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http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...-numbers-say-not-to-pick-a-qb-late-in-round-1
2016 NFL Draft: Numbers say avoid picking a QB late in Round 1
The next great NFL quarterback might be drafted early. He might be drafted in the third round. He might even be drafted on Day 3. But there is one place teams should avoid when looking for the star signal caller of tomorrow: late in Round 1.
The notion that a franchise passer can be had at a slight discount is an attractive one. Who wouldn't like to land an elite talent at a less-than-elite price (that is, with the 12th overall pick or later)? But analysis of data over the past 25 years suggests late first-round picks are better spent on positions other than QB.
Yes, the Los Angeles Rams paid a lot in their trade for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. But if they're looking for a quarterback, they did exactly what the numbers suggest they should have done in moving up 14 spots. That is, they got out of the QB dead zone and put themselves in position to grab one of the top-rated players available.
2016 NFL Draft: Numbers say avoid picking a QB late in Round 1
- By Nasir Bhanpuri Special to NFL.com
- Published: April 20, 2016 at 12:58 p.m.
- Updated: April 20, 2016 at 02:14 p.m.
- 1 Likes | 6 Comments
- By Nasir Bhanpuri Special to NFL.com
The next great NFL quarterback might be drafted early. He might be drafted in the third round. He might even be drafted on Day 3. But there is one place teams should avoid when looking for the star signal caller of tomorrow: late in Round 1.
The notion that a franchise passer can be had at a slight discount is an attractive one. Who wouldn't like to land an elite talent at a less-than-elite price (that is, with the 12th overall pick or later)? But analysis of data over the past 25 years suggests late first-round picks are better spent on positions other than QB.
Yes, the Los Angeles Rams paid a lot in their trade for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. But if they're looking for a quarterback, they did exactly what the numbers suggest they should have done in moving up 14 spots. That is, they got out of the QB dead zone and put themselves in position to grab one of the top-rated players available.