vicjagger
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I was playing around with some NFL stats in Excel. I'm pondering the whole question of strength of schedule played, and I decide to look at the records of the teams beaten (and lost to) rather than the entire schedule played.
Some interesting things appear. Namely what I like to term good wins & bad losses (I'll get to the buts later).
A good win (GW), as I've defined it, is one in which you beat a team that has only lost to you. Conversely, a bad loss (BL) is one in which your opponent has beaten only your team.
There have been a total of 60 games so far this year. There have been 7 good wins and 8 bad losses, so just under 25% of the games played have fallen into one of these buckets. One game, PHI > DET, is the only game to count as a GW for the winner and a BL for the loser.
Good Wins:
Wk 1 TEN > JAX, SEA > T B
Wk 2 IND > TEN, ARI > SEA
Wk 3 NYG > WAS, PHI > DET
Wk 4 ARI > PIT
Arizona is the only team with 2 GWs.
Bad Losses:
Wk 1 BAL < CIN, CHI < S D, ATL < MIN
Wk 2 KC < CHI
Wk 3 MIA < NYJ, DET < PHI
Wk 4 NYJ < BUF, HOU < ATL
Now for the "but somebody has to lose" teams (the buts). Here are the top 12 teams that rank the highest in "win % of teams lost to".
Team---Total Losses--- Opp Record
1) NY Giants---2---8-0
1) Tennesee---1---4-0
3) San Diego---3--10-2
4) Denver------2---6-1
5) New Orleans-3---9-2
6) Cincy--------3---9-3
6) Buffalo-------3---9-3 <----
6) Minnesota----3---9-3
6) San Fran-----2---6-2
6) Tampa Bay---1---3-1
11) Philladelphia-3---8-3
12) St Louis-----4--11-5
Now some of these teams are downright lousy, but some others are certainly a product of the fact that they have played some tough schedules to date.
Notice that none of those teams have a "bad loss".
Some interesting things appear. Namely what I like to term good wins & bad losses (I'll get to the buts later).
A good win (GW), as I've defined it, is one in which you beat a team that has only lost to you. Conversely, a bad loss (BL) is one in which your opponent has beaten only your team.
There have been a total of 60 games so far this year. There have been 7 good wins and 8 bad losses, so just under 25% of the games played have fallen into one of these buckets. One game, PHI > DET, is the only game to count as a GW for the winner and a BL for the loser.
Good Wins:
Wk 1 TEN > JAX, SEA > T B
Wk 2 IND > TEN, ARI > SEA
Wk 3 NYG > WAS, PHI > DET
Wk 4 ARI > PIT
Arizona is the only team with 2 GWs.
Bad Losses:
Wk 1 BAL < CIN, CHI < S D, ATL < MIN
Wk 2 KC < CHI
Wk 3 MIA < NYJ, DET < PHI
Wk 4 NYJ < BUF, HOU < ATL
Now for the "but somebody has to lose" teams (the buts). Here are the top 12 teams that rank the highest in "win % of teams lost to".
Team---Total Losses--- Opp Record
1) NY Giants---2---8-0
1) Tennesee---1---4-0
3) San Diego---3--10-2
4) Denver------2---6-1
5) New Orleans-3---9-2
6) Cincy--------3---9-3
6) Buffalo-------3---9-3 <----
6) Minnesota----3---9-3
6) San Fran-----2---6-2
6) Tampa Bay---1---3-1
11) Philladelphia-3---8-3
12) St Louis-----4--11-5
Now some of these teams are downright lousy, but some others are certainly a product of the fact that they have played some tough schedules to date.
Notice that none of those teams have a "bad loss".
