than expected per pass attempt.

Thank you for the explanation. I really appreciate it. This stat came up in a Micah discussion stating while Micah was in the game our defense had the #1 EPA in the NFL. When he was out we had the lowest EPA in the NFL. According to EPA we were the #1 defense with Micah playing and when he was out we had the worst defense. So I asked several times what EPA was/is and you’re the first person to explain it so thank you for doing that.

 

[Chocolate Lab]

Just another reason to question PFF when the Colts and Cards are two of the best blocking teams and the Rams are the worst. The Rams are a very good team.

 

[Pompey-Cowboy]

Boy, that WAS a fun chart!