Brad Allen’s Impact on Packers vs Cowboys
Brad Allen is the head referee for the Packers vs Cowboys Week 10 game. Let’s break down how Allen may impact this game and betting markets.
How does Brad Allen Impact this Game?
Packers vs Cowboys is the marquee Sunday afternoon game. Green Bay is the home underdog, something we haven’t seen in a long time. If there is one positive for Green Bay this week, it’s that Brad Allen is officiating. He brings one of the best home-field records of any NFL referee, particularly with home underdogs.
Overall Penalties/Roughing the Passer/Unnecessary Roughness
The Packers have been one of the least penalized teams over the past few seasons. In 2022, they’re in the top half of overall penalties per game. However, in their three games at Lambeau Field this season, the Packers are being penalized significantly less at just 4.3 per game
Brad Allen is calling just 44% of penalties on home teams in 2022. The Packers will win the penalty count on Sunday. It’s not much, but they need every advantage they can get this week
Roughing the passer penalties are down in 2022 compared to 2021, but the Cowboys are still one of the most penalized teams in this category
Brad Allen has only called four unnecessary roughness penalties in 2022. Two of those were on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2 vs the Bengals. Something to keep an eye on vs the Packers
The Bottom Line:
Home teams with Brad Allen officiating are 58-42-2 ATS (58%) since the start of the 2016 season, including 5-2 ATS in 2022
Home underdogs like the Packers on Sunday are 22-12-1 ATS (65%) in that span, including 2-1 in the 2022 season
There isn’t a lot to like about Green Bay going into this game. We’re looking at it from an officiating angle and that’s one of the few positives for the Packers. Home teams with Allen have a remarkable record compared with most crews over the past 6 seasons, particularly home underdogs.
The play is the Packers +5.5 against the Cowboys.