jacs said:
im not saying that they suckbut conferences like WAC, Mountain West, etc dont get respect and normally only send the conference champions and the tournament winners
Let's look at the numbers for the recent past:
In 2000-2001, Fresno State won the WAC regular season, with a 26-7 record... Hawaii won the tournament, and thus got an NCAA bid... Fresno State got the second bid... left out were 26-11 Tulsa, and 23-9 UTEP...
In 2001-2002, Hawaii won the WAC regular season and the tournament, with a 27-6 record... Tulsa got an invite on the strength of their 27-7 record and second place finish... Louisiana Tech was on the outside looking in with a 22-10 record...
In 2002-2003, it was a down year for the WAC, and only Tulsa got an invite after winning both the regular season and the WAC tournament, posting a 23-10 record... the next best record in the conference was Fresno State's 20-8 record, which was not good enough to get them in...
And last year, Nevada won both the regular season and the tournament, posting a 25-9 record... UTEP got the second bid with a 24-8 record... left out were 3 teams-- Boise State (23-10), Rice (22-11) and Hawaii (21-12)...
So, except for the one year when the WAC absolutely stunk, they have put two teams in the NCAA tournament each year... in addition, they have sent a team that was neither the regular season champion nor the tourney champ twice in those 4 years (Tulsa in 2001 and UTEP last year)... it also seems that over the last 4 seasons, only one WAC team has won as many as 24 games and NOT been in the field of 64... that was mostly because Hawaii won the WAC, after finishing down in the pack in the regular season...
UTEP stands at 20-6, with 5 regular season games and at least one WAC tournament game to go... given that their first WAC tournament game will be against either the 7th seed or the 10th seed, it is not unreasonable to project them to win at least that game, meaning they likely have a minimum of 7 games remaining... winning 4 of them puts them at 24-9, and I stand firm in my conviction that that will be sufficient to earn them a spot in the NCAA tournament...
And if they don't win at least 4 of their final 7 games, well, that's what I mean by tanking the rest of the season, and they won't deserve to be in the big dance...