AzorAhai
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This article takes a different approach to evaluating how teams have drafted(offense only) since 2000. It sort of surprised me how they had Dallas graded since it seems only recently they have actually done a good job, but nonetheless they ranked 5th. Not sure if this has enough Cowboys related news in it so if it needs to be moved to NFL or Draftzone, please do.
Which NFL Teams Have Drafted Offensive Players Best Since the Turn of the Century?
I’m sure you may have figured it out by now: I'm an absolute NFL Draft junkie. The actual event ended weeks ago, but I can't get enough of analyzing it, speculating about the players that were in it, and –- most of all –- pulling apart the data behind these picks.
We outside analysts make educated guesses about player value, team fit, and the like, giving our own opinions and views but, without fail, we seem to view team need and player value differently than the NFL at points. It's one of my goals to build better understanding about the ways teams look at this annual process of valuation and roster re-stocking, and whether or not they actually succeed at it.
We all have perceptions about how certain teams do at drafting, especially when it comes to certain positions, but are those perceptions accurate? Today, the culmination of a months-long project of mine will reveal these answers and more.
Which teams have excelled on draft day?
The Process
First of all, I examined players through this study on the basis of their career Total Net Expected Points (NEP). NEP is a metric that we’ve pioneered here at numberFire. It helps us take the statistics we get from the box score and assign them contextual value so that they relate even closer to the game on the field. By adding down-and-distance value, we can see just how much each play and each player actually influence the outcome of the game. For more info on NEP, check out our glossary. Total NEP, specifically, looks at the combined values of all forms of NEP (Passing, Rushing, Reception).
I added up each player’s career Total NEP, and then assigned each player their draft information. Each player’s original draft team, draft round, overall pick, and pick value by the standard Jimmy Johnson chart was assigned to them. What resulted was the sum of draft capital (by the standard chart) that each team has spent over the past 15 years, and the amount of production those picks generated (by career Total NEP) in that same span of time.
By ranking these in order, and comparing the ranks of draft capital spent to Total NEP production received, we can see just how successful each team has been at player evaluation on draft day. Remember, some of these players didn't play most of their careers for their original drafting team, so the career Total NEP rank is not how well teams have done at each position over the years; it is merely how well the players they selected at those positions have done.
Let’s get into the analysis!
Continue reading at
https://m.numberfire.com/nfl/news/5...ve-players-best-since-the-turn-of-the-century
Which NFL Teams Have Drafted Offensive Players Best Since the Turn of the Century?
I’m sure you may have figured it out by now: I'm an absolute NFL Draft junkie. The actual event ended weeks ago, but I can't get enough of analyzing it, speculating about the players that were in it, and –- most of all –- pulling apart the data behind these picks.
We outside analysts make educated guesses about player value, team fit, and the like, giving our own opinions and views but, without fail, we seem to view team need and player value differently than the NFL at points. It's one of my goals to build better understanding about the ways teams look at this annual process of valuation and roster re-stocking, and whether or not they actually succeed at it.
We all have perceptions about how certain teams do at drafting, especially when it comes to certain positions, but are those perceptions accurate? Today, the culmination of a months-long project of mine will reveal these answers and more.
Which teams have excelled on draft day?
The Process
First of all, I examined players through this study on the basis of their career Total Net Expected Points (NEP). NEP is a metric that we’ve pioneered here at numberFire. It helps us take the statistics we get from the box score and assign them contextual value so that they relate even closer to the game on the field. By adding down-and-distance value, we can see just how much each play and each player actually influence the outcome of the game. For more info on NEP, check out our glossary. Total NEP, specifically, looks at the combined values of all forms of NEP (Passing, Rushing, Reception).
I added up each player’s career Total NEP, and then assigned each player their draft information. Each player’s original draft team, draft round, overall pick, and pick value by the standard Jimmy Johnson chart was assigned to them. What resulted was the sum of draft capital (by the standard chart) that each team has spent over the past 15 years, and the amount of production those picks generated (by career Total NEP) in that same span of time.
By ranking these in order, and comparing the ranks of draft capital spent to Total NEP production received, we can see just how successful each team has been at player evaluation on draft day. Remember, some of these players didn't play most of their careers for their original drafting team, so the career Total NEP rank is not how well teams have done at each position over the years; it is merely how well the players they selected at those positions have done.
Let’s get into the analysis!
Continue reading at
https://m.numberfire.com/nfl/news/5...ve-players-best-since-the-turn-of-the-century