Yeah, If we assume they will not do a deal before the 2021 season and he goes the franchise tag route again that 37.5 hit will be pretty brutal.
The cap in 2020 was $198 million. Historically it has gone up about $10 mil a year. So let's assume with no Covid it would have done "the usual", so for 2021 it would have been about $208 million. If Dak got his $40 mil next year that'd be about 20% of the cap. Now there's been articles detailing how that would not have "wrecked" the cap, and let's assume for the moment that's true. So 20% of the cap for Dak wouldn't have been a major problem.
So now we're anticipating a $175 mil cap in actuality for next year. If Dak is franchised at $37.5. that works out to about 21%.
Only 1% different. Hard to see how 1% more makes it "brutal".
Of course that assumes it WILL be $175 mil. With the Covid vaccine now being rolled out, who's to say by next season, which doesn't start officially until March 17th. That's over 2 months away. If the roll out gets to pick up steam, and new cases drop significantly, the cap could be more than $175 mil. The cap only has to go to $187.5 to make Dak's 37.5 the same 20%,
In any event nearly certainly by 2022 the virus will be gone or it won't be an issue, just about everybody will have had the shot and even if you get the disease you won't get the symptoms, meaning no overflow of hospital beds, etc.
What I'm saying is this year may be tough, but with 53 players on the active roster, that's a lot of contracts that can be re-worked, or a lot of players that you could look at releasing, like T. Crawford, that will give Dallas some more available money.
Of course if all anybody wants is another quarterback except Dak, they won't agree to any of the above.
Will be interesting to see what happens in the coming months, more so than usual...