DFWJC
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I think he's assuming several players they don't have graded as 1st rounders are taken ahead of 12..If McClay said 15-18 players have a 1st round grade, then you are right.
Odds that some will be taken...almost certainly...but how many is the question.
After the top 4-5 players, it seems teams are all over map this year, so it should be interesting